La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x66d7f088682801eae563567dd27b913faeb4aadbb1887d08806e9986a9b79b1e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,776
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,748
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,776 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 37c | 530.96$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.4 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1218…7d9fbacked Yes | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 39c | 233.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.11 | 999 | 33.4%334 W · 665 L | -7.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked No | 11c | 222$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 95 | 28.4%27 W · 68 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked No | 36c | 203.91$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 482 | 51.2%247 W · 235 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 62c | 182.99$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed No | 37c | 173.01$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.79 | 222 | 46.8%104 W · 118 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 39c | 164.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.49 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x014c…38ccbacked Yes | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.73 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd4d1…086ebacked Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -5.7wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4ff6…2712backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 36c | 100.83$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 115 | 42.6%49 W · 66 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8866…a584backed Yes | 64c | 85.94$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.94 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff5…dd85backed Yes | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 36c | 68.72$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.74 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Yes | 61c | 49.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 61c | 49.38$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.15 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 116 | 57.8%67 W · 49 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 61c | 48.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.91 | 224 | 48.2%108 W · 116 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 26c | 48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.48 | 281 | 38.8%109 W · 172 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7146…cc73backed Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 62c | 39.18$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e79…9076backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Yes | 60c | 31.55$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 39c | 30.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.93 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 402 | 39.1%157 W · 245 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ec…f845backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.44 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 66c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.48 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 63c | 20.64$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +9.5wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x31d1…f516backed Yes | 64c | 18.72$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 62cpaid | +62.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0be2…d514backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b91…27dcbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195d…2decbacked Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 0.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 2.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 4.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Levante UD: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Levante UD (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Levante UD won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Levante UD won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.