CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6a3ee7b0cc6b65f1bda27fe8f393fdc151498ce364ca0c40d39642d799830bc7

Rebuilt 16 hours ago.

Winning outcome: FURIAof FURIA, Natus Vincere
Resolved: Feb 2, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: CS2every record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $202,028
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $245,561

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $202,028 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 168 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in CS2
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere	40c	39,485$15,829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,829.14	3,257	50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L	+98.0wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked FURIA	68c	23,562$15,974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,588.17	87	58.6%51 W · 36 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	57cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc36b…a540backed FURIA	61c	6,394$3,927 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,467.26	93	37.6%35 W · 58 L	-2.6wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-32.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked FURIA	52c	5,676$2,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,705.07	3,096	48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L	+135.0wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-5.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7f26…ea16backed Natus Vincere	54c	5,579$3,033 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,033.01	10	50%5 W · 5 L	-1.3wins	-0.13per pick	63cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xac70…2d8dbacked Natus Vincere	50c	5,508$2,730 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,730.26	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	48cpaid	+1.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed FURIA	48c	5,393$2,595 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,797.27	2,066	41.5%858 W · 1,208 L	-49.5wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-16.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA	34c	4,846$1,646 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,199.96	1,611	45.4%731 W · 880 L	+30.0wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed FURIA	46c	4,102$1,887 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,214.9	50	48%24 W · 26 L	+2.6wins	+0.05per pick	43cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfadd…3955backed FURIA	45c	2,966$1,331 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,635.87	80	52.5%42 W · 38 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA	50c	2,698$1,356 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,342.5	1,040	44%458 W · 582 L	-22.2wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf84e…6cbebacked Natus Vincere	63c	2,000$1,260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,260	46	50%23 W · 23 L	-1.4wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA	46c	1,974$908 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,065.81	817	51.7%422 W · 395 L	-6.0wins	-0.01per pick	52cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe41f…d9dcbacked Natus Vincere	49c	1,933$940 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$940	656	50.3%330 W · 326 L	-15.4wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc67…5286backed FURIA	64c	1,924$1,225 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$699.65	1,033	61.6%636 W · 397 L	+87.2wins	+0.08per pick	53cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x331a…ff18backed Natus Vincere	54c	1,809$977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$976.75	78	41%32 W · 46 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-18%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ec4…6529backed FURIA	48c	1,783$858 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$924.41	89	44.9%40 W · 49 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere	59c	1,742$1,024 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,024.2	352	42.9%151 W · 201 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked FURIA	42c	1,510$633 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$877.85	210	42.9%90 W · 120 L	-12.2wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x67c3…0e36backed Natus Vincere	52c	1,342$698 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$698.03	48	60.4%29 W · 19 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	62cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc918…f848backed FURIA	75c	1,329$1,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$328.89	11	63.6%7 W · 4 L	+0.5wins	+0.04per pick	59cpaid	-4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc192…086cbacked Natus Vincere	31c	1,278$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	275	30.9%85 W · 190 L	-18.6wins	-0.07per pick	38cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5aa4…16e3backed Natus Vincere	44c	1,253$557 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$556.87	765	46.7%357 W · 408 L	-13.2wins	-0.02per pick	48cpaid	-5.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5bc1…9932backed Natus Vincere	56c	1,252$701 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700.96	70	54.3%38 W · 32 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	51cpaid	+6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked FURIA	45c	1,118$503 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$615.16	7,925	50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L	+179.4wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked FURIA	36c	1,096$393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$702.95	1,054	49%516 W · 538 L	+38.1wins	+0.04per pick	45cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x530c…89f1backed FURIA	74c	1,086$800 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$286.06	92	50%46 W · 46 L	+2.4wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+17.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa090…9854backed Natus Vincere	54c	931.23$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	72	38.9%28 W · 44 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0e3…dd00backed Natus Vincere	55c	909.09$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	22	36.4%8 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.04per pick	40cpaid	-25%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9c9…f6e0backed FURIA	73c	882.26$642 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$240.46	34	29.4%10 W · 24 L	-4.3wins	-0.13per pick	42cpaid	-37.