La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2e0ffa47606d3076a55803d88bb3bdf83fa2e711d59e72561302be41bd1d3e03
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,595
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,452
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,595 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Under | 77c | 2,599$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.13 | 68 | 58.8%40 W · 28 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 18c | 2,148$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$395.63 | 564 | 39.2%221 W · 343 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…4ebbbacked Over | 24c | 817.17$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 171 | 28.1%48 W · 123 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Over | 22c | 300$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Over | 14c | 216.18$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.35 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Over | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 140 | 28.6%40 W · 100 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 21c | 194.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.61 | 393 | 38.9%153 W · 240 L | -11.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 159.63$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.57 | 4,729 | 47.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 23c | 153.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.27 | 200 | 43%86 W · 114 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.63 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…4d47backed Over | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.76 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -44%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Over | 24c | 55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.05 | 202 | 53.5%108 W · 94 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70b2…92d6backed Over | 20c | 53.8$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Under | 80c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 452 | 50.2%227 W · 225 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0b…5720backed Over | 27c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 78c | 36.14$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 35c | 28.59$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Under | 65c | 19.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.88 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Under | 80c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Under | 80c | 14.35$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.87 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.