TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3204…7ac1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Other European Leagues, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Other European Leagues at 52 out of 100; worst Ligue 1 at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT5534.5%19 W · 36 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+30.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 55 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$182Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$182.09
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.15
Arsenal FC vs. Everton FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.66
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+376.2%+$272.27
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$430Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+29.9%+$128.4
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$1,115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$1,114.92
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+109.2%+$287.34
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$490Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+376.2%+$1,842.39
Leeds United FC vs. Sunderland AFC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$100
AFC Bournemouth vs. Brentford FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Everton FC vs. Burnley FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$199.5
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$960Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+92.3%+$886.5
Arsenal FC vs. Chelsea FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+79.4%+$238.13
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+185.7%+$371.43
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$317Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+78.6%+$248.98
Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$149.99
Will Coventry City FC vs. Stoke City FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Preston North End FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$191Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$190.81
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+400%+$200
Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+669.2%+$487.67
Showing 25 of 55 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-22.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Club Atlético de Madrid vs. Getafe CF: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.75
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$190Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$190.09
Athletic Club vs. FC Barcelona: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$427.37
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$200
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$607Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+163.2%+$990.34
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Will Girona FC win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$1,097Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$1,097.21
Will Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$415Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$414.69
Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+197.4%+$387.7
Girona FC vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$369Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+73.1%+$269.87
Will CA Osasuna win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Valencia CF vs. CA Osasuna: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Elche CF win on 2026-03-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+104.1%+$104.08
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-01-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$122.22
All 15 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Mar 18, 2026, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-1.0wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Liverpool FC vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.97
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-03-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+66.8%+$49.39
Real Madrid CF vs. Manchester City FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$268Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$268.11
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$176Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+52.4%+$92.23
Galatasaray SK vs. Liverpool FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Will FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$473Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+278.4%+$1,317.86
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympiakós SFP: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 10 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-44.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST30%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+72.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-03-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-02-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$242Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+244.8%+$593.46
All 2 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 27, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+122.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Porto win on 2026-02-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST+122.5%+$367.57
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. Atalanta BC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.