CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group A
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xca3b0085c3e902a8223d289a0a35c509dad41afdb8320646d83a99a2df83091a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof FURIA, Natus Vincere
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,399,261
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,451,293
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,399,261 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 789 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked FURIA | 67c | 169,361$112,835 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,525.57 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 145,000$65,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,149.99 | 392 | 49%192 W · 200 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5877…d894backed FURIA | 58c | 100,000$58,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,999.97 | 79 | 43%34 W · 45 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed FURIA | 55c | 71,146$38,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,334.76 | 210 | 51%107 W · 103 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 70,592$31,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,707.32 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc65c…ea39backed FURIA | 57c | 55,000$31,350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,649.93 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 41,533$17,610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,610.41 | 3,256 | 50.3%1,637 W · 1,619 L | +97.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…be00backed FURIA | 57c | 39,579$22,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,027.89 | 416 | 49.8%207 W · 209 L | +19.5wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb784…61d0backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 37,440$15,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,873.61 | 71 | 46.5%33 W · 38 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf3…b218backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 36,539$6,559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,559.26 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fe1…4d7fbacked FURIA | 57c | 31,639$18,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,572.74 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8fa…77b5backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 30,001$12,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,900.37 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -9.6wins | -0.26per pick | 48cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 33-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xac47…d234backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 27,544$12,946 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,945.68 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe8…3549backed FURIA | 57c | 25,890$14,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,132.82 | 139 | 54.7%76 W · 63 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Natus Vincere | 29c | 24,231$6,940 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,939.58 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d58…9a15backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 24,057$10,232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,232.06 | 144 | 41.7%60 W · 84 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…d703backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 21,290$9,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,424.24 | 385 | 52.7%203 W · 182 L | -7.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3dd…a7e0backed FURIA | 55c | 20,915$11,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,411.91 | 92 | 47.8%44 W · 48 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f5…c669backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 20,000$8,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,397.53 | 670 | 41.8%280 W · 390 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef26…05babacked Natus Vincere | 49c | 18,103$8,913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,912.5 | 598 | 39.6%237 W · 361 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 16,595$7,488 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,488.44 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +9.9wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc85…3532backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 15,500$6,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,658.87 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf988…d63bbacked Natus Vincere | 53c | 14,899$7,952 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,952.27 | 358 | 50.8%182 W · 176 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcf…c556backed Natus Vincere | 44c | 13,636$6,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,000 | 238 | 39.9%95 W · 143 L | -11.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf801…901cbacked FURIA | 53c | 13,285$7,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,243.94 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +20%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9027…4e9ebacked FURIA | 58c | 13,103$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,503.45 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ec…41aebacked Natus Vincere | 18c | 13,054$2,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,349.72 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 12,500$5,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,375 | 194 | 55.2%107 W · 87 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 12,495$5,343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,342.5 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed2c…9597backed Natus Vincere | 45c | 11,641$5,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,206.66 | 121 | 50.4%61 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f26…ea16backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 11,000$5,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,043.53 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…a540backed FURIA | 57c | 10,324$5,877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,447.34 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ec…5348backed FURIA | 57c | 10,000$5,700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,299.97 | 724 | 53.7%389 W · 335 L | +11.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 9,678$4,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,451.68 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd00…7a45backed Natus Vincere | 64c | 9,402$5,982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,981.56 | 317 | 57.7%183 W · 134 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8f…20abbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 8,988$3,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,924.64 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70c5…457fbacked FURIA | 63c | 8,956$5,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,354.53 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…de5abacked Natus Vincere | 21c | 7,185$1,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,494.28 | 244 | 40.6%99 W · 145 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Natus Vincere | 35c | 6,794$2,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,374.12 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac70…2d8dbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 6,666$2,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,933.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67b6…00bcbacked FURIA | 57c | 6,500$3,705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,795 | 285 | 38.2%109 W · 176 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd09…a188backed FURIA | 57c | 6,361$3,650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,710.66 | 196 | 45.4%89 W · 107 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed FURIA | 57c | 6,000$3,420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,579.97 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x699f…c3a9backed Natus Vincere | 52c | 5,570$2,893 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,893.18 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…9b4dbacked FURIA | 58c | 5,533$3,209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,323.86 | 325 | 52.6%171 W · 154 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed Natus Vincere | 16c | 5,381$887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886.99 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ea…1d41backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 5,251$2,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,245.