TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-02-25?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$101,083
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $101,083 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd12c…f2d4backed Yes53c32,941$17,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17,558.811070%7 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc2c1…9fe2backed No47c18,238$8,572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,666.41250%6 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ee…0bd0backed No44c9,068$3,990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,077.933354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb22…6478backed Yes56c7,865$4,404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,404.4329446.6%137 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked No44c6,000$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,359.9916543.6%72 W · 93 L-3.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No44c5,329$2,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,98451749.9%258 W · 259 L-5.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes56c5,010$2,797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,796.583,40751.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L+21.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes72c5,003$3,608 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,607.548,11248.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L+27.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9e8d…b0e1backed Yes57c4,274$2,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,4361030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-41.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No42c4,252$1,768 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,483.845,76245.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L+94.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No38c3,354$1,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,078.862,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked No46c3,333$1,528 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,805.3650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No45c2,854$1,290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,563.071,48748.7%724 W · 763 L-17.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes17c1,821$303 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.9527133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No43c1,782$766 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,015.7137851.3%194 W · 184 L+7.3wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc87…7ab6backed No43c1,774$763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,011.24560%27 W · 18 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+9.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No21c1,749$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.4218828.7%54 W · 134 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-18.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No9c1,479$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,352.481,53745.2%695 W · 842 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No19c1,363$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.3649449%242 W · 252 L+22.2wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed No45c1,000$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5509651%49 W · 47 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes54c1,000$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54012750.4%64 W · 63 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked No45c777.77$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$427.773935.9%14 W · 25 L-5.6wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-27.2%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes57c738$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.6623354.9%128 W · 105 L+7.1wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No44c504.79$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$280.6612741.7%53 W · 74 L-6.8wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed No18c500$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4106119.7%12 W · 49 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked Yes57c445.61$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25410155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No39c437.06$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$264.5829747.1%140 W · 157 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed No47c345$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.8518742.2%79 W · 108 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-13.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa859…fdb5backed Yes56c325.82$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.4616262.3%101 W · 61 L+8.7wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+10.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes56c312$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7219239.1%75 W · 117 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes55c311.23$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.1312736.2%46 W · 81 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed Yes56c306.92$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.88875%6 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0eb8…56ecbacked Yes56c267.86$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+18.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33e9…eff8backed No45c267$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.851100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No16c254.52$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.6384943.8%372 W · 477 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No44c250$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1401,32857%757 W · 571 L+57.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No41c247.54$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.671,44456.4%815 W · 629 L+51.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x54a2…5dfebacked No45c221.23$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.23250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9741…a09fbacked No45c215$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.251100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No47c212.93$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.8539853%211 W · 187 L+5.8wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f9e…4c57backed No19c212.89$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$172.897420.3%15 W · 59 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-38.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee75…f59abacked No47c212.77$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.771369.2%9 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed No46c200$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10921849.5%108 W · 110 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes55c182.68$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.251,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe3d4…2bacbacked No22c181.82$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.822240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick53cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Yes54c180$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.221837.6%82 W · 136 L-12.0wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3c64…cb26backed Yes56c178.57$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003844.7%17 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes7c173.2$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51526.7%4 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick22cpaid-23.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No46c150$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8111459.6%68 W · 46 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c50…89b6backed Yes57c137.16$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.92462.5%15 W · 9 L+2.7wins+0.11per pick51cpaid+26.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed No46c135$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.919460.3%117 W · 77 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf24…15ecbacked No13c133.21$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.891631.3%5 W · 11 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No24c129.99$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.0910442.3%44 W · 60 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+4.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed No46c115$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.17856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb12…f057backed No46c112$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.485160.8%31 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick58cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94bb…c320backed No29c108.61$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.421662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x269f…c358backed No47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.381050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf16…9c6fbacked No47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.38966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+28.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes30c103.97$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.953,75538.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L-32.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c1a…bf0abacked Yes56c100$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb792…fa38backed No21c95.24$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.242857.1%16 W · 12 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb924…a6e3backed Yes56c93$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.0810%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed No46c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.63857.9%22 W · 16 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed No46c90$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.67055.7%39 W · 31 L+0.3wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076f…5e23backed Yes56c89$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a1f…cfc5backed Yes56c88.39$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes55c85.47$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.981,67051.8%865 W · 805 L+19.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed0d…5ad2backed No47c85.11$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.11966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+13.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f71…65a3backed Yes56c85$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe253…4a44backed Yes55c83$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.6510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x099f…c1e1backed No45c78.26$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.0415651.9%81 W · 75 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed Yes53c75.57$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.726749.4%132 W · 135 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc16f…0f4fbacked No46c75$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.55752.6%30 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a84…c4fcbacked No39c75$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.432462.5%15 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed No46c73.03$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2510846.3%50 W · 58 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x82b7…17ccbacked Yes55c71$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.0510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0044…cb2cbacked No15c68.72$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.121936.8%7 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+21.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7e1a…d5a3backed No28c67.1$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.246448.4%31 W · 33 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2031…5ee7backed Yes57c64.91$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x452f…b277backed Yes53c62.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3311637.1%43 W · 73 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x23fa…7562backed Yes55c61$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked No73c60.8$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.121,09155.6%607 W · 484 L-19.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed No46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.43959%23 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed No46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.45250%26 W · 26 L-2.9wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed No46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.45151%26 W · 25 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-12.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked No46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.45350.9%27 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-13%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked No46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.45556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed No46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.46162.3%38 W · 23 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked No46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.43759.5%22 W · 15 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed No46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.45453.7%29 W · 25 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed No46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.46962.3%43 W · 26 L+4.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked No46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.45560%33 W · 22 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe6df…22a9backed No46c60$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.45151%26 W · 25 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-12.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67e6…86edbacked Yes56c59.97$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.66842.6%29 W · 39 L-8.7wins-0.13per pick55cpaid-29.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa990…7750backed Yes53c59.42$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.49520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-47.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x88a7…6ab2backed No48c59.18$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.52366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+20.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes65c56.26$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.8581740.8%333 W · 484 L+20.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked No45c55.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.562157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.5wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+13.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed No46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$276558.5%38 W · 27 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x46af…1f6abacked No46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.