TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$128,225
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$132,747

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,225 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 143 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38f0…2768backed Over56c87,476$49,251 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38,225.441457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+17.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under44c13,599$5,981 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,980.9914146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under43c11,342$4,908 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,908.4168050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under41c9,936$4,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,065.134,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under42c5,494$2,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,321.012,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x70d8…a237backed Under43c4,000$1,720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7202962.1%18 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Under44c3,200$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,40811054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under43c3,084$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.231,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under44c3,083$1,357 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,356.6441351.8%214 W · 199 L+17.9wins+0.04per pick47cpaid0%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over60c2,667$1,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.6717530.9%54 W · 121 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Under40c2,500$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick43cpaid-46%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under44c2,400$1,056 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0569457.4%54 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a91…c6b1backed Under43c2,391$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.967656.6%43 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c84…a8edbacked Under41c2,148$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.387439.2%29 W · 45 L-7.6wins-0.10per pick49cpaid-21.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under43c2,145$913 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$913.1556439.2%221 W · 343 L+0.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under43c2,030$882 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8821,16951.8%606 W · 563 L+18.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over60c1,667$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.226550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under43c1,609$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$700.0117447.1%82 W · 92 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+11.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2444…4252backed Under44c1,599$704 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.66520%1 W · 4 L-1.4wins-0.27per pick47cpaid-57.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under44c1,400$616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$61610760.7%65 W · 42 L+3.9wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Under44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52810558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb1cb…2345backed Under40c1,200$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$479.99825%2 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-54%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Under44c1,184$521 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$520.966360.3%38 W · 25 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under43c1,100$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47763757.1%364 W · 273 L+28.5wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec8d…dd71backed Over59c1,091$644 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.316746.3%31 W · 36 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09f4…dac0backed Under44c1,074$467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$467.191942.1%8 W · 11 L-0.7wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ab2…8fdabacked Under43c1,074$462 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$461.811478.6%11 W · 3 L+4.3wins+0.31per pick48cpaid+62.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Under22c1,034$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22712020%24 W · 96 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick19cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked Under43c1,000$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43017759.3%105 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca89…7bc4backed Under44c1,000$440 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4407358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9438…3d6abacked Under44c982.56$430 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.891080%8 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+31.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x716e…bcc2backed Under44c895$394 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$393.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-26.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under43c853.9$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$363.3645250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under3c833.74$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.922859.6%136 W · 92 L+18.2wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+55.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under43c814$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.0220159.2%119 W · 82 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3388…61d7backed Under44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35212159.5%72 W · 49 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under44c800$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35210257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under40c698.8$278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.1411242.9%48 W · 64 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Under44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26410759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Under44c600$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2649056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Under33c539.3$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.5410127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x61e8…b283backed Under43c530.93$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.31030%3 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick43cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x606f…b043backed Under44c520$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.89058.9%53 W · 37 L+2.4wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under44c520$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.89556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over72c502.47$361 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.979528.4%27 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Over77c500$385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1154146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab4d…3f0bbacked Over60c500$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001758.8%10 W · 7 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-7.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22013163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22012863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under44c500$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22012066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x397e…3d84backed Over67c495.2$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.4249057.1%280 W · 210 L+26.6wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Under43c465.12$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200119.1%1 W · 10 L-5.5wins-0.50per pick59cpaid-88%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Under41c450.51$183 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.9340357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under22c436.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8439338.9%153 W · 240 L-11.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under43c399.32$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$172.0322658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under31c375.02$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.5392345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Under43c348.84$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1503046.7%14 W · 16 L+0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60ab…e297backed Under44c320$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.89753.6%52 W · 45 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under44c312$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.289660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6fa1…6edbbacked Under44c312$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.289354.8%51 W · 42 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under5c308.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.0213151.1%67 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Under45c300$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1351330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under44c280$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$123.28758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Under44c242.07$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.7243439.6%172 W · 262 L+0.7wins0.00per pick39cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over58c220.06$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91.9132545.2%147 W · 178 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Under45c216.67$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.859054.4%49 W · 41 L-0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over58c212.28$123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.248251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889060%54 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$887856.4%44 W · 34 L+0.1wins0.00per pick56cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd59…2e2fbacked Under44c200$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$888457.1%48 W · 36 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick56cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f6d…3070backed Under15c191$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.654252.4%22 W · 20 L+7.1wins+0.17per pick35cpaid+32.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Over65c178.04$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.4319865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under43c176.62$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.951,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4122939.3%90 W · 139 L-12.2wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.415944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under42c164$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.521,55951.6%804 W · 755 L-9.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa494…4a1fbacked Under44c160$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.45158.8%30 W · 21 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under43c152$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.3612042.5%51 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed Over57c131.57$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.588950.6%45 W · 44 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked Over60c121.92$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.771050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1548…fe8ebacked Under43c104.28$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.845561.8%34 W · 21 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x71a8…22f0backed Under40c101.31$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.88425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4011449.1%56 W · 58 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb891…969bbacked Under42c100$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4220845.2%94 W · 114 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+14.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Under44c100$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.627652.5%145 W · 131 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-7.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$406256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf886…d825backed Under45c89.79$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.251471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.10per pick62cpaid+21%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1edb…a60bbacked Under45c87.78$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.52744.4%12 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4eae…ec7fbacked Under45c87.47$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.3640%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x133a…504abacked Under35c85.71$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301323.1%3 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick41cpaid-56.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc55b…c88bbacked Over58c85$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.7250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under42c81.99$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6269350.9%353 W · 340 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Under43c80$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.119151.6%47 W · 44 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8acc…cc29backed Under44c80$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.29163.7%58 W · 33 L+6.1wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36bb…1da6backed Over63c78.95$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.95520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-68.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x04ed…5694backed Under40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$303956.4%22 W · 17 L+4.5wins+0.11per pick45cpaid+33.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under44c73.38$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.0822357%127 W · 96 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed Under35c71.41$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.993447.1%16 W · 18 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under43c69.62$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7515655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under41c69.43$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.471,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.