TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x9095…2f3f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
130
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Tennis at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT8852.3%46 W · 42 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 88 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$999Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$1,563.31
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$1,000
Counter-Strike: FUT Esports vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+69.5%+$20.5
Counter-Strike: G2 vs Legacy - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Gaimin Gladiators (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1backed Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,014Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+64.8%+$656.5
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$219Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+37%+$81
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs TheMongolz - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$650Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+53.8%+$350
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$595Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$594.86
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+203%+$214.4
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+42.9%+$41.55
Counter-Strike: G2 vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+127.3%+$252
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs paiN (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$1,084Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+64.7%+$701.22
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$980Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+28.1%+$275.5
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FUT Esports (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$260Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST-100%-$259.66
Counter-Strike: Passion UA vs Wildcard (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: American Qualifier Playoffsbacked Passion UA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$1,221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 12, 2026, EST+31.6%+$385.42
Counter-Strike: fnatic vs 33 (BO3) - IEM Atlanta: Global Qualifier Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$1,993Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$1,993.38
Will Team Vitality win IEM Krakow 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$680Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$680
Will FURIA win IEM Krakow 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$286.69
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 6, 2026, EST-100%-$191.66
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Bbacked 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$276Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$275.62
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$69.93
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Astralis (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$49.5
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+156.4%+$38.96
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Abacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$796.53
Showing 25 of 88 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT2634.6%9 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-37.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Tennis — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Miami Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Sebastian Kordabacked Carlos Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$999Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$999.44
Lugano: Dominic Stephan Stricker vs Hugo Grenierbacked Grenier · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$185Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$184.97
Merida Open Akron: Cadence Brace vs Zeynep Sonmezbacked Brace · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$319Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$319.21
Merida Open Akron: Jessica Bouzas Maneiro vs Heather Watsonbacked Watson · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$29.82
Merida Open Akron: Camila Osorio vs Janice Tjenbacked Tjen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$427Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$426.95
Tigre 2: Franco Roncadelli vs Alvaro Guillen Mezabacked Roncadelli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$15.15
St. Brieuc: Raphael Perot vs Pierre-Hugues Herbertbacked Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$265Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+58.7%+$155.4
Mexican Open: Patrick Kypson vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,498Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$1,498.2
Rotterdam Open: Alex de Minaur vs Felix Auger-Aliassimebacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$204Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+150%+$306.7
Open Sud de France: Luca Nardi vs Flavio Cobollibacked Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$500
Australian Open Women's: Elina Svitolina vs Mirra Andreevabacked Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$192
Australian Open Men's: Ben Shelton vs Valentin Vacherotbacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$168Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$168
Brisbane International: Valentin Vacherot vs Sebastian Kordabacked Vacherot · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$2,133Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 5, 2026, EST-100%-$2,133
Battle of the Sexes: Aryna Sabalenka vs Nick Kyrgiosbacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,532Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 28, 2025, EST-100%-$1,531.81
Next Gen ATP Finals, Final Stage: Learner Tien vs Nishesh Basavareddybacked Basavareddy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$54.89
Next Gen ATP Finals, Group B: Martin Landaluce vs Nicolai Budkov Kjaerbacked Kjaer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$1,065Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 18, 2025, EST+48.3%+$514.28
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Taylor Fritz vs Alex de Minaurbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$25.73
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Alex de Minaurbacked Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$600Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$600
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Carlos Alcaraz vs Taylor Fritzbacked Alcaraz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$444Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+73.5%+$325.95
ATP World Tour Finals, Jimmy Connors Group: Lorenzo Musetti vs Taylor Fritzbacked Fritz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$79Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST+51.5%+$40.64
ATP World Tour Finals, Bjorn Borg Group: Alexander Zverev vs Ben Sheltonbacked Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$100
Hellenic Championship: Novak Djokovic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+119.6%+$237.84
WTA Finals, Final Stage: Aryna Sabalenka vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Sabalenka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$125Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+67.5%+$84.39
Hellenic Championship: Sebastian Korda vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+104.2%+$156.23
BNP Paribas Nordic Open: Elias Ymer vs Denis Shapovalovbacked Ymer · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$200
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+64.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Magic vs. Lakers: O/U 226.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$155Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+122.2%+$189.7
Clippers vs. Rocketsbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+40.8%+$69.31
Raptors vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$3,118Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+31.6%+$984.72
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 15, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Dec 23, 2025, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigeria win on 2025-12-23?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 23, 2025, EST-100%-$162
Will Germany win on 2025-10-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 13, 2025, EDT-100%-$215
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.69per pick31cpaid+220.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2025-12-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST+220.3%+$176.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 5, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Hilal Saudi Club win on 2026-02-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$71Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$71.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Dec 27, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2025-12-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$389Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 27, 2025, EST-100%-$388.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$266Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 13, 2026, EST-100%-$265.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 4, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Mercury vs. Acesbacked Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$285Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 4, 2025, EDT-100%-$285
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Jan 6, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-01-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$2,221Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 6, 2026, EST-100%-$2,220.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 13, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.69per pick69cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Liquid (BO5) - BLAST Slam Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$124.55
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$865Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$865.45
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.