Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x194d1a7f262ab51c189de1bd42afdec5eb5a1cad5f4604841e1e692a1643d9ea

Rebuilt 36 minutes ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Mar 4, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,386,280

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,386,280 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,181 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Premier League
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xd9c4…6f95backed No	63c	196,622$122,906 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$73,716.41	160	40.6%65 W · 95 L	-12.9wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6c74…bd4ebacked No	56c	62,533$35,046 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$27,487.41	113	49.6%56 W · 57 L	-4.8wins	-0.04per pick	54cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed No	56c	53,059$29,588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$23,471.14	2,661	45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L	-11.1wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No	59c	47,379$28,186 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,192.69	6,117	45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L	-28.6wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x49fa…f904backed Yes	38c	42,099$15,964 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,964.24	92	46.7%43 W · 49 L	+9.1wins	+0.10per pick	37cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Yes	38c	40,000$15,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,199.97	12	50%6 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3b5c…126ebacked No	62c	39,962$24,776 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$15,185.51	359	41.5%149 W · 210 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked No	63c	39,683$25,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$14,682.54	114	45.6%52 W · 62 L	+4.8wins	+0.04per pick	41cpaid	+20.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No	62c	30,763$19,012 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,751.06	1,244	49.4%615 W · 629 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72b4…7d67backed No	62c	26,235$16,266 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,969.4	100	57%57 W · 43 L	+8.1wins	+0.08per pick	49cpaid	+16.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Yes	38c	25,000$9,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,500	41	48.8%20 W · 21 L	-1.8wins	-0.04per pick	53cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes	48c	23,727$11,355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,354.89	176	34.1%60 W · 116 L	-13.2wins	-0.08per pick	42cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes	39c	23,444$9,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,100.44	282	42.2%119 W · 163 L	-2.5wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No	58c	21,666$12,627 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,038.44	2,212	49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L	-9.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-4.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes	46c	18,905$8,684 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,683.74	272	35.7%97 W · 175 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf935…3dd1backed Yes	48c	18,386$8,825 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,825.42	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed No	62c	17,006$10,464 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,541.99	241	46.9%113 W · 128 L	+21.1wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+22.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb529…ad06backed No	62c	16,289$10,076 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6,212.63	47	48.9%23 W · 24 L	+1.9wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x25c2…cd02backed Yes	34c	16,000$5,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,359.95	17	76.5%13 W · 4 L	+5.8wins	+0.34per pick	42cpaid	+137%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0x4219…7855backed Yes	49c	14,385$7,097 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,097.1	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-42.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	59c	13,351$7,878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,472.92	4,768	41.8%1,993 W · 2,775 L	+28.2wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-14.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa79…f645backed Yes	8c	13,211$1,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,050	39	23.1%9 W · 30 L	-6.2wins	-0.16per pick	39cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Yes	38c	13,158$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	56	55.4%31 W · 25 L	+3.8wins	+0.07per pick	49cpaid	+23.8%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xeb75…aaf9backed Yes	47c	11,500$5,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,359.77	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-2.3wins	-0.39per pick	56cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x1dc8…da92backed Yes	52c	11,295$5,838 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,838.36	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	53cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6b91…06c4backed Yes	45c	11,068$4,981 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,980.7	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb73…53b0backed Yes	51c	10,649$5,406 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,406	119	42%50 W · 69 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4435…0840backed Yes	38c	10,526$4,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,000	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-3.3wins	-0.13per pick	45cpaid	-19%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed No	62c	10,000$6,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,800	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.7wins	-0.15per pick	48cpaid	-42.1%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf519…906bbacked No	62c	10,000$6,200 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,800	386	49%189 W · 197 L	-6.9wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes	34c	10,000$3,350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,350	206	46.1%95 W · 111 L	-12.6wins	-0.06per pick	52cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa07c…11a0backed Yes	50c	9,985$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	37cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No	42c	9,665$4,077 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,587.37	1,004	46.3%465 W · 539 L	+25.8wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes	36c	9,141$3,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,260.11	413	44.8%185 W · 228 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes	38c	9,000$3,375 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,374.98	159	44.7%71 W · 88 L	+9.7wins	+0.06per pick	39cpaid	+12.