TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xbb2e…8895

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Premier League, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 52 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 25, 2026, EDT4257.1%24 W · 18 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-17.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Tennis — the 42 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winston-Salem Open: Raphael Collignon vs Rinky Hijikatabacked Raphael Collignon · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luca Nardi vs Federico Cinabacked Luca Nardi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
Augsburg: Cezar Cretu vs Niels McDonaldbacked Cezar Cretu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+30.5%+$305.1
Augsburg: Benjamin Hassan vs Juan Manuel La Sernabacked Benjamin Hassan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$814Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$814.29
Augsburg: Petr Brunclik vs Daniel Masurbacked Daniel Masur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$562.5
ITF W50 Kursumlijska Banja Women: Haruka Kaji vs Amandine Hessebacked Haruka Kaji · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$1,100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 25, 2026, EDT+33.8%+$372.24
US Open, Qualification WTA: Rebeka Masarova vs Iryna Shymanovichbacked Rebeka Masarova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
The Memphis Classic: Zeynep Sonmez vs Elvina Kalievabacked Zeynep Sonmez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$231Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$230.64
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Stefanos Tsitsipasbacked Alex de Minaur · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$62.37
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+43.6%+$49.41
Bonn: Elmer Moeller vs Jamie Mackenziebacked Elmer Moeller · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Liberec: Nicolas Kicker vs Frederico Ferreira Silvabacked Nicolas Kicker · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Cabos Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Adam Waltonbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$61.62
The Memphis Classic: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Kristina Liutovabacked Ekaterina Alexandrova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$112Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$112
Bonn: Olle Wallin vs Lorenzo Giustinobacked Olle Wallin · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$6.59
Liberec: Guido Justo vs Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburgbacked Sascha Gueymard-Wayenburg · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
San Marino: Mili Poljicak vs Enrico Dalla Vallebacked Mili Poljicak · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$66.67
Bonn: Max Houkes vs Roberto Carballes Baenabacked Roberto Carballes Baena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+34%+$34
Liege: Lorenzo Giustino vs Miguel Damasbacked Miguel Damas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Swiss Open, Qualification: Otto Virtanen vs Dylan Dietrichbacked Otto Virtanen · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Trieste: Matej Dodig vs Henri Squirebacked Henri Squire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$165.18
Newport: Stefan Kozlov vs Yibing Wubacked Yibing Wu · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$159Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$159.41
Newport: Sahaja Yamalapalli vs Anna Rogersbacked Anna Rogers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$51.02
Wimbledon WTA: Karolina Muchova vs Coco Gauffbacked Karolina Muchova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$124Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$36.99
Wimbledon ATP: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Ferybacked Arthur Fery · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+75.3%+$75.27
Showing 25 of 42 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT2236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-41%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Spain win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$480Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+25.8%+$123.77
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Achraf Hakimi: 1+ shotsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$77.27
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.46
Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Belgium?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$114.62
Portugal vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Portugal · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Brazil vs. Norway: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$416Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+31.8%+$132.47
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.89
Will Portugal win on 2026-07-02?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+73.9%+$29.57
New Zealand vs. Egypt: New Zealand 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.93
Will Uruguay win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,142Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,141.71
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$1,180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+79.3%+$935.15
Will Sweden win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Canada vs. Qatar: 1st Half O/U 3.5 Total Cornersbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$311Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$115.97
Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
Will Senegal win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will United States win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$80.41
All 22 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.18per pick61cpaid-21.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Euroleague Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valencia vs. Real Madridbacked Real Madrid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$480.39
Olympiacos B.C. vs. Fenerbahcebacked Fenerbahce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-32.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SK Iberia 1999 win on 2026-07-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$87.84
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$1,000Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,000
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+78.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ipswich Town FC win on 2026-08-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$314.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+38.7%+$38.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 200,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+27.9%+$195.45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles Angels vs. Athleticsbacked Athletics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$900Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$900
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.