La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x63fb7d07ffe5337a026d8ad7928a0a611c5c8498e51f6bf3adc8f2beaf7e79e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Levante UDof Real Betis Balompié, Levante UD
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,775
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,197
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,775 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Levante UD | 78c | 10,846$8,512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,333.63 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Real Betis Balompié | 23c | 7,775$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,788.2 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Real Betis Balompié | 26c | 3,632$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$927 | 146 | 47.9%70 W · 76 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x196b…4151backed Real Betis Balompié | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 3cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Real Betis Balompié | 22c | 1,456$317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.88 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Real Betis Balompié | 17c | 1,223$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.81 | 571 | 39.2%224 W · 347 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…990fbacked Levante UD | 79c | 1,124$888 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.05 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked Real Betis Balompié | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 53 | 3.8%2 W · 51 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 2cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed Real Betis Balompié | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +203%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…36bfbacked Real Betis Balompié | 23c | 799.99$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Real Betis Balompié | 33c | 634$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.44 | 150 | 36.7%55 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Levante UD | 77c | 604.17$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.33 | 198 | 65.2%129 W · 69 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Levante UD | 64c | 563$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.68 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Real Betis Balompié | 19c | 502$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.43 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5b…5d3abacked Levante UD | 68c | 441.18$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.18 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebd…a7e8backed Levante UD | 77c | 225$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed Levante UD | 77c | 178.82$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.05 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Real Betis Balompié | 21c | 178.12$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.58 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb66c…a0f5backed Levante UD | 77c | 174.68$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.47 | 156 | 55.8%87 W · 69 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Levante UD | 76c | 161.88$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.21 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Real Betis Balompié | 20c | 155.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.89 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Levante UD | 79c | 140.01$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Real Betis Balompié | 21c | 132.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.93 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Levante UD | 77c | 129.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.85 | 331 | 61.3%203 W · 128 L | +12.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Levante UD | 80c | 128$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.67 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Levante UD | 77c | 120.52$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b6…e356backed Levante UD | 79c | 119.96$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.19 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Real Betis Balompié | 21c | 80.87$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.98 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133b…5856backed Real Betis Balompié | 33c | 76.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 48.6%18 W · 19 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73f6…e559backed Levante UD | 67c | 74.63$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.63 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb76…7ffebacked Levante UD | 77c | 64.94$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 89 | 38.2%34 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Levante UD | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 38 | 50%19 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Levante UD | 78c | 59.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.27 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked Levante UD | 79c | 57.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.18 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +10.3wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Levante UD | 67c | 56.05$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 201 | 42.8%86 W · 115 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Levante UD | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Real Betis Balompié | 34c | 51.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.6 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Levante UD | 79c | 46.31$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 226 | 58.4%132 W · 94 L | +10.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf886…d825backed Levante UD | 77c | 42.11$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.53 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +21%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb556…b5e5backed Levante UD | 78c | 41.02$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 65cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Levante UD | 76c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Levante UD | 77c | 38.96$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c66…e371backed Levante UD | 79c | 38.36$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.12 | 91 | 67%61 W · 30 L | +8.5wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f9…29a9backed Levante UD | 78c | 38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.33 | 261 | 54.4%142 W · 119 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2827…64f6backed Levante UD | 77c | 38$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Levante UD | 77c | 34.38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3a…ccbebacked Levante UD | 78c | 32.83$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Levante UD | 66c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.2 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Levante UD | 76c | 29$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 373 | 48.3%180 W · 193 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Levante UD | 66c | 28.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.79 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2f…fe3fbacked Levante UD | 77c | 23.58$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.42 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf713…fdebbacked Levante UD | 78c | 23.05$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Levante UD | 79c | 21.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.46 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Levante UD | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.6 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46cb…08debacked Levante UD | 77c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.48 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 55cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Levante UD | 80c | 18.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 225 | 57.3%129 W · 96 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaed4…4cc9backed Levante UD | 77c | 16.55$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.81 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Levante UD | 77c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.68 | 104 | 50%52 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Levante UD | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.6 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c25…6bbcbacked Levante UD | 77c | 14.16$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Levante UD | 77c | 12.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.99 | 44 | 45.5%20 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.