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed No	62c	8,864$5,484 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,379.55	160	50.6%81 W · 79 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5c3a…020bbacked No	61c	8,582$5,235 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,346.96	111	49.5%55 W · 56 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Yes	7c	8,140$601 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$601	252	25%63 W · 189 L	-5.5wins	-0.02per pick	27cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x274c…da86backed Yes	36c	8,123$2,937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,937.3	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed No	62c	8,000$4,960 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,039.93	34	52.9%18 W · 16 L	+2.4wins	+0.07per pick	46cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd3ba…e793backed No	62c	7,030$4,388 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,641.79	72	75%54 W · 18 L	+15.0wins	+0.21per pick	54cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	67+0.15 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed No	61c	6,990$4,272 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,718.44	469	43.5%204 W · 265 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	43cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Yes	40c	6,635$2,641 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,640.72	611	43.7%267 W · 344 L	+0.9wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19cd…997abacked Yes	38c	6,534$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.06per pick	44cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x39a5…c9a1backed Yes	39c	6,454$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	72	29.2%21 W · 51 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2682…582abacked Yes	37c	6,000$2,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,220	54	42.6%23 W · 31 L	-3.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-17.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee8e…0a7bbacked Yes	37c	6,000$2,220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,220	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xeffd…5a86backed No	62c	6,000$3,710 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,289.95	92	56.5%52 W · 40 L	+5.0wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes	41c	5,930$2,416 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,416.49	773	36.4%281 W · 492 L	-10.3wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x51aa…10dabacked Yes	34c	5,628$1,914 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,913.56	19	42.1%8 W · 11 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	42cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked No	62c	5,393$3,344 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,049.35	109	51.4%56 W · 53 L	+2.1wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No	62c	5,264$3,276 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,987.52	1,007	51.5%519 W · 488 L	+4.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Yes	38c	5,000$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	184	33.7%62 W · 122 L	+9.0wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2707…0afabacked Yes	33c	5,000$1,650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,650	91	34.1%31 W · 60 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa569…08dfbacked Yes	38c	5,000$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	27	33.3%9 W · 18 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	43cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Yes	38c	5,000$1,920 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,920	83	43.4%36 W · 47 L	+5.6wins	+0.07per pick	37cpaid	+21.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Yes	38c	5,000$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	47cpaid	+14.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4c25…c3bebacked Yes	38c	5,000$1,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,900	89	39.3%35 W · 54 L	-7.3wins	-0.08per pick	47cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfcf2…c73bbacked No	61c	4,900$2,989 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,910.99	10	90%9 W · 1 L	+4.4wins	+0.44per pick	46cpaid	+121.3%equal weight	64+0.13 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked Yes	38c	4,816$1,830 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,830.11	370	54.9%203 W · 167 L	+15.9wins	+0.04per pick	51cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed No	62c	4,683$2,902 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,781.02	131	51.1%67 W · 64 L	+2.9wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Yes	53c	4,200$2,226 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,226	62	40.3%25 W · 37 L	-5.1wins	-0.08per pick	49cpaid	-17.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Yes	39c	4,031$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,578.52	382	33.2%127 W · 255 L	-8.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf676…09c5backed Yes	38c	4,000$1,520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,520	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.50per pick	50cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b62…2e59backed No	61c	4,000$2,440 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,559.99	48	62.5%30 W · 18 L	+6.4wins	+0.13per pick	49cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xf032…ad8cbacked No	62c	4,000$2,460 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,539.98	49	44.9%22 W · 27 L	+4.9wins	+0.10per pick	35cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Yes	37c	3,948$1,461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,460.69	166	51.2%85 W · 81 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes	38c	3,863$1,456 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,456.06	1,146	42.8%490 W · 656 L	-8.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x980d…7763backed Yes	36c	3,760$1,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,356.14	21	19%4 W · 17 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No	63c	3,697$2,314 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,382.51	517	50.1%259 W · 258 L	+19.4wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	+10.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked No	75c	3,553$2,662 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$891.5	697	72.6%506 W · 191 L	+83.8wins	+0.12per pick	61cpaid	+26.7%equal weight	63+0.12 edge/pick
