TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf7c6…1c37

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
169
Categories scored
13
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 65 out of 100 (+0.14 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 65 out of 100; worst La Liga at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 18, 2026, EDT11937.8%45 W · 74 L-6.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-21.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
CS2 — the 119 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 9z win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will BetBoom win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will FUT win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will The MongolZ win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$113.04
Will Legacy win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will GamerLegion win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Sharks vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Sharks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$355Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$355.35
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Counter-Strike: illwill vs fnatic (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #2 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+26.3%+$26.25
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Heroic - Map 2 Winnerbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.72
Counter-Strike: TDK vs Nemiga (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Finals Playoffsbacked Nemiga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: 9z vs Sharks (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked 9z · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$476Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.5
Counter-Strike: Eternal Fire vs fnatic (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Playoffsbacked fnatic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Alliance (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: SemperFi Esports vs THUNDER dOWNUNDER (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Asia-Pacific Finals Playoffsbacked THUNDER dOWNUNDER · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs NIP (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked Heroic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs magic (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 2 Playoffsbacked magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$36.06
Counter-Strike: EYEBALLERS vs Alliance (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+105.1%+$52.54
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Alliance - Map 2 Winnerbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$19.44
Counter-Strike: Walczaki vs Sashi Esport (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffsbacked Sashi Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs EYEBALLERS (BO3) - Conquest of Prague Finals Playoffsbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Counter-Strike: Wildcard vs FOKUS (BO3) - BC Game Masters Championship Playoffsbacked FOKUS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.5
Will FURIA win IEM Rio 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$58.8
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$261Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$261.01
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$374Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+106.1%+$397.13
Showing 25 of 119 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffsbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.8
LoL: Kiwoom DRX Challengers vs BNK FearX Youth (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2backed BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
LoL: BIG vs G2 NORD (BO5) - Prime League 1st Division Playoffsbacked G2 NORD · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$81.58
Game Handicap: SLY (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp Blue (+1.5)backed Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Solary vs Karmine Corp Blue (BO5) - LFL Playoffsbacked Karmine Corp Blue · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 2 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$61.11
LoL: BNK FEARX vs Kiwoom DRX - Game 1 Winnerbacked Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Gen.G vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+60%+$60.01
LoL: LOUD vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$237Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+70.9%+$167.95
LoL: LOUD vs LOS - Game 2 Winnerbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$10.73
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI (BO5) - LEC Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+47%+$70.44
LoL: G2 Esports vs Movistar KOI - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Hanwha Life Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO5) - LCS Playoffsbacked Team Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
LoL: RED Canids vs FURIA Esports (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked FURIA Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Game Handicap: MKOI (-1.5) vs Team Vitality (+1.5)backed Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
LoL: Cloud9 vs FlyQuest - Game 3 Winnerbacked Cloud9 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$44.34
LoL: Vivo Keyd Stars vs LOS (BO5) - CBLOL Playoffsbacked LOS · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$33.33
All 21 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST977.8%7 W · 2 L+4.7wins+0.52per pick25cpaid+743.8%equal weight65+0.14 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana dip to $90 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+85.2%+$851.85
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+108.3%+$1,083.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST+138.9%+$1,389.09
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$180
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$443Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$442.52
Will Ethereum dip to $2,400 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$80Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+5,163.2%+$4,130.53
Will Bitcoin dip to $80,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$744Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+777%+$5,780.81
Will Ethereum dip to $2,600 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+532.5%+$1,565.44
Will Bitcoin dip to $85,000 in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$600Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+89.1%+$534.33
All 9 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+34.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Spread: Cavaliers (-2.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$12.87
All 3 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.14per pick47cpaid-33.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

WNBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-36.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
WNBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: PortlandFire (-6.5)backed PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+90.1%+$45.03
Spread: Washington Mystics (-3.5)backed Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 3 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick56cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.84
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Milwaukee Brewersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$26.92
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.6wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST+28.2%+$11.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$795Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$795
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 26, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rams vs. Seahawksbacked Rams · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$399Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$399
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jan 31, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.72per pick72cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (GC) settle over $5,000 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.