TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will United States win on 2026-05-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$308,375
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$369,478

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,375 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 248 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes47c20,087$9,506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,580.7138734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes56c11,040$6,172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,867.713059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Yes38c9,929$3,773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,155.9212825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No30c6,995$2,122 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,122.442,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No36c6,749$2,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,461.4521759%128 W · 89 L+13.8wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x39f6…abe1backed No46c6,523$2,989 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,988.656147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b47…d814backed No63c6,486$4,117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,116.5956541.1%232 W · 333 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No63c5,826$3,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,642.132,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No44c5,310$2,362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,361.714,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No52c5,290$2,733 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,732.931,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecbe…42ffbacked No16c4,544$718 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$718.1514715.6%23 W · 124 L-0.3wins0.00per pick16cpaid+19.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No31c4,396$1,380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,379.994,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes73c4,199$3,076 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,123.22,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No29c3,859$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.3242541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Yes72c3,812$2,762 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,050.284858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d74…a37fbacked No17c3,788$643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$642.9320839.4%82 W · 126 L+0.6wins0.00per pick39cpaid+33%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes63c3,621$2,267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,354.3923363.5%148 W · 85 L+19.8wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+18.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7203…795abacked No47c3,504$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,647.57057.1%40 W · 30 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-11%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No46c3,153$1,437 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,436.692,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No38c2,794$1,072 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,071.851,14146.2%527 W · 614 L+25.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No25c2,517$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$623.974,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes35c2,250$788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,462.530431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed Yes51c2,213$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,085.7410443.3%45 W · 59 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes70c2,152$1,514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$637.8812036.7%44 W · 76 L+5.6wins+0.05per pick32cpaid-15.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Yes68c2,054$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$648.4234964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0xa8d9…48a6backed No62c2,000$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.968743.7%38 W · 49 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x75f0…2b66backed No29c1,929$557 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$556.8729030.7%89 W · 201 L+6.3wins+0.02per pick29cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0eb3…97cfbacked No14c1,913$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$270.4334122.3%76 W · 265 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick20cpaid+27.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No63c1,882$1,178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,178.031,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed Yes74c1,752$1,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$447.3739933.1%132 W · 267 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No64c1,552$986 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$986.484844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec57…0fa7backed Yes57c1,491$849 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641.7438819.1%74 W · 314 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+20.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a83…920dbacked No18c1,430$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.3611440.4%46 W · 68 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-14.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5c18…2f76backed No18c1,370$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.6339039%152 W · 238 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe94c…1edebacked No30c1,333$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003935.9%14 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-26.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b4e…12aebacked No34c1,293$446 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$445.7911238.4%43 W · 69 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-22%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3555…ba40backed No23c1,259$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.54757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick53cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd55…c9bfbacked No65c1,222$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80014639.7%58 W · 88 L+8.4wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+5.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed No12c1,220$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.296624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed No28c1,191$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.6785550.6%433 W · 422 L+54.8wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+6.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No62c1,171$726 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$726.213,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea89…26abbacked Yes79c1,144$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.42100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe81b…f35abacked Yes80c1,127$901 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.6640145.4%182 W · 219 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd09d…b15dbacked No19c1,100$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20916549.1%81 W · 84 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa5d3…9fc7backed Yes48c967.6$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5075541.8%23 W · 32 L+3.7wins+0.07per pick35cpaid+105.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No64c925.03$590 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$589.5111448.2%55 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa386…cb0fbacked Yes37c912.7$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$571.418345.8%38 W · 45 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No47c900$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.8122634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2b59…9db6backed No15c889.46$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.3248438.2%185 W · 299 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-26.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66e5…d3c7backed Yes38c789.47$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.4715150.3%76 W · 75 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+16.