Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1289e96f7cd84f38431fe1fb778fe9ede981bb7ce3b85c5b96bb4a82d577efc7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $881,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $881,942 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 482 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd9c4…6f95backed Yes | 37c | 142,165$52,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89,785.44 | 160 | 40.6%65 W · 95 L | -12.9wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed No | 64c | 68,208$43,653 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,653.12 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 71c | 41,013$29,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,015.75 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a55…c349backed No | 0c | 40,570$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.57 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…e270backed Yes | 16c | 27,500$4,389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,110.78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +53.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 78c | 26,156$20,414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,413.94 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 63c | 21,936$13,828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,828.29 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 63c | 16,902$10,647 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,647.24 | 517 | 50.1%259 W · 258 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcaf…e271backed Yes | 36c | 10,000$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,399.93 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 36c | 9,517$3,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,055.47 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +21.1wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 63c | 8,993$5,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,691.97 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 8,440$3,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,316.37 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked No | 63c | 8,000$5,040 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,039.94 | 370 | 54.9%203 W · 167 L | +15.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 53c | 7,665$4,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,583.52 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 1c | 6,325$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.89 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 17c | 6,275$1,039 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,235.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +81.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d2a…9ee3backed Yes | 37c | 6,215$2,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,915.71 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 28c | 5,940$1,679 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.92 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Yes | 16c | 5,912$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,965.84 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.34per pick | 42cpaid | +137%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 52c | 5,564$2,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,919.71 | 66 | 50%33 W · 33 L | +7.4wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +58.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x169d…fb3dbacked No | 3c | 5,497$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 30c | 5,069$1,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,562.11 | 72 | 75%54 W · 18 L | +15.0wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 36c | 5,000$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,199.95 | 506 | 44.3%224 W · 282 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 52c | 4,831$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,331.68 | 154 | 70.8%109 W · 45 L | +22.5wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 64c | 4,810$3,055 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,055.44 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa3b…d6b7backed No | 63c | 4,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,520 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1467…4372backed No | 65c | 3,863$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 97 | 49.5%48 W · 49 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 11c | 3,701$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,287.62 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 68c | 3,461$2,349 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,348.97 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 64c | 3,151$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,002.09 | 1,409 | 44.5%627 W · 782 L | -6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 64c | 3,139$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.11 | 758 | 50%379 W · 379 L | +20.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed No | 2c | 3,105$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.1 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 66c | 3,078$2,045 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,045.35 | 964 | 45.4%438 W · 526 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd05f…8777backed Yes | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,890 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | +13.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +24%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked No | 63c | 2,991$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.63 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +23.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf949…5643backed No | 1c | 2,891$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bea…facbbacked Yes | 20c | 2,884$576 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.38 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 64c | 2,750$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760 | 102 | 36.3%37 W · 65 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes | 19c | 2,705$505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.99 | 74 | 29.7%22 W · 52 L | +12.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +125%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…317cbacked Yes | 37c | 2,615$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,647.76 | 221 | 25.8%57 W · 164 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 14c | 2,601$376 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,224.52 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes | 42c | 2,512$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.67 | 139 | 44.6%62 W · 77 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 62c | 2,480$1,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,532.57 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 65c | 2,325$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$817.15 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8260…eb17backed Yes | 37c | 2,251$833 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,418.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 55c | 2,189$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,202.29 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed No | 37c | 2,147$798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.19 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 36c | 2,124$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,359.45 | 1,283 | 48%616 W · 667 L | -5.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a78…8f87backed Yes | 15c | 2,035$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.87 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc922…2618backed No | 63c | 2,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260 | 409 | 53.3%218 W · 191 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…b26abacked Yes | 37c | 2,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,270 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +4.2wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf032…ad8cbacked Yes | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.97 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeffd…5a86backed Yes | 36c | 2,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,279.96 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaf44…0bbdbacked No | 4c | 1,979$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.15 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes | 36c | 1,787$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,142.09 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Yes | 37c | 1,700$629 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,071 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 7c | 1,529$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.68 | 59 | 27.1%16 W · 43 L | -5.8wins | -0.10per pick | 37cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 36c | 1,500$545 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$954.99 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfbd…21d2backed Yes | 22c | 1,500$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,169.98 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,334.77 | 258 | 36%93 W · 165 L | -7.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…46a6backed Yes | 17c | 1,473$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,222.49 | 68 | 35.3%24 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked No | 64c | 1,422$910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$910 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…6b38backed No | 63c | 1,400$882 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$882 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed No | 64c | 1,394$892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$892.16 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d36…68fdbacked Yes | 37c | 1,351$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$851.35 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 38c | 1,348$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.63 | 100 | 53%53 W · 47 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe706…89bcbacked Yes | 16c | 1,283$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.33 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 35c | 1,244$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$808.85 | 850 | 48.4%411 W · 439 L | +12.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked No | 64c | 1,244$794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$794.06 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 64c | 1,200$768 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$768 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 15c | 1,173$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$992.79 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…3293backed Yes | 18c | 1,111$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$911.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed No | 64c | 1,109$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$709.76 | 301 | 43.9%132 W · 169 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…65dcbacked Yes | 41c | 1,100$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +77.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x92d8…9762backed No | 40c | 1,092$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.96 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +88.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 1,086$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.57 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 37c | 1,081$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.08 | 300 | 50.7%152 W · 148 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1333…173bbacked No | 64c | 1,063$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$680.24 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Yes | 39c | 1,013$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$613.34 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 94 | 51.1%48 W · 46 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed No | 63c | 1,000$630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$630 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6c…c5d8backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640 | 78 | 44.9%35 W · 43 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 256 | 48%123 W · 133 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3704…0e84backed No | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 11c | 950.15$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$848.43 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb529…ad06backed No | 63c | 920.68$580 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.03 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9256…e520backed No | 62c | 900.38$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.73 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…83d5backed Yes | 37c | 890$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8a…8d8abacked Yes | 37c | 881$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a5b…25c5backed Yes | 37c | 870$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e82…f3c4backed Yes | 37c | 870$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$548.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c41…9203backed No | 64c | 866$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 49c | 860.65$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.95 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…eeedbacked Yes | 37c | 860$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba1ebacked No | 64c | 860$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad2…249dbacked No | 64c | 860$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…b1ebbacked No | 64c | 860$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…a673backed No | 64c | 850$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…2ae0backed No | 64c | 850$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bb0…aff9backed No | 64c | 850$544 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?this page
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.