Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5c9c7646060a0e706a9ed6e1c3fa5e964318211406d53c969ea5b91f88d16504
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $395,257
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $395,257 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3cc6…9df6backed Yes | 47c | 121,358$57,021 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57,020.56 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed No | 53c | 82,481$43,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38,766.15 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 27,820$15,751 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,069.05 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed No | 61c | 17,493$10,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,765.85 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +4.2wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed No | 75c | 15,000$11,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,794.67 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4219…7855backed Yes | 37c | 11,302$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 74c | 7,783$5,721 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.61 | 2,558 | 47.7%1,221 W · 1,337 L | +44.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 68c | 6,487$4,416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.85 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 74c | 5,617$4,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,465.74 | 4,768 | 41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 74c | 5,072$3,764 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,307.44 | 1,007 | 51.5%519 W · 488 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 33c | 5,000$1,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,649.97 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.5wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 25c | 4,932$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233 | 857 | 48.5%416 W · 441 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63fa…7ea4backed Yes | 26c | 4,456$1,159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,158.66 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7197…14c8backed No | 47c | 4,000$1,880 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,120 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d9…6964backed Yes | 26c | 3,815$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.88 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25c2…cd02backed Yes | 27c | 3,000$810 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810 | 17 | 76.5%13 W · 4 L | +5.8wins | +0.34per pick | 42cpaid | +137%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xed70…48c1backed No | 74c | 3,000$2,220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$780 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +56.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe726…4c87backed Yes | 26c | 2,882$749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$749.19 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…10dabacked Yes | 11c | 2,827$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.67 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 45c | 2,796$1,264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,264.31 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes | 26c | 2,751$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.3 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe427…c02bbacked Yes | 27c | 2,500$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.54 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 26cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 10c | 2,310$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.59 | 114 | 50.9%58 W · 56 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked No | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,126.89 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed No | 75c | 2,073$1,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.33 | 157 | 57.3%90 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb38a…3293backed Yes | 22c | 1,806$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 23cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597e…cd70backed No | 51c | 1,762$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.54 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0c…bcebbacked Yes | 26c | 1,700$442 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe633…3a32backed Yes | 27c | 1,526$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$411.96 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4df…39a0backed Yes | 71c | 1,411$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.40per pick | 73cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37e6…b6a5backed Yes | 25c | 1,410$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.3 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec5b…aff2backed Yes | 29c | 1,379$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd43…cd41backed No | 74c | 1,351$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.26 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…fa51backed Yes | 55c | 1,330$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe648…b79abacked Yes | 26c | 1,300$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x089b…2193backed Yes | 33c | 1,300$429 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$429 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 58c | 1,242$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720.01 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -4.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed Yes | 42c | 1,239$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed Yes | 26c | 1,200$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +4.2wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed Yes | 25c | 1,162$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.46 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 59c | 1,158$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.26 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +7.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0391…ef9bbacked Yes | 9c | 1,125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 21cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe071…ff3ebacked Yes | 30c | 1,010$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 21cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf87c…da0cbacked No | 55c | 1,000$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb023…f142backed Yes | 25c | 999.99$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 72c | 948.26$683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.25 | 469 | 43.5%204 W · 265 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0652…9134backed Yes | 32c | 937.72$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ce1…d753backed Yes | 56c | 923.69$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.12 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -4.6wins | -0.18per pick | 48cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed No | 69c | 908.05$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.62 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf509…67b9backed No | 79c | 899.99$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 30c | 778.69$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.16 | 271 | 41.7%113 W · 158 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 26c | 770$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.2 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x702b…dedebacked Yes | 26c | 769.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 15.8%3 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 28c | 756$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.25 | 173 | 27.2%47 W · 126 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 70c | 700.3$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.09 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 67c | 699$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.67 | 224 | 58.9%132 W · 92 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd263…27d8backed Yes | 29c | 694.9$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.52 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +257.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd48c…9e7dbacked Yes | 26c | 612.38$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…24cebacked Yes | 6c | 600$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 71 | 31%22 W · 49 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x69e4…9bacbacked Yes | 41c | 586.13$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.14 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 26c | 576.92$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb88…8e33backed Yes | 63c | 527.63$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$332.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a21…50d3backed Yes | 26c | 523.08$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 26c | 520.9$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.38 | 533 | 44.8%239 W · 294 L | -13.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb87…0335backed Yes | 27c | 501$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.78 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Yes | 25c | 499.98$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.99 | 310 | 53.2%165 W · 145 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed No | 74c | 499.88$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.84 | 524 | 54.2%284 W · 240 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe38b…696ebacked Yes | 21c | 481.15$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e3d…bf10backed Yes | 15c | 480$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0390…e9fdbacked Yes | 26c | 457.65$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54fe…5850backed Yes | 6c | 449.98$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -4.8wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 12c | 440.17$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 115 | 27%31 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 290 | 24.8%72 W · 218 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…31f9backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +52.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1a…30d8backed Yes | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x941f…acfabacked Yes | 7c | 400$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 27cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 4c | 386.31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.48 | 105 | 40%42 W · 63 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…5a41backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 155 | 53.5%83 W · 72 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b77…ee2cbacked Yes | 38c | 381.68$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.04 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35d3…e506backed Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 354 | 28.5%101 W · 253 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9db8…2effbacked Yes | 32c | 359.38$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…83cbbacked Yes | 56c | 357.37$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed No | 53c | 349.64$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.33 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 26c | 338$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.8 | 181 | 23.2%42 W · 139 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1529…ba87backed Yes | 31c | 326.04$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked No | 74c | 319.22$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 300 | 50.3%151 W · 149 L | +11.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x814c…7ffabacked No | 74c | 307.67$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.99 | 324 | 53.1%172 W · 152 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 65c | 296.25$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.73 | 451 | 42.6%192 W · 259 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 58c | 291.15$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.45 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 41c | 273.39$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 827 | 63%521 W · 306 L | +113.2wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfa83…4965backed Yes | 38c | 263.51$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe4a3…bce8backed Yes | 26c | 259$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.34 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa80…f251backed Yes | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a50…ea80backed Yes | 27c | 245.78$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.36 | 122 | 36.1%44 W · 78 L | +8.4wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c1…e445backed Yes | 5c | 233.33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae0…8f73backed Yes | 14c | 233.08$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.63 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1abb…5dd3backed No | 75c | 231.55$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01a…bf29backed Yes | 62c | 214.88$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.07 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -2.1wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff5…50eabacked Yes | 26c | 209.92$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.58 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?No won
- Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.