South American Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-02-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1c843bc976ca43db2c32cae3f9a46cf1e82f99d5ef88b95f66c54af7df050d4f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,403
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,358
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,403 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 18c | 4,055$730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.9 | 436 | 18.8%82 W · 354 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9518…c9e3backed Yes | 18c | 2,778$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Yes | 18c | 1,250$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.42 | 188 | 28.7%54 W · 134 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 17c | 998.96$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.91 | 378 | 51.3%194 W · 184 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d7…a861backed Yes | 18c | 931.44$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.66 | 28 | 25%7 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed Yes | 3c | 630.04$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.96 | 74 | 20.3%15 W · 59 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 18c | 571.26$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Yes | 18c | 561.67$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.1 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | -5.6wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 6c | 557.25$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.81 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Yes | 7c | 554.64$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.27 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb3…843bbacked Yes | 3c | 425$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -33%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 17c | 325.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.26 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…6ce1backed Yes | 5c | 306.12$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Yes | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ca…6a3abacked Yes | 19c | 265.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 37cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x10a8…3275backed Yes | 16c | 223.06$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…dc8cbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 20c | 163$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.03 | 127 | 36.2%46 W · 81 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82d4…475bbacked Yes | 11c | 130.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 19c | 130$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.7 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3303…e72dbacked Yes | 18c | 127.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 16c | 126.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.99 | 181 | 40.3%73 W · 108 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 10c | 124.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2be6…e054backed Yes | 9c | 117.35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.07 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 74 | 24.3%18 W · 56 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 517 | 49.9%258 W · 259 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x751b…90fbbacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.2wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711a…9240backed Yes | 11c | 95.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.85 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -77.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b1…536dbacked Yes | 21c | 95.24$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7af4…043abacked Yes | 21c | 90.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked No | 72c | 85.21$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.86 | 337 | 45.4%153 W · 184 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe68d…a292backed Yes | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes | 21c | 72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 66.92$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…b0a5backed Yes | 16c | 65.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 76c | 34.17$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 551 | 55%303 W · 248 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.1 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x778e…ccd1backed No | 77c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Corinthians Paulista win on 2026-02-25?this page
- Will Cruzeiro EC vs. SC Corinthians Paulista end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-02-25?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.