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8240…edebbacked Natus Vincere	54c	729.44$394 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$393.9	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	55cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec0e…672cbacked FURIA	57c	727$416 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$311.47	477	38.4%183 W · 294 L	-26.7wins	-0.06per pick	44cpaid	-31.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4d84…21b1backed FURIA	53c	706.25$376 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$330.32	273	48.4%132 W · 141 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked FURIA	60c	663.63$401 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$262.65	451	62.3%281 W · 170 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	61cpaid	+1.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc382…2b24backed FURIA	53c	655.81$348 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$308.23	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa35b…60e9backed Natus Vincere	40c	622.89$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	550	43.1%237 W · 313 L	-7.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…bb5dbacked FURIA	47c	602.43$283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$319.69	41	43.9%18 W · 23 L	-1.3wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-3.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed FURIA	53c	541.03$284 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.69	468	43.4%203 W · 265 L	-11.7wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb8ca…3d64backed FURIA	61c	526.84$323 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$203.55	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	57cpaid	-26.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere	27c	519.9$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.4	2,221	41.3%917 W · 1,304 L	-22.6wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba4c…1362backed FURIA	59c	512.54$300 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$212.54	18	44.4%8 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	47cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2218…9467backed Natus Vincere	59c	508.97$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	16	56.3%9 W · 7 L	+0.8wins	+0.05per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Natus Vincere	19c	500$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.31	1,278	21.9%280 W · 998 L	-24.3wins	-0.02per pick	24cpaid	-16.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c5e…269bbacked Natus Vincere	62c	483.87$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	420	50%210 W · 210 L	-10.5wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-3.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x888a…ef47backed Natus Vincere	43c	465.12$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	44	43.2%19 W · 25 L	-1.7wins	-0.04per pick	47cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c7…3fa6backed Natus Vincere	65c	462.74$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	+29.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d7e…3248backed FURIA	42c	441.77$185 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256.5	119	28.6%34 W · 85 L	-3.3wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-24.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4de4…cd16backed Natus Vincere	48c	417$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200.16	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.09per pick	42cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x34f9…12ebbacked FURIA	48c	416.46$198 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$218.43	268	36.6%98 W · 170 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Natus Vincere	48c	400$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192	589	61.3%361 W · 228 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	62cpaid	-2.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x184e…b307backed Natus Vincere	8c	390.23$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32.78	26	38.5%10 W · 16 L	-2.6wins	-0.10per pick	48cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb4e…0734backed Natus Vincere	61c	390.02$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$237.91	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.6wins	-0.61per pick	61cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed Natus Vincere	52c	383.99$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	67	55.2%37 W · 30 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	56cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb379…3a8cbacked FURIA	40c	372.68$150 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$222.5	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.06per pick	33cpaid	-6.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xecc7…01e0backed Natus Vincere	30c	369.52$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.45	78	39.7%31 W · 47 L	+3.7wins	+0.05per pick	35cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed FURIA	45c	341.61$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$186.55	193	42%81 W · 112 L	-12.1wins	-0.06per pick	48cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xeb24…d6cdbacked Natus Vincere	5c	322.69$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e33…a3a2backed Natus Vincere	32c	312.5$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	35cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60b4…6313backed Natus Vincere	45c	301.02$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	93	64.5%60 W · 33 L	-3.4wins	-0.04per pick	68cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Natus Vincere	28c	283$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.51	2,776	37.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L	-140.2wins	-0.05per pick	42cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x17e2…d472backed FURIA	55c	276.43$153 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.43	266	24.4%65 W · 201 L	-26.9wins	-0.10per pick	35cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x7811…6e14backed Natus Vincere	58c	260$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.8	164	42.7%70 W · 94 L	-4.0wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Natus Vincere	40c	250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	229	52%119 W · 110 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x92f5…13e5backed Natus Vincere	54c	250$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	151	42.4%64 W · 87 L	-7.5wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f97…4059backed FURIA	46c	228.34$105 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$123.3	461	49.9%230 W · 231 L	-1.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x59de…dd4ebacked Natus Vincere	45c	228.24$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.6wins	-0.39per pick	39cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FURIA	45c	226.33$102 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$124.48	5,511	47%2,590 W · 2,921 L	+42.