TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x19cd…997a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
55
Categories scored
7
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: La Liga, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category La Liga at 52 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-14%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$8,005Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$8,005.11
Lionel Messi: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$2,112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,112.41
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,095Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,095.04
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$969.7
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$497.66
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$281.91
Argentina vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$285Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$182.37
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$456Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$969.79
Australia vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Spread: France (-3.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Spain win on 2026-06-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$3,660Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$2,340
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,478Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,477.71
Will Morocco win on 2026-06-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$2,072Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$1,628
Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$1,974Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$1,371.57
Will Netherlands win on 2026-03-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$754.1
All 16 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+17.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$3,869Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,869.11
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,050Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,050
Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-03-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$82.94
Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)backed Paris Saint-Germain FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+123.3%+$179.99
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Club Atlético de Madrid (-1.5)backed Club Atlético de Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+212.9%+$298.01
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$400
FC Internazionale Milano vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+56.3%+$56.25
Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)backed FC Internazionale Milano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)backed Newcastle United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+203%+$203.03
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Club Brugge KV vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+85.2%+$42.59
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-02-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,070Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+122.2%+$1,308.07
All 14 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT1250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,963Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,963.38
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-03-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$2,013Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+96%+$1,932.44
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$5,190Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+189%+$9,809.83
Will Real Madrid CF vs. Getafe CF end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$4,000
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Will Girona FC win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-02-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$150.88
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-02-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+66.7%+$133.33
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-02-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$800Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST-100%-$800
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$5,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+147.1%+$7,355.45
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$4,948Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+177.8%+$8,796.05
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-02-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,998Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$2,998.5
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-47.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,079Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$1,221
Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$1,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,080
Will FC Twente '65 win on 2026-02-15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
All 3 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Udinese Calcio win on 2026-02-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 23, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. FC Augsburg end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$970Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$969.8
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.