0xff79…a52abacked Yes	53c	3,533$1,878 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,877.74	306	45.8%140 W · 166 L	-11.9wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd3d3…bb8ebacked Yes	54c	3,483$1,893 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,892.86	139	44.6%62 W · 77 L	-9.0wins	-0.06per pick	51cpaid	-8%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc699…7961backed Yes	38c	3,421$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	125	32.8%41 W · 84 L	+4.7wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+28.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x005c…a987backed No	62c	3,266$2,025 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,241.08	255	44.7%114 W · 141 L	-12.3wins	-0.05per pick	50cpaid	-8.8%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6741…b3bcbacked Yes	37c	3,246$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.21per pick	46cpaid	+32.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x661d…4dc6backed Yes	38c	3,179$1,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,222.82	70	48.6%34 W · 36 L	+3.6wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed No	63c	3,175$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,174.6	321	58.9%189 W · 132 L	+13.6wins	+0.04per pick	55cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7702…9791backed Yes	38c	3,158$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	42	40.5%17 W · 25 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	52cpaid	-26.3%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd5…09c2backed Yes	38c	3,150$1,197 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,197	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.40per pick	40cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfe7…820fbacked No	70c	3,100$2,170 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$929.99	22	77.3%17 W · 5 L	+4.2wins	+0.19per pick	58cpaid	+29.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x66ae…9848backed Yes	38c	3,068$1,166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,166	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Yes	38c	3,026$1,150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,149.98	91	53.8%49 W · 42 L	+3.0wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes	30c	3,000$891 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$891.44	506	44.3%224 W · 282 L	-14.0wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-5.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8cb…8f46backed No	62c	3,000$1,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,140	27	63%17 W · 10 L	+2.1wins	+0.08per pick	55cpaid	+16.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x164f…deb3backed Yes	38c	3,000$1,140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,140	50	42%21 W · 29 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	43cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe671…a682backed Yes	45c	3,000$1,360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,359.68	258	36%93 W · 165 L	-7.0wins	-0.03per pick	39cpaid	+1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec2c…19f8backed No	62c	3,000$1,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,140	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.54per pick	45cpaid	+153.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdf05…291bbacked Yes	58c	3,000$1,740 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,740	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.1wins	+0.19per pick	48cpaid	+59.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes	33c	3,000$990 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$990	60	48.3%29 W · 31 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-10%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd05f…8777backed No	62c	3,000$1,860 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,139.95	157	48.4%76 W · 81 L	+13.8wins	+0.09per pick	40cpaid	+24%equal weight	58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2c54…7e41backed No	63c	2,857$1,800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,057.14	40	52.5%21 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes	39c	2,822$1,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,100	52	46.2%24 W · 28 L	-2.8wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-17%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No	62c	2,800$1,723 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,076.99	310	53.2%165 W · 145 L	+5.2wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+2.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked No	63c	2,680$1,685 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$995.4	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	-1.2wins	-0.11per pick	66cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe59e…29babacked Yes	38c	2,632$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	28	46.4%13 W · 15 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	47cpaid	+20.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Yes	38c	2,632$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.99	47	55.3%26 W · 21 L	+3.0wins	+0.06per pick	49cpaid	+16.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xce1e…2dbcbacked Yes	38c	2,630$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.37	4	75%3 W · 1 L	+1.1wins	+0.26per pick	49cpaid	+45.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x108b…ecdabacked Yes	38c	2,616$994 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$994.19	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc42…d93ebacked Yes	38c	2,602$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?this page
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?No won
Will Newcastle United FC win on 2026-03-04?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event