MLB · resolved market

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9f58576b43971599ef39c5999e777e4670659fc6cd0006f1d9d3589372386ed

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Baltimore Oriolesof Tampa Bay Rays, Baltimore Orioles
Resolved: May 27, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $2,272,248
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,300,412

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,272,248 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 475 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in MLB
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xa5ea…d96abacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	604,199$290,015 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$314,183.44	210	40%84 W · 126 L	-4.8wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbddf…c684backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	525,000$254,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$270,499.9	239	48.5%116 W · 123 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	48cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	524,725$271,795 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271,794.96	4,553	49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L	-9.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Tampa Bay Rays	48c	238,001$114,880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114,879.88	10,979	51.6%5,660 W · 5,319 L	+139.8wins	+0.01per pick	50cpaid	-0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	172,902$81,264 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$91,638.14	66	62.1%41 W · 25 L	+9.2wins	+0.14per pick	48cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0xb91a…3987backed Baltimore Orioles	50c	160,000$80,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$80,000	135	61.5%83 W · 52 L	+15.2wins	+0.11per pick	50cpaid	+24.5%equal weight	61+0.09 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	139,279$69,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69,639.7	52	44.2%23 W · 29 L	-4.0wins	-0.08per pick	52cpaid	-8.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5966…f804backed Tampa Bay Rays	11c	134,114$14,963 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14,963.44	34	55.9%19 W · 15 L	+4.3wins	+0.13per pick	43cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x1136…0c2ebacked Baltimore Orioles	50c	120,000$60,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$60,000	133	40.6%54 W · 79 L	-14.4wins	-0.11per pick	51cpaid	-21.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	90,000$45,900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45,900	156	51.3%80 W · 76 L	-4.8wins	-0.03per pick	54cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	80,981$42,110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42,110.17	324	51.9%168 W · 156 L	+7.0wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea2b…1fc6backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	61,026$31,844 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31,843.58	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf152…64aabacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	60,000$29,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30,599.85	771	53.8%415 W · 356 L	+7.6wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+2.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	59,282$29,751 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29,751.11	925	54.1%500 W · 425 L	+23.5wins	+0.03per pick	52cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Tampa Bay Rays	53c	48,453$25,634 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25,634.24	1,381	48.1%664 W · 717 L	-13.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabb8…bba3backed Tampa Bay Rays	39c	45,543$17,543 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,542.67	983	49.8%490 W · 493 L	-18.3wins	-0.02per pick	52cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	37,999$19,759 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19,759.26	277	53.1%147 W · 130 L	+10.9wins	+0.04per pick	49cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x99a7…fc82backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	33,333$17,333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17,333.16	142	48.6%69 W · 73 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x84db…aeebbacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	30,000$15,600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15,600	260	56.5%147 W · 113 L	+13.1wins	+0.05per pick	52cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	25,612$13,249 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,248.51	11,519	52.9%6,092 W · 5,427 L	+213.9wins	+0.02per pick	51cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	25,386$13,185 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,184.77	1,153	49.2%567 W · 586 L	-0.7wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Baltimore Orioles	46c	24,932$11,492 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,440.05	2,293	48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L	-24.0wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x205c…9192backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	24,645$12,815 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12,815.4	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.5wins	-0.48per pick	48cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb25…eb12backed Tampa Bay Rays	35c	20,008$7,085 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,085.05	575	48%276 W · 299 L	-17.0wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…d62abacked Tampa Bay Rays	51c	19,484$10,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,000	243	44.4%108 W · 135 L	-11.1wins	-0.05per pick	49cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Tampa Bay Rays	56c	16,427$9,223 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,222.73	2,044	39.5%808 W · 1,236 L	-24.6wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6ade…f5b0backed Baltimore Orioles	47c	15,147$7,119 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8,027.79	135	34.1%46 W · 89 L	-8.5wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cb…28adbacked Tampa Bay Rays	53c	13,208$7,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$7,000	43	41.9%18 W · 25 L	-5.0wins	-0.12per pick	53cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd106…c79cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	51c	11,935$6,099 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,098.62	1,527	51.1%780 W · 747 L	+7.5wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+1.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	11,730$6,100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,099.54	3,509	51%1,789 W · 1,720 L	+53.3wins	+0.02per pick	49cpaid	+3.