TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Other European Leagues · resolved market

Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-27?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$216,963
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$267,288

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,963 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 145 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3f5e…e7dbbacked No19c28,955$5,501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,501.451822.2%4 W · 14 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-30.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed No20c20,263$3,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,984.21315.4%2 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-40.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No15c8,021$1,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,216.575,60442%2,356 W · 3,248 L+75.1wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked Yes65c5,369$3,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,855.6913050%65 W · 65 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+17.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x38b0…060cbacked No18c5,323$979 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$979.07560%3 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.19per pick41cpaid+25.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No9c3,868$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.171533.8%242 W · 473 L-12.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bd1…cfb4backed No54c3,126$1,703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,703.4110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed No20c3,050$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61012613.5%17 W · 109 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick18cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed No17c2,837$484 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$483.531,40129.2%409 W · 992 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed No54c2,614$1,411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,410.6117146.8%80 W · 91 L+7.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes80c2,405$1,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.262,33446.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L+14.5wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No21c2,380$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.711323.1%3 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.12per pick35cpaid-43%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No17c2,122$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.887,88945.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L+11.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No24c2,096$494 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.9138747.5%184 W · 203 L+10.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No35c1,893$662 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$661.9351140.9%209 W · 302 L-12.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-22.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes48c1,841$876 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.1111452.6%60 W · 54 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No19c1,566$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$295.211,22251%623 W · 599 L-10.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec0…aeb9backed No20c1,455$291 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29170%0 W · 7 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed No8c1,450$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.5128.3%1 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick13cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf16d…b7f9backed No17c1,440$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.369929.3%29 W · 70 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed No51c1,387$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.1527542.5%117 W · 158 L+10.0wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No6c1,378$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.4294043.7%411 W · 529 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-13.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed No20c1,349$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.636972.5%50 W · 19 L+10.0wins+0.15per pick58cpaid+29.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x39d3…9ef0backed No21c1,227$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.675324.5%13 W · 40 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ab4…a81bbacked Yes69c1,172$809 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$363.341369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.5wins+0.27per pick42cpaid+39.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed Yes61c1,122$684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.9814262.7%89 W · 53 L+15.1wins+0.11per pick52cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb881…20a1backed Yes39c1,014$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$613.957045.7%32 W · 38 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d21…abc5backed Yes50c1,005$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.761844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13fa…3facbacked No19c999.99$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19047325.4%120 W · 353 L+3.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No37c857.97$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.672,17948%1,046 W · 1,133 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1677…1126backed No18c833$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.944841.7%20 W · 28 L-3.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-21.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x28f7…400cbacked No21c800$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8de5…2b04backed Yes80c800$640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1604757.4%27 W · 20 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa56b…d536backed Yes80c725$580 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1451100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x08aa…0126backed No7c690$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.310%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3204…7ac1backed Yes45c667.68$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes51c588.24$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.242842.9%12 W · 16 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No16c543.92$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.7543546.7%203 W · 232 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked No30c501.63$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.598552.3%515 W · 470 L+4.6wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc550…8e46backed No18c500$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$903033.3%10 W · 20 L-3.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-29.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7018…290abacked Yes41c500$203 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2972450%12 W · 12 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb315…d6c9backed Yes50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2501855.6%10 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+25.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0abd…7207backed Yes7c500$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$462.861816.7%3 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick11cpaid+146.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes80c458.75$367 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.7536647.3%173 W · 193 L-9.8wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa62c…a3c1backed No20c449.84$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.5820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f59…3d18backed Yes48c393.99$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.991338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-34.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a15…282dbacked Yes80c375$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick72cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No10c345.07$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.372,64035.7%942 W · 1,698 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9423…bba6backed No8c337.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.1510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x13ce…35f0backed Yes79c331$261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.51666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4db3…c1eabacked Yes46c308.47$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.13151.6%16 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+5.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9fca…5f02backed No5c308.29$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.58616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick25cpaid-56.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc556…958dbacked No8c300$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Yes48c299.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.9910435.6%37 W · 67 L-8.6wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9de0…dacebacked Yes8c293.42$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.873625%9 W · 27 L+5.0wins+0.14per pick11cpaid+235.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Yes47c292.36$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.0964143.4%278 W · 363 L+1.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa5e2…0dcdbacked No8c285$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.7wins-0.07per pick34cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72ee…a848backed Yes78c265$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.316750.9%85 W · 82 L-8.5wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-10.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked No19c250$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.5825%2 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes53c240.44$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.1663849.5%316 W · 322 L+26.8wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+2.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5d4…a077backed No20c228$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.422626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick33cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x861f…a189backed Yes51c222$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.782725.9%7 W · 20 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-41.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5a50…ea80backed No20c206.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.33917.9%7 W · 32 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick29cpaid-20.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083633.3%12 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cd9…51d0backed Yes49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.089030%27 W · 63 L-6.3wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-26.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfa42…2ff3backed Yes60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$801225%3 W · 9 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-62.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4588…d206backed Yes49c199.99$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1021546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd7df…27cdbacked No7c199.93$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1420%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x02ea…220cbacked Yes51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.088124.7%20 W · 61 L-10.8wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-45.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x37eb…6bf7backed No20c192.05$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.4180%0 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2c2e…a948backed Yes51c189.57$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.892437.5%9 W · 15 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick44cpaid+0.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf5c1…0101backed Yes73c172.12$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.862050%10 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-23.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed No49c151.71$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.346456.3%36 W · 28 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No23c148.64$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6934158.9%201 W · 140 L+25.9wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea9e…d3fbbacked No17c147.13$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.2457019.8%113 W · 457 L-8.9wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-10.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6cb0…9a6cbacked No9c137.59$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9540%2 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.10per pick30cpaid-33.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe92e…0a8dbacked No15c131.76$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.766217.7%11 W · 51 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-22.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc377…c730backed Yes38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.58333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked No55c130.34$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.93033.3%10 W · 20 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick36cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2b7…37d5backed Yes39c128.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.215844.8%26 W · 32 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7daf…ee4dbacked No20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252733.3%9 W · 18 L-4.4wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-45.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Yes49c125$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.7551356.3%289 W · 224 L+23.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+8.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked No33c112$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.9624242.1%102 W · 140 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes45c111.35$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.3510759.8%64 W · 43 L+4.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+14.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No56c107.63$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.616832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.2wins-0.09per pick41cpaid-23%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Yes47c107.45$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.45633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes42c105.83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.833231.3%10 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick27cpaid+44.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed Yes65c105$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.5618848.4%91 W · 97 L+13.4wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+1.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2164…fcd4backed Yes80c100$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201741.2%7 W · 10 L-4.1wins-0.24per pick65cpaid-43.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xb226…4469backed No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202236.4%8 W · 14 L-3.2wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-42.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x741c…bf80backed No20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20848.3%7 W · 77 L-8.4wins-0.10per pick18cpaid-63.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7903…df88backed Yes51c98.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.14333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7253…9190backed No20c96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.22450%12 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-14.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f53…d57bbacked No17c93.11$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.831533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed No20c90$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1829052.4%152 W · 138 L+17.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc2b0…e756backed Yes43c86.36$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.368339.8%33 W · 50 L+4.1wins+0.05per pick35cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x97f7…df41backed Yes79c83$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.43250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick78cpaid-36.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf2a0…1f3dbacked Yes49c81.63$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.634434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc5b0…627abacked Yes66c75.76$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.76966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.05per pick62cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No34c73.62$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253336.4%12 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.