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x566b…ceb9backed Yes53c786.39$417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.6560%3 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+20.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd306…463dbacked Yes79c763.08$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.0829463.3%186 W · 108 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick66cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0b24…6a9cbacked Yes37c721.16$267 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$454.3313145%59 W · 72 L+5.3wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+5.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x36d8…c7c7backed No20c665.99$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.873354.5%18 W · 15 L+4.6wins+0.14per pick41cpaid+35.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0a59…ba82backed Yes79c633.67$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.677663.2%48 W · 28 L0.0wins0.00per pick63cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00fd…32a0backed Yes49c613.39$299 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3147236.1%26 W · 46 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+152%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No64c588$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$376.323,99224.9%994 W · 2,998 L-47.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-19.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Yes42c568.28$241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$327.6330220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xddf1…a604backed No23c560.86$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.0926459.5%157 W · 107 L+18.0wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d74…0324backed Yes76c550.7$420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.72669.2%18 W · 8 L+3.1wins+0.12per pick57cpaid+17.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1895…efd2backed Yes38c550.54$207 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$343.64771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.1wins+0.15per pick56cpaid+21.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f8b…e3c9backed Yes37c537.84$199 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.8410756.1%60 W · 47 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2df8…7c79backed Yes80c520$416 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No15c520$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.619818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa76c…dc83backed Yes37c513.51$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$323.5116016.3%26 W · 134 L-11.0wins-0.07per pick23cpaid-47.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xefa1…8a16backed Yes78c511.32$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.3216453%87 W · 77 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76aa…eff9backed No35c508.27$177 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$177.525753.3%137 W · 120 L+23.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+17.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a3f…6712backed No29c500.35$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.8560752.4%318 W · 289 L+21.6wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb0a6…8529backed Yes40c499.9$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$299.92548%12 W · 13 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x24ae…4c80backed Yes57c481.33$272 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.3714856.8%84 W · 64 L+20.7wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+59.5%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No63c474.99$301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.9418246.2%84 W · 98 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1a6…1507backed No21c471.47$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.3510444.2%46 W · 58 L+0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid+10%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf40a…ea0abacked No12c469.72$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.268871.6%63 W · 25 L+8.1wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+7.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked No22c467$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.051,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No30c454.97$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$137.993542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed No15c450.66$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$665745.6%26 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x489d…f6e3backed No62c399.99$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.9928435.9%102 W · 182 L-7.5wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x18d2…a67dbacked Yes78c396.6$310 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.63158.1%18 W · 13 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+29%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe80…9528backed Yes69c389.99$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$120.681361.5%8 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked No30c382.64$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.7917544%77 W · 98 L+9.8wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No63c371.21$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.023,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd3e…5a7abacked Yes75c350.49$263 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6746562.2%289 W · 176 L+42.0wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+16.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3045…8f78backed Yes35c342.86$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$222.8612556.8%71 W · 54 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+5.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbf4…ac20backed Yes49c333.24$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.2434533.6%116 W · 229 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-3.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8f28…ff9abacked No64c318.75$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20410863%68 W · 40 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked Yes68c307.59$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.5123940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x65e5…0cadbacked No18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541921.1%4 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick17cpaid+44.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No62c300$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1862,41153%1,278 W · 1,133 L+75.2wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x57f7…ae57backed No18c300$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.1wins+0.18per pick16cpaid+126.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd43e…b2c0backed Yes35c285.71$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.71757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes37c270.27$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$170.2724649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe40d…d654backed Yes38c265.95$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165.954652.2%24 W · 22 L+0.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaa57…a128backed Yes57c265.14$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.144961.2%30 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No19c260.2$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.466435.9%23 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes61c260.09$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.042,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed No63c250$158 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.53265.6%21 W · 11 L+7.0wins+0.22per pick44cpaid+77.2%equal weight64+0.12 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes36c249.99$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.9910436.5%38 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x133b…5856backed No35c248.07$87 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.335540%22 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7acc…c5b9backed No41c243.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10023857.6%137 W · 101 L+22.5wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+18.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd177…1c8abacked Yes79c240.51$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.518347%39 W · 44 L-5.0wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.