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe9cb…d096backed Baltimore Orioles	80c	11,662$9,326 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,335.5	970	44.9%436 W · 534 L	-13.8wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x83f6…c26abacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	11,090$5,767 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,766.93	3	66.7%2 W · 1 L	+0.3wins	+0.11per pick	56cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	10,705$5,459 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,459.37	1,681	50.1%842 W · 839 L	-22.7wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4900…4a72backed Tampa Bay Rays	40c	10,310$4,159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,158.82	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-41.3%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Tampa Bay Rays	53c	10,000$5,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,300	29	37.9%11 W · 18 L	-4.6wins	-0.16per pick	54cpaid	-31.1%equal weight	41-0.09 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked Tampa Bay Rays	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	540	51.1%276 W · 264 L	+23.4wins	+0.04per pick	47cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Tampa Bay Rays	50c	10,000$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	449	45.4%204 W · 245 L	-13.9wins	-0.03per pick	49cpaid	-5.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles	63c	9,699$6,137 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,561.95	3,041	48%1,461 W · 1,580 L	-16.2wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-12%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	9,615$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,999.79	1,408	48.8%687 W · 721 L	-11.7wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Tampa Bay Rays	54c	9,322$5,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,000	241	46.1%111 W · 130 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-4%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4a66…16cebacked Tampa Bay Rays	0c	9,287$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.59	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	0cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	8,500$4,250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,250	448	51.6%231 W · 217 L	+0.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	8,405$4,371 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,370.55	1,884	53%998 W · 886 L	+16.4wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+1.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	7,316$3,729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,729.32	4,515	48.8%2,205 W · 2,310 L	-46.9wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	54c	6,655$3,582 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,582.15	142	52.1%74 W · 68 L	+3.2wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	+6.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5482…b6eebacked Tampa Bay Rays	0c	6,650$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.8	876	2.9%25 W · 851 L	+5.5wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	+19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x63f5…09ddbacked Tampa Bay Rays	1c	6,500$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-2.2wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x462d…ce9bbacked Tampa Bay Rays	51c	5,882$3,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,000	84	47.6%40 W · 44 L	-4.7wins	-0.06per pick	53cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf284…b9f9backed Baltimore Orioles	74c	5,590$4,136 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,454.1	8	50%4 W · 4 L	-1.0wins	-0.12per pick	62cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3625…1187backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	4,902$2,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,500	379	53.6%203 W · 176 L	+18.4wins	+0.05per pick	49cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3b89…baa4backed Tampa Bay Rays	0c	4,810$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	+1.5wins	+0.04per pick	29cpaid	+27.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	4,500$2,340 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,340	5,471	50.5%2,763 W · 2,708 L	+21.8wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4c0a…a9bebacked Tampa Bay Rays	13c	4,000$520 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$520	76	47.4%36 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+0.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd331…733cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	50c	3,921$1,961 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,960.5	341	51.6%176 W · 165 L	-5.0wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Baltimore Orioles	52c	3,846$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,846.15	34	38.2%13 W · 21 L	-2.2wins	-0.06per pick	45cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Tampa Bay Rays	5c	3,506$175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$175.32	4,405	44.9%1,978 W · 2,427 L	+80.0wins	+0.02per pick	43cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles	50c	3,453$1,725 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,727.56	8,594	52.6%4,521 W · 4,073 L	+508.9wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+5.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles	49c	3,266$1,600 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,665.66	1,922	53.4%1,027 W · 895 L	+28.0wins	+0.01per pick	52cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Baltimore Orioles	53c	3,073$1,629 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,443.55	662	50.2%332 W · 330 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-4.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	3,050$1,579 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,578.72	1,083	56.3%610 W · 473 L	+13.7wins	+0.01per pick	55cpaid	+0.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	2,856$1,485 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,485	1,586	48.5%770 W · 816 L	-2.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc263…1e83backed Tampa Bay Rays	21c	2,775$574 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$573.83	446	48.7%217 W · 229 L	-10.4wins	-0.02per pick	51cpaid	-6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Tampa Bay Rays	54c	2,735$1,487 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,486.7	1,797	50.4%906 W · 891 L	-1.6wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-2.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d5c…4f26backed Tampa Bay Rays	11c	2,727$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	35	31.4%11 W · 24 L	-5.5wins	-0.16per pick	47cpaid	-32.1%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Tampa Bay Rays	37c	2,473$904 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$904.34	9,819	46.4%4,557 W · 5,262 L	+39.8wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	2,451$1,225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,225.49	384	44.3%170 W · 214 L	-13.6wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x13ff…16a3backed Tampa Bay Rays	24c	2,450$585 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$585.33	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Baltimore Orioles	48c	2,379$1,151 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,227.34	6,999	50.6%3,538 W · 3,461 L	+2.7wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Tampa Bay Rays	31c	2,268$702 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$701.76	12,328	46.4%5,726 W · 6,602 L	-66.0wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Tampa Bay Rays	4c	2,194$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.13	1,939	41.2%799 W · 1,140 L	-30.5wins	-0.02per pick	43cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x56ce…590abacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	2,170$1,042 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,128.51	5	60%3 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.12per pick	48cpaid	+27.