TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$26,069
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$28,030

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,069 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5b75…433bbacked Over38c3,933$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5006550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Over36c3,747$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.6799933.4%334 W · 665 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-21.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Under57c2,812$1,602 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,210.1257139.2%224 W · 347 L+1.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under64c1,559$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$565.448251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Over47c1,375$639 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$639.2583444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xac1a…813ebacked Under63c1,145$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$423.581353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+10.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xde19…3c92backed Under72c972.94$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-30.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under62c944.66$582 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.9269750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Under43c802.38$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.386756.7%38 W · 29 L+9.8wins+0.15per pick42cpaid+36.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over46c762.71$352 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.5422455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c726.05$438 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.594,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under62c668.8$415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.1468450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Under62c605.77$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.3711542.6%49 W · 66 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed Over43c597.72$255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254.8240357.1%230 W · 173 L+7.6wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over51c556.22$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.333,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under55c501.21$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22592345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9bcb…5731backed Under65c500$325 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1751330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-48.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x30d5…36bfbacked Under39c500$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3052433.3%8 W · 16 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under62c489.85$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$186.1413251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df8…b67ebacked Under43c400.39$171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.691747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf37…993fbacked Over35c291.42$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.449528.4%27 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12df…090dbacked Over38c287.62$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$109.31050%5 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under64c271.12$173 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.127850%39 W · 39 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under51c267$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.9615036.7%55 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-43.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc02a…b43fbacked Over38c265$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.75944.1%26 W · 33 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Under38c259.11$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$160.653633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.6wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-32%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd60c…2b06backed Over55c253.86$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.5217562.9%110 W · 65 L+32.1wins+0.18per pick45cpaid+64.6%equal weight68+0.16 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over55c218.32$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1203151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over36c214.54$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.211,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaac8…33c9backed Under65c204.99$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.87475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.17per pick58cpaid+35.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x74e0…d590backed Over72c195.4$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.51844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick52cpaid+8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d4c…2e02backed Over53c187.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1009558.9%56 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick62cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over64c187.37$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.9260832.4%197 W · 411 L-12.8wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-22.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc470…c792backed Over54c185.76$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014028.6%40 W · 100 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick34cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x05e0…e2cbbacked Under44c183.18$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.18683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick46cpaid+91.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x22b8…8b13backed Over48c170.59$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.731127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.9wins-0.17per pick45cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Under52c164.57$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.5540239.1%157 W · 245 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under61c155$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.945450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over37c153.81$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.9112042.5%51 W · 69 L-5.7wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under25c145.76$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.3220142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Over33c139$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.4628138.8%109 W · 172 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over36c138.65$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505944.1%26 W · 33 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-20.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x338b…97b3backed Over54c106.55$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over16c97$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.8916348.5%79 W · 84 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Over58c94.83$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$557553.3%40 W · 35 L+5.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+12%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Over36c92.56$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.941,08150.6%547 W · 534 L+11.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under62c85.94$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6622658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under65c84$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.432645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Under63c83.53$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.919865.2%129 W · 69 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick62cpaid+0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed Under61c82.21$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.0618046.7%84 W · 96 L+11.1wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Under63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.3713347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Under63c79.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.377750.6%39 W · 38 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5024757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0e46…a831backed Over39c76.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over62c75$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.4733544.2%148 W · 187 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83cd…c4f1backed Over36c73.53$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4730%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under62c72.08$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.211,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x651c…1084backed Over45c66.67$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30450%2 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1f0…6fb4backed Under67c65$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.458445.2%38 W · 46 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over40c62.5$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549228.9%142 W · 350 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Over38c61.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.311330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Over36c61.13$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0111336.3%41 W · 72 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fd7…d5a3backed Over52c58.22$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306459.4%38 W · 26 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cad…92f0backed Under49c53.19$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.191838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under46c51.89$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1883939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcfaa…28f7backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6c2…ba6ebacked Over61c50$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.58958.4%52 W · 37 L+9.9wins+0.11per pick47cpaid+26.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3f0b…5720backed Over50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.21861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.6wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed Under62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.257761%47 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick61cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x15cf…4d9bbacked Under62c50$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191478.6%11 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+22.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x488c…a2dabacked Under63c47.72$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7211857.6%68 W · 50 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x435d…c52abacked Over36c41.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.085119.6%10 W · 41 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick23cpaid-23.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb435…b97cbacked Over50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.81770.6%12 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.19per pick51cpaid+37.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x39dd…7af9backed Over51c36.8$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.77825%2 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-66.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6474…7ab8backed Over55c32.91$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186437.5%24 W · 40 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9808…5cfdbacked Under64c31.25$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.251070%7 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick69cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0fde…0258backed Over50c31$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.366456.3%36 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2110…d4fbbacked Under65c30.77$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.775100%5 W · 0 L+1.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+46.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc45a…1565backed Over42c30.76$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.91872.2%13 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb66c…a0f5backed Under65c30.74$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.915655.8%87 W · 69 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Over47c29.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.133161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under47c29$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.3745841%188 W · 270 L-11.3wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Over58c28.66$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.6418062.2%112 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xec94…9053backed Under74c26.64$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.84862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.5wins+0.07per pick56cpaid-17.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over44c25.4$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.21345.9%2 W · 32 L-8.0wins-0.24per pick29cpaid-89.1%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0xe29c…a31dbacked Over49c22.42$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.054443.2%19 W · 25 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+16.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Under64c20.93$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.485052%26 W · 24 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick58cpaid-20.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05b7…c24abacked Under64c20.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.318846.6%41 W · 47 L-11.0wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-25.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xf610…741cbacked Over50c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae4…e4a2backed Under65c15.58$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.453056.7%17 W · 13 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.