TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Valencia CF win on 2026-02-15?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$176,793
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$211,020

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $176,793 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 183 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x19cd…997abacked Yes36c13,744$4,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,796.051250%6 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6d11…c449backed No64c10,316$6,602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,602.226839.7%27 W · 41 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No66c8,920$5,863 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,863.34,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1867…92cabacked No64c7,668$4,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,907.7513046.2%60 W · 70 L-4.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08c5…43edbacked No67c6,577$4,407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,406.592948.3%14 W · 15 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid+2.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80cf…427dbacked Yes34c5,500$1,870 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,63015044.7%67 W · 83 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94a5…9838backed No67c4,721$3,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,163.076346%29 W · 34 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No65c4,285$2,775 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,774.712,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No66c3,922$2,588 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,588.461,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x59e5…1cb4backed Yes36c3,755$1,352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,403.42536%9 W · 16 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes46c3,638$1,659 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.4890843.6%396 W · 512 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No41c3,182$1,306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.291,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb22a…8e6cbacked Yes34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,9801361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick42cpaid+87%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x585c…f0a7backed Yes34c3,000$1,020 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,979.995942.4%25 W · 34 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d3a…64b7backed Yes33c3,000$990 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,009.991050%5 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.21per pick29cpaid+111.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x12b9…3ec2backed No3c2,716$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.829851%50 W · 48 L+12.8wins+0.13per pick38cpaid+43.2%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
0x8544…3d33backed No76c2,632$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0002462.5%15 W · 9 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick69cpaid-4.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed No66c2,600$1,716 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,71664046.9%300 W · 340 L-2.7wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7434…2ff4backed Yes34c2,394$814 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,579.912236.1%44 W · 78 L+0.2wins0.00per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa196…5b78backed Yes34c2,090$710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,380.3916740.1%67 W · 100 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd13e…f2d6backed Yes36c1,956$704 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.983158.1%18 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb9f3…0979backed Yes31c1,910$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,317.971241.7%5 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf6d0…9391backed Yes34c1,690$575 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,115.372065%13 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.11per pick54cpaid+21%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes36c1,500$540 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96011333.6%38 W · 75 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-9.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked No29c1,243$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.473327.3%9 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick27cpaid+70.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc16…40a5backed No29c1,099$323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.7720843.3%90 W · 118 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc7c…958ebacked No3c1,013$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.3911336.3%41 W · 72 L+9.9wins+0.09per pick28cpaid+450.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Yes74c1,011$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$262.9769142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked No67c1,000$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$670757.1%4 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick58cpaid+26.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14c2…7d55backed No35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504332.6%14 W · 29 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1b4d…e246backed Yes35c952.28$333 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.982138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick43cpaid+2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes33c942.42$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631.4249447%232 W · 262 L+8.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x389b…8d69backed Yes36c836$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.04757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+22.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd1af…67b6backed Yes34c800$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5281100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.66per pick34cpaid+194.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Yes34c793.1$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521.9142851.4%220 W · 208 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Yes35c759$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$495.4615246.1%70 W · 82 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2c5f…ced0backed No63c708.93$447 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$446.632657.7%15 W · 11 L+2.1wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+10%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked No65c689$448 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$447.8520449.5%101 W · 103 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c0f…fe01backed Yes74c650.46$481 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.12560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa62d…92e0backed Yes36c639.29$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$409.296222.6%14 W · 48 L-4.9wins-0.08per pick30cpaid-36.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x117a…a264backed Yes35c636.71$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$412.123053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf438…de5dbacked Yes34c588.24$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.242321.7%5 W · 18 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick28cpaid-34.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x73c5…2f80backed No73c584$427 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$427.076235.5%22 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Yes41c544$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$322.3612944.2%57 W · 72 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Yes35c536$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$349.5313249.2%65 W · 67 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0bc…b904backed Yes80c533.75$427 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.751442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6dbf…1043backed Yes35c511.43$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332.43333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ec4…f4a4backed No65c500$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+26.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdf37…8b49backed No64c500$320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3204740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed Yes35c500$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3259656.3%54 W · 42 L+2.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8314…0f1ebacked No65c499.99$325 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324.9910046%46 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d51…d971backed No70c453.63$318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.541758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb853…0d33backed Yes36c434.08$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.8110437.5%39 W · 65 L-3.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Yes34c420.01$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.0283650.7%424 W · 412 L+0.6wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84f3…db3dbacked Yes36c416.67$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$266.671127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.20per pick47cpaid-35%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes74c414$305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.6525872.9%188 W · 70 L+23.2wins+0.09per pick64cpaid+12.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x43f2…754cbacked Yes36c388.89$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$248.891258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.7wins+0.14per pick44cpaid+23.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdcbd…5165backed No5c356.33$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.83837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-32.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5631…bd3abacked Yes36c344.44$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$220.447251.4%37 W · 35 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe1c3…a583backed Yes65c330.88$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.811553.3%8 W · 7 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick59cpaid+2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1d1…a6a0backed Yes74c328.45$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.631040%4 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-39%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0cb1…5286backed Yes34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19815940.3%64 W · 95 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd6f6…8906backed Yes34c300$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick35cpaid-41.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No66c289.66$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.921,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xae2b…90eabacked Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.711650%8 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+19.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Yes31c281$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.0211736.8%43 W · 74 L+6.7wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.785844.8%26 W · 32 L+3.9wins+0.07per pick38cpaid+9.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x88ad…9e5fbacked Yes72c277.78$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.781650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-26.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x52ed…6af7backed Yes36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.781560%9 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed Yes64c236$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.773339.4%13 W · 20 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac7a…29c8backed No63c224.05$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$141.15742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+13.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x43ff…30e8backed Yes32c187.5$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.51353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick41cpaid+38%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4706…286ebacked Yes34c186.08$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.6520642.7%88 W · 118 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9095…2f3fbacked No67c184$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No6c181.31$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4829038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x23de…05c1backed Yes33c180.65$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.652737%10 W · 17 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No6c175$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.560832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No26c160$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.635145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked No66c151.51$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10032145.8%147 W · 174 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4b4e…1a36backed Yes35c151.43$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.431100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.65per pick35cpaid+185.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Yes72c149.77$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.9226930.5%82 W · 187 L-21.4wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-42.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d3a…6484backed Yes34c147.06$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.062560%15 W · 10 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+31.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x559e…7fe2backed Yes35c145.49$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.572360.9%14 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa0d…ecf3backed Yes36c140$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.6366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick28cpaid+100.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3ffc…4487backed Yes36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.892556%14 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9339…5bb1backed Yes72c138.89$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.891100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3486…49eebacked Yes31c129.03$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.0326545.3%120 W · 145 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes33c127.8$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.9915444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yes71c126.2$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.617044.1%75 W · 95 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes45c121.25$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.8279133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22cc…8aeabacked No65c120.96$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.3211751.3%60 W · 57 L+0.4wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Yes34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.6517856.2%100 W · 78 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa7f…3223backed Yes34c117.65$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.655642.9%24 W · 32 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab75…cce0backed No65c115.77$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.253060%18 W · 12 L+2.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9dee…a0f4backed Yes23c108.7$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.7742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.13per pick30cpaid+79.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dec…3302backed Yes37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639033.3%30 W · 60 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Yes34c100$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6611120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb8b1…1539backed Yes36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick43cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfc83…d418backed Yes36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-7.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8819…4cf5backed Yes37c100$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$633941%16 W · 23 L-3.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-25.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.