TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x56ce…590a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
85
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: Premier League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 57 out of 100; worst Tennis at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 5, 2026, EDT6041.7%25 W · 35 L-3.3wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 60 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Tyler: Braden Shick vs Aidan Mayobacked Aidan Mayo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.73
Perugia: Andrea Pellegrino vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Andrea Pellegrino · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,101Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+179.1%+$1,970.7
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$728Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$727.66
Birmingham: Alex Bolt vs Arthur Ferybacked Alex Bolt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$585Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$584.97
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$565Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$565
Heilbronn: Diego Dedura-Palomero vs Joao Lucas Da Silvabacked Diego Dedura-Palomero · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$342Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$280.06
Birmingham: Sho Shimabukuro vs Elias Ymerbacked Sho Shimabukuro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$261.93
Roland Garros ATP (Doubles): Halys/Herbert vs Helioevaara/Pattenbacked Halys/Herbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$195.57
Centurion 2: Alec Beckley vs Tuncay Duranbacked Alec Beckley · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
Perugia: Liam Broady vs Daniel Merida Aguilarbacked Daniel Merida Aguilar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+26.8%+$16.39
Perugia: Chun-Hsin Tseng vs Timofey Skatovbacked Timofey Skatov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$227Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$326.64
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Berrettini vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$770.42
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$398Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$382.16
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Alexander Zverevbacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$233Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$232.84
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$673Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.7%+$576.57
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,037Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$635.63
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Jakub Mensik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$484Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$568.17
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Pablo Carreno Busta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.1
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$144Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+163.8%+$235.11
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Martin Landalucebacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$554Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$369.63
Roland Garros ATP: Matteo Arnaldi vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Stefanos Tsitsipas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.41
Roland Garros ATP: Arthur Rinderknech vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$3,364Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$3,793.37
Roland Garros ATP: Zachary Svajda vs Adam Waltonbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$2,121Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$1,880.49
Little Rock: Colton Smith vs Daniel Milavskybacked Daniel Milavsky · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$329Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$328.97
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Dino Prizmicbacked Dino Prizmic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$782Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$781.76
Showing 25 of 60 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-26.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Knicks vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$961Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$960.62
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$373Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$373.3
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$516Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$515.53
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$420Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$492.7
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.17
Cavaliers vs. Knicksbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$236Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$110.97
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$387Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$181.94
All 7 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick48cpaid+27.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$770Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$769.54
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$1,344.52
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$1,042Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,128.51
Philadelphia Phillies vs. San Diego Padresbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$1,657Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,657.5
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$148.87
All 5 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+136.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.93
Spread: France (-2.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$344Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$343.55
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 3 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rayo Vallecano win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa Conference League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$1,652Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,652.27
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$240.2
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$551Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$550.75
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$448.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-25.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Girona FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$221Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$220.73
Will RCD Mallorca win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$172.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$491Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+88.8%+$436.22
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.