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	2,132$1,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,103.44	2,407	48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L	-62.3wins	-0.03per pick	51cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde25…c0a5backed Tampa Bay Rays	21c	2,100$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.82	469	46.3%217 W · 252 L	-25.7wins	-0.05per pick	52cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd36…a8acbacked Tampa Bay Rays	51c	2,050$1,046 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,045.5	127	54.3%69 W · 58 L	+3.0wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9fae…0d19backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	2,030$1,035 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,035.21	48	41.7%20 W · 28 L	-2.7wins	-0.06per pick	47cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	2,019$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040.08	1,538	48.6%747 W · 791 L	-5.6wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	+1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Tampa Bay Rays	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	1,510	39%589 W · 921 L	-16.5wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-17.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b6d…dbbbbacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	2,000$965 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,035	96	57.3%55 W · 41 L	+2.9wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xef46…b0eabacked Tampa Bay Rays	52c	2,000$1,040 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,040	54	35.2%19 W · 35 L	-6.8wins	-0.13per pick	48cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	40-0.09 edge/pick
0x96ca…5a71backed Tampa Bay Rays	34c	1,989$676 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$676.36	252	47.6%120 W · 132 L	+3.0wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	-2.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Baltimore Orioles	44c	1,969$866 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,102.72	222	41%91 W · 131 L	-1.3wins	-0.01per pick	42cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde56…c2f9backed Tampa Bay Rays	22c	1,885$413 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$413.38	304	52%158 W · 146 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7760…21f0backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	1,861$946 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$945.89	2,375	47.3%1,123 W · 1,252 L	-13.4wins	-0.01per pick	48cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x986c…3180backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	1,808$913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$913.1	523	47.2%247 W · 276 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked Tampa Bay Rays	3c	1,800$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60.6	175	17.1%30 W · 145 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3252…1d21backed Tampa Bay Rays	20c	1,800$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$364.99	346	45.1%156 W · 190 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	44cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x81b0…858cbacked Tampa Bay Rays	31c	1,777$550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$550	205	52.7%108 W · 97 L	+12.1wins	+0.06per pick	47cpaid	+12.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3f76…3c44backed Tampa Bay Rays	23c	1,776$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.14	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	-2.3wins	-0.06per pick	37cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfeec…a84abacked Tampa Bay Rays	12c	1,739$204 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.12	82	35.4%29 W · 53 L	-5.0wins	-0.06per pick	41cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a16…9d73backed Tampa Bay Rays	27c	1,628$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.11	159	49.7%79 W · 80 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0602…a12ebacked Tampa Bay Rays	16c	1,618$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$261.99	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.08per pick	46cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3dd4…1b50backed Baltimore Orioles	50c	1,559$780 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$779.5	2,050	53.8%1,103 W · 947 L	+33.1wins	+0.02per pick	52cpaid	+3.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	1,400$689 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$711.4	890	53.1%473 W · 417 L	+5.3wins	+0.01per pick	53cpaid	+1.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	1,373$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	134	41%55 W · 79 L	-12.2wins	-0.09per pick	50cpaid	-19%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Tampa Bay Rays	50c	1,351$678 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$677.94	926	45.9%425 W · 501 L	-12.5wins	-0.01per pick	47cpaid	-9.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Baltimore Orioles	68c	1,338$915 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$423.04	3,792	45.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L	-5.5wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf518…07bcbacked Baltimore Orioles	48c	1,312$635 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$676.8	32	18.8%6 W · 26 L	-7.4wins	-0.23per pick	42cpaid	-58.8%equal weight	36-0.13 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked Tampa Bay Rays	5c	1,250$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.5	267	18.4%49 W · 218 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-29.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e47…3475backed Baltimore Orioles	49c	1,200$588 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$611.97	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+2.0wins	+0.33per pick	50cpaid	+61.9%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Tampa Bay Rays	51c	1,197$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.23	1,345	47.7%642 W · 703 L	+10.2wins	+0.01per pick	47cpaid	+0.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesthis page
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-6.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-7.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-8.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-2.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-3.5)Baltimore Orioles won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 10.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 11.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 12.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 13.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 14.5Under won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 6.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 8.5Over won
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5Over won
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore OriolesYes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Orioles

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event