TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Euroleague · resolved market

Valencia vs. Real Madrid

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Real Madridof Valencia, Real Madrid
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$206,211
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$246,176

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $206,211 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Euroleague
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xbca1…dd13backed Real Madrid51c19,409$9,989 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,420.18633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-36.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf56b…ac88backed Valencia48c13,929$6,711 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,711.0840%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xddfc…bd59backed Real Madrid50c10,066$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,065.73366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Valencia40c6,900$2,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,776.98425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-24.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Real Madrid50c5,000$2,510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,4906338.1%24 W · 39 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+15.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Valencia50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-33.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e33…afb3backed Valencia51c4,911$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50013650%68 W · 68 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe2e9…1c08backed Real Madrid68c4,415$3,021 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.31258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Valencia50c4,137$2,069 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,068.531650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd51…1041backed Valencia49c3,797$1,862 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,86210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f07…0170backed Valencia22c3,178$688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$688.3140%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Real Madrid50c2,924$1,451 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,472.415844.8%26 W · 32 L-2.9wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Valencia36c2,649$957 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$956.8426935.3%95 W · 174 L-10.9wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-18%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Real Madrid51c2,450$1,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,200.635752.6%30 W · 27 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde1d…44a6backed Real Madrid55c2,332$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,054.651100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f19…b9ffbacked Valencia49c2,145$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,061.042748.1%13 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick56cpaid-13.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5839…2c33backed Real Madrid50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0001464.3%9 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd90…2541backed Real Madrid51c1,937$988 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$948.921100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Valencia50c1,917$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.316162.3%38 W · 23 L+5.0wins+0.08per pick54cpaid+12.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xeaf3…e802backed Real Madrid53c1,894$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$894.29450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4500…e6e1backed Real Madrid49c1,735$850 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$884.692100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+75.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x58d1…7ab6backed Valencia32c1,688$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54010%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Valencia23c1,683$388 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$388.3735234.7%122 W · 230 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b7a…afb0backed Valencia50c1,655$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$827.2520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Real Madrid49c1,510$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$767.41258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Real Madrid70c1,473$1,028 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$445.6113545.9%62 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3bc3…0b17backed Valencia5c1,449$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7590%0 W · 9 L-1.9wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Valencia50c1,439$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.61154.5%6 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd23…387ebacked Real Madrid78c1,417$1,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.743063.3%19 W · 11 L+5.6wins+0.19per pick45cpaid+24%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xa7c0…dadabacked Real Madrid60c1,404$844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$559.671957.9%11 W · 8 L+2.4wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+30.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe53f…62d7backed Real Madrid51c1,307$667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.412030%6 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-28.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3cb5…ed22backed Valencia44c1,281$566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.4820%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x99d7…6435backed Valencia10c1,234$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.723345.5%15 W · 18 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick37cpaid-3.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Real Madrid76c1,153$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$272.579551.6%49 W · 46 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9d2a…d5d0backed Real Madrid60c1,103$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Real Madrid73c1,078$791 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$286.962157.1%12 W · 9 L+1.0wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc229…dbeabacked Valencia48c1,037$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5001030%3 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.14per pick44cpaid+12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x210a…1080backed Valencia27c1,034$276 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$275.891435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.1wins0.00per pick35cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5af4…a7dfbacked Valencia49c1,023$501 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501.44250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0960…5adcbacked Valencia49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1316…48a4backed Real Madrid47c1,000$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.423855.3%21 W · 17 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3ab0…0a44backed Real Madrid53c1,000$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$470.691100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa664…f849backed Valencia49c999.99$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4902133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+29.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbb2e…8895backed Real Madrid51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.39250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c77…2c45backed Real Madrid52c944.81$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$453.511100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeaac…d71dbacked Valencia48c937.42$450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$449.967138%27 W · 44 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+15.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x084d…7e47backed Valencia53c937.19$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.71955.6%5 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick67cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8857…4b5bbacked Real Madrid53c935.23$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.621100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+89.