TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x269f…c358

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
76
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Premier League, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 55 out of 100; worst CS2 at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+6.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Hurricanesbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+34.3%+$4.32
Canadiens vs. Sabresbacked Sabres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$20.53
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.76
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)backed Avalanche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$22.34
Ducks vs. Golden Knightsbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+46.9%+$23.11
Flyers vs. Hurricanesbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.36
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+82.5%+$11.94
Oilers vs. Ducksbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.29
Penguins vs. Flyersbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.1
Lightning vs. Canadiensbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+101.9%+$10.45
Blues vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.54
Jets vs. Utahbacked Utah · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+39.8%+$4.73
Canadiens vs. Flyersbacked Canadiens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.99
Capitals vs. Blue Jacketsbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+134.8%+$15.82
All 15 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1275%9 W · 3 L+1.7wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+31.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Manchester City FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$14.98
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$25.99
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+71.8%+$16.87
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+72.4%+$9.42
Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+80.7%+$11.07
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+138.1%+$13.95
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+56.3%+$8.21
Spread: Leeds United FC (-1.5)backed Sunderland AFC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+36.3%+$15.69
Spread: Everton FC (-1.5)backed Burnley FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.84
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+54.5%+$60.91
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+69.5%+$15.48
Wolverhampton Wanderers FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+100%+$17.19
All 12 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Zadar: Martin Krumich vs Matej Dodigbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.03
Miami Open, Qualification: Victoria Jimenez Kasintseva vs Varvara Lepchenkobacked Varvara Lepchenko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 16, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.21
BNP Paribas Open, Qualification: Vit Kopriva vs Dalibor Svrcinabacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+67.3%+$12.69
Dubai Tennis Championships: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Felix Auger-Aliassime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$31.25
Antalya: Ekaterine Gorgodze vs Anhelina Kalininabacked Anhelina Kalinina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+38.9%+$5.11
Mexican Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Valentin Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$19.81
Mexican Open: Frances Tiafoe vs Mattia Belluccibacked Mattia Bellucci · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$13.1
Dubai Tennis Championships: Jakub Mensik vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Tallon Griekspoor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+150%+$22.19
Dubai Tennis Championships: Pablo Carreno Busta vs Jiri Leheckabacked Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$47.83
Mexican Open: Casper Ruud vs Yibing Wubacked Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+177.8%+$55.45
All 10 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 3, 2026, EST1050%5 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-17.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Sarmiento vs. AA Estudiantes: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$14.86
Will Pumas de la UNAM win on 2026-02-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+43.2%+$19.78
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+53.9%+$6.9
Will CF Pachuca win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$27.96
Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.94
Will Santos FC vs. CR Vasco da Gama end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+26.3%+$5.17
Will Santos FC win on 2026-02-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$42.96
AA Estudiantes vs. CA Huracán: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15.99
Grêmio FBPA vs. CA Mineiro: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+92.7%+$23.66
Will Cruzeiro EC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+112.8%+$56.38
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+28.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST540%2 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+27.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 17, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-68.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 28, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 15, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+84%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Serie A — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+66.6%+$10.94
Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+101.4%+$18.31
All 2 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20.44
TSG 1899 Hoffenheim vs. FC St. Pauli 1910: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$29.16
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Feb 26, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
VfB Stuttgart vs. Celtic FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST+138.1%+$63.43
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AJ Auxerre win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+25%+$46.92
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.