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ade…e692backed Natus Vincere | 46c | 5,204$2,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,398.99 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf989…47ccbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 5,167$2,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,222 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x331a…ff18backed Natus Vincere | 29c | 5,103$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef50…e3bdbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 5,023$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,159.98 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -39%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5eab…d552backed FURIA | 53c | 5,000$2,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,360 | 186 | 24.2%45 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4b7…3c8bbacked FURIA | 57c | 5,000$2,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,149.98 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed FURIA | 57c | 4,860$2,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.22 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x153a…9d6dbacked FURIA | 57c | 4,831$2,753 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,077.52 | 124 | 49.2%61 W · 63 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 4,707$2,011 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,010.9 | 446 | 48.4%216 W · 230 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43ab…b6ffbacked FURIA | 58c | 4,685$2,732 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,952.58 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Natus Vincere | 38c | 4,585$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.1 | 2,057 | 41.5%853 W · 1,204 L | -50.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…7f2abacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 4,572$1,966 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,966.13 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x491d…f42bbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 4,470$1,921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,921.38 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf84e…6cbebacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 4,468$2,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,025.28 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4108…9e22backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 4,313$1,831 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,831 | 119 | 40.3%48 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Natus Vincere | 40c | 4,169$1,659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,659.33 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 4,076$1,696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,696.2 | 967 | 40.7%394 W · 573 L | +12.6wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…a71dbacked FURIA | 58c | 4,000$2,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,680 | 150 | 50.7%76 W · 74 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed FURIA | 57c | 4,000$2,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,720 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb373…c8b0backed Natus Vincere | 37c | 3,993$1,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,458.59 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…d0d0backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 3,953$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 92 | 34.8%32 W · 60 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed FURIA | 63c | 3,729$2,357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,372.84 | 468 | 43.4%203 W · 265 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed FURIA | 58c | 3,607$2,076 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530.63 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +38.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x790a…b48fbacked FURIA | 58c | 3,425$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,424.67 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c6…1c37backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 3,415$1,209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,209.18 | 119 | 37.8%45 W · 74 L | -6.6wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked FURIA | 59c | 3,390$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.83 | 45 | 48.9%22 W · 23 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA | 54c | 3,345$1,815 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,529.06 | 817 | 51.7%422 W · 395 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x724b…e780backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 3,268$588 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$588.24 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed FURIA | 48c | 3,266$1,579 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,687.07 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked FURIA | 63c | 3,114$1,976 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,137.96 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa090…9854backed FURIA | 72c | 3,049$2,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$862.77 | 72 | 38.9%28 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed Natus Vincere | 18c | 3,000$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Natus Vincere | 45c | 3,000$1,350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,349.98 | 812 | 44.3%360 W · 452 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc68d…2fe8backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 3,000$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,259.96 | 51 | 29.4%15 W · 36 L | -8.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x29df…8ebcbacked Natus Vincere | 41c | 2,900$1,189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,189 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a2…d0a5backed Natus Vincere | 47c | 2,864$1,346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,346.24 | 135 | 46.7%63 W · 72 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2218…9467backed Natus Vincere | 35c | 2,863$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5351…9b3cbacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,799$1,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,175.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +41.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked FURIA | 64c | 2,792$1,798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$994.22 | 1,040 | 44%458 W · 582 L | -22.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,791$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed FURIA | 53c | 2,591$1,386 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,205.03 | 1,033 | 61.6%636 W · 397 L | +87.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x15fe…c871backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,570$1,079 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,079.4 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA | 66c | 2,504$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$849.72 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a61…5781backed FURIA | 59c | 2,458$1,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,007.63 | 49 | 55.1%27 W · 22 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac5f…7f12backed Natus Vincere | 41c | 2,450$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.48 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3402…9446backed Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,400$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.94 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c9…b2f1backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,395$1,030 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,030 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa558…1b44backed Natus Vincere | 43c | 2,326$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 64 | 32.8%21 W · 43 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked FURIA | 58c | 2,222$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.16 | 1,621 | 44.8%726 W · 895 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac3…5572backed FURIA | 58c | 2,214$1,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.04 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 66cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7e7cbacked FURIA | 53c | 2,211$1,174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.29 | 210 | 42.9%90 W · 120 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42b7…77dcbacked Natus Vincere | 44c | 2,192$975 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$975 | 352 | 42.9%151 W · 201 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb08f…4dbebacked Natus Vincere | 42c | 2,189$919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$919.46 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Krakow Group Athis page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere - Map 2 WinnerNatus Vincere won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: FURIA (-1.5) vs Natus Vincere (+1.5)Natus Vincere won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.