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ce…590abacked Real Madrid53c927.49$491 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$436.221100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd06f…7bfebacked Valencia2c924.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.5940%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xadf3…504fbacked Valencia42c905.63$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Real Madrid78c867.94$677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.375648.2%27 W · 29 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-21.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb1b0…072ebacked Valencia30c833.33$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25040%0 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Real Madrid68c830.55$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.134344.3%152 W · 191 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x74bd…d371backed Valencia53c828$439 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$438.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Valencia50c800$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Real Madrid58c788.09$460 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.0413046.2%60 W · 70 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6170…f3fdbacked Real Madrid64c782.94$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$282.94333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick63cpaid-47.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x41f0…3eebbacked Real Madrid47c776.87$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$408.473345.5%15 W · 18 L-0.1wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c06…aa42backed Valencia51c769.78$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3961136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-23.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x00f8…2c23backed Valencia26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001010%1 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick32cpaid-66.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc26a…b715backed Valencia32c752.86$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2402133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick29cpaid+10.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5e93…79f3backed Valencia50c749.68$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$374.610%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x740b…647abacked Real Madrid68c738.45$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$238.451770.6%12 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick66cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Valencia36c692.64$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.9837052.7%195 W · 175 L+9.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Real Madrid50c670$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3356237.1%23 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-18.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xaaa3…e22bbacked Valencia51c641.39$327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$327.1160%0 W · 6 L-1.9wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Real Madrid59c637.56$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.361936.8%7 W · 12 L-4.2wins-0.22per pick59cpaid-40.6%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x5ff1…c554backed Valencia51c635.29$324 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$324771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.0wins+0.15per pick57cpaid+41.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe5c1…7487backed Valencia45c555.98$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+28.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd824…8d96backed Real Madrid51c530.4$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.93432.4%11 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-23.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f11…3892backed Valencia39c513.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xabe0…5adbbacked Real Madrid49c484.76$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.23333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-32%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8643…0f54backed Valencia49c484.23$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.151631.3%5 W · 11 L-3.9wins-0.25per pick56cpaid-48.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x0a82…a20dbacked Valencia14c461.85$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.89250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-35.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7ac7…ca76backed Real Madrid54c448.27$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$204.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+116.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Valencia22c448.22$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.2310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x17ff…b09cbacked Real Madrid52c444.33$231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Real Madrid59c433.43$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.2410634.9%37 W · 69 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd12f…e80dbacked Valencia17c432.87$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$734946.9%23 W · 26 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x97cd…f896backed Valencia51c431.73$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$220.1830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf1ee…519cbacked Valencia49c430$211 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$210.75248.1%25 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc429…138dbacked Valencia31c429.03$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13330%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Real Madrid57c421.97$239 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.676747.8%32 W · 35 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-18.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97dc…d8a5backed Real Madrid50c420$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$210333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28ff…d56cbacked Valencia51c411.76$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103050%15 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57df…daa9backed Real Madrid51c409.53$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.672100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+76.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bb5…abf6backed Real Madrid49c400$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2042100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+87.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb57d…07bfbacked Real Madrid73c398.57$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.57250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xac15…dd90backed Valencia45c393$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.9220%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1c23…a9cdbacked Real Madrid50c392.94$196 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.47475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+44%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3e5c…c29bbacked Valencia52c392.43$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb1fe…24c5backed Real Madrid51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.161471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.8wins+0.13per pick58cpaid+16%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4759…dc6ebacked Valencia52c390$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed Real Madrid48c383.85$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$198.28250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x49bb…a0dfbacked Valencia7c380.71$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.6540%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x95cd…8efebacked Real Madrid53c380.3$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.3366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+10.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6d8…c39abacked Valencia53c377.36$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc936…c08abacked Real Madrid51c373.36$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.36250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3050…3e5cbacked Valencia14c371.35$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.