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-4.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9095…2f3fbacked Natus Vincere	32c	218.53$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.93	88	52.3%46 W · 42 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Natus Vincere	62c	200$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	406	55.7%226 W · 180 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	-0.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fb8…85b9backed Natus Vincere	49c	200$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98	66	40.9%27 W · 39 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc694…1171backed Natus Vincere	45c	200$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	476	41.6%198 W · 278 L	+2.9wins	+0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Natus Vincere	54c	200$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.51	420	57.6%242 W · 178 L	+19.3wins	+0.05per pick	53cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb5cd…ced6backed Natus Vincere	16c	199.99$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	27cpaid	-46.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0386…2b1abacked FURIA	32c	187.5$60 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$127.5	700	36.1%253 W · 447 L	+18.4wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	+26.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked FURIA	50c	180$90 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90	1,157	48.2%558 W · 599 L	+3.9wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x711a…9240backed Natus Vincere	49c	176.44$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.97	60	40%24 W · 36 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	46cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x849f…0665backed FURIA	48c	173.44$83 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$90.19	177	45.8%81 W · 96 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	45cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Natus Vincere	45c	170.38$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.67	277	35.7%99 W · 178 L	-5.0wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8f93…bffabacked FURIA	62c	170$106 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.3	789	63.8%503 W · 286 L	-2.5wins	0.00per pick	64cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Natus Vincere	41c	170$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.93	4,038	48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L	-23.9wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Natus Vincere	47c	167.74$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.62	1,969	46.7%919 W · 1,050 L	+12.4wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-14.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Natus Vincere	62c	166.67$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.34	609	53.4%325 W · 284 L	-31.0wins	-0.05per pick	58cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd00…7a45backed Natus Vincere	47c	159.73$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	317	57.7%183 W · 134 L	-2.8wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb963…3fa0backed Natus Vincere	56c	155$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.8	500	43%215 W · 285 L	-10.9wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4cf4…b11abacked FURIA	47c	150.34$71 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$79.68	49	61.2%30 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	62cpaid	-2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf40f…8dcfbacked Natus Vincere	32c	150$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48	48	58.3%28 W · 20 L	+10.2wins	+0.21per pick	37cpaid	+65.5%equal weight	66+0.14 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked FURIA	39c	144.64$56 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$88.23	334	59%197 W · 137 L	+24.3wins	+0.07per pick	52cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xd897…7e59backed FURIA	66c	141.31$93 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$47.97	15	73.3%11 W · 4 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	65cpaid	+4.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0969…b289backed Natus Vincere	50c	133$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.96	192	47.9%92 W · 100 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+5.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9679…8e0dbacked Natus Vincere	32c	131.97$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.69	44	25%11 W · 33 L	-1.6wins	-0.04per pick	29cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed FURIA	51c	131.55$67 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$64.26	1,378	45.2%623 W · 755 L	+17.9wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	-7.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5541…f1e3backed Natus Vincere	53c	130.59$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	191	50.8%97 W · 94 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x309a…f474backed Natus Vincere	68c	129.17$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$87.32	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-14.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Natus Vincere	40c	127.78$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.43	1,547	33.9%524 W · 1,023 L	-73.4wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xeb2d…6613backed Natus Vincere	45c	125$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.95	17	64.7%11 W · 6 L	+1.7wins	+0.10per pick	54cpaid	+33.2%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x82bf…de71backed FURIA	53c	122.97$65 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$57.82	623	50.9%317 W · 306 L	+18.5wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2133…7903backed Natus Vincere	35c	120$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42	388	35.8%139 W · 249 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-10.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Natus Vincere	29c	120$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.1	4,228	49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L	+59.9wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed FURIA	64c	117.19$75 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$42.19	341	46.6%159 W · 182 L	-6.8wins	-0.02per pick	49cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe974…bb41backed FURIA	60c	116.9$70 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$46.9	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+2.2wins	+0.28per pick	60cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winnerthis page
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group AFURIA won
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 Winner

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event