TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Will United States vs. Senegal end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$100,193
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$95,814

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $100,193 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 112 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x5d68…9ff7backed Yes24c22,799$5,461 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,461.375749.1%28 W · 29 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+9.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No72c12,644$9,145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,499.381,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf387…61c0backed Yes9c5,771$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$523.9434964.5%225 W · 124 L+73.5wins+0.21per pick43cpaid+123.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x0cf6…0e3bbacked Yes16c4,245$682 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$682.0726534%90 W · 175 L+7.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No72c4,200$3,017 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,182.873,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa974…ef79backed Yes29c4,000$1,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,159.9822229.7%66 W · 156 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe542…0a37backed No69c3,021$2,070 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$950.9326330%79 W · 184 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick25cpaid+0.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No72c2,607$1,878 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$728.482,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No75c2,439$1,838 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$600.792,52442.8%1,081 W · 1,443 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-14.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed No72c2,408$1,733 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$675.532,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4550…f741backed Yes28c2,332$653 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6533125.8%8 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick26cpaid+3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes24c2,213$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$525.372,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1250…8f99backed Yes14c2,049$286 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.994454.5%24 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Yes28c2,000$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56030431.3%95 W · 209 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c46…ae13backed Yes28c1,801$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511.849235.9%33 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked No72c1,700$1,224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$475.65563.6%35 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick63cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No72c1,578$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.1141451.4%213 W · 201 L+6.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x28dc…a1f2backed No73c1,400$1,022 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37811448.2%55 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-2.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No72c1,322$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$372.083,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes27c1,279$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.7510539%41 W · 64 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick34cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1017…c669backed Yes17c1,134$190 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.664858.3%28 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Yes28c1,101$305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.8438734.4%133 W · 254 L-4.8wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-29.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes30c1,000$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003554.3%19 W · 16 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick47cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Yes21c1,000$210 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2103627.8%10 W · 26 L-1.7wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfdf…8e02backed Yes27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27033149.5%164 W · 167 L+9.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd538…317cbacked Yes20c983.57$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011217%19 W · 93 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick16cpaid-4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x27f7…44b0backed No71c929$660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$269.4128162.6%176 W · 105 L+5.1wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5ad5…37b9backed Yes7c916.47$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.1513059.2%77 W · 53 L+31.0wins+0.24per pick35cpaid+118.1%equal weight72+0.20 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No71c819.36$583 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$236.835549.9%177 W · 178 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No71c793.69$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.223,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes23c741.26$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.154,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xffe7…70fabacked Yes27c666.67$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-74.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No73c636$461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$174.8484844.3%376 W · 472 L-6.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdf00…f509backed Yes22c571.98$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.91637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-29%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3b0f…c7e8backed Yes15c510.75$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.9612128.1%34 W · 87 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+9.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes19c495.53$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.076435.9%23 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-25.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes19c489.99$93 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.114738.8%57 W · 90 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No72c474.99$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.0618246.2%84 W · 98 L-0.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8105…3287backed Yes28c422.82$120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12021048.6%102 W · 108 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbbdd…c26abacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013148.1%63 W · 68 L+10.6wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+11.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes27c370.37$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10051429.4%151 W · 363 L-0.6wins0.00per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes29c369.64$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.128,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a59…a57ebacked No76c339.62$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.4657541.7%240 W · 335 L-20.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb907…539abacked Yes18c339.23$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6010718.7%20 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick21cpaid-32.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes19c282.25$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.271,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe05…bd4abacked Yes19c265.73$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505545.5%25 W · 30 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa712…982cbacked Yes30c256$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.815253.3%81 W · 71 L+7.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf87…cc46backed Yes27c250$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.510436.5%38 W · 66 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-13.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa06f…cbadbacked Yes27c219.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.956929%20 W · 49 L-10.6wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-47%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x3f8e…0404backed Yes19c211.05$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405745.6%26 W · 31 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+12.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x93a0…74debacked No69c203$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.17215.3%11 W · 61 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-35.5%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No79c202.64$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.3123940.6%97 W · 142 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-21%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x454b…5b8bbacked Yes23c201.99$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.4617747.5%84 W · 93 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Yes19c200$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3817217.4%30 W · 142 L-5.1wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-22.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc98f…a13fbacked No79c200$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4225719.1%49 W · 208 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-51.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a4c…8138backed Yes13c197.26$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.722740.7%11 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-33.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfec2…08afbacked Yes28c191$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.959254.3%50 W · 42 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+8.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No73c190.5$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.3293542.2%395 W · 540 L-27.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-17.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b8…c763backed Yes27c185.19$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50944.4%4 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.16per pick61cpaid-29.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8876…34c9backed Yes28c168.86$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.283718.9%7 W · 30 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick18cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes30c165.37$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5022026.4%58 W · 162 L+1.0wins0.00per pick26cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes9c163.9$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.068127.2%22 W · 59 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-31.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0eca…c56abacked No71c151.64$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.746445.5%211 W · 253 L-1.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No75c144.09$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.464,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e0c…a963backed Yes27c144.01$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.99850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xec9e…2868backed Yes19c136.51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2630%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdca1…fb09backed No17c133.92$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.156624.2%16 W · 50 L+7.5wins+0.11per pick13cpaid+92.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xacfe…d92fbacked No73c123.29$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.291100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb01…7dfbbacked No79c120$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.219818.7%37 W · 161 L-3.4wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-64.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes36c116$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9888838.2%339 W · 549 L+37.2wins+0.04per pick34cpaid+9.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No78c109.35$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.8815445.5%70 W · 84 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0abc…5a5cbacked Yes20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes34c86.31$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.4287651.1%448 W · 428 L+25.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed No72c79.11$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.0822634.1%77 W · 149 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda9…f624backed No71c75$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.631,15158.5%673 W · 478 L+0.6wins0.00per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4d1d…01acbacked No79c70.89$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8924541.2%101 W · 144 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes28c69.32$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.1451250.4%258 W · 254 L+31.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed No73c69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.6341344.1%182 W · 231 L-16.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2458…bd24backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2017945.3%81 W · 98 L+3.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdb4…1eb1backed Yes29c68.97$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$205824.1%14 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-25.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes26c65$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.81,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xae43…f595backed Yes16c64.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick32cpaid-54.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xace6…e599backed No80c62.5$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.52060%12 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick54cpaid-19%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb305…a400backed Yes27c59.26$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1633345.3%151 W · 182 L-7.2wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfce1…c9bfbacked Yes20c55$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11100%0 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No71c51.92$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0684751%432 W · 415 L+10.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa1a7…ace4backed No74c48.04$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.5151458.8%302 W · 212 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+2.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x606b…bf95backed No79c46$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.66250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-36.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb47b…3b53backed No77c44.98$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.551100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3f…6500backed Yes28c42.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129545.3%43 W · 52 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x250e…77dbbacked Yes29c40$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x93bc…7f72backed No63c40$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.813745.3%62 W · 75 L-14.9wins-0.11per pick56cpaid-21.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8277…dce0backed Yes32c39.99$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9123633.9%80 W · 156 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd443…5f71backed No64c39$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.0437950.1%190 W · 189 L-12.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-10.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x723f…bae0backed Yes29c38.97$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.34746.8%22 W · 25 L+0.2wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x320b…6057backed Yes29c37.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11825%2 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-39.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7c37…9e0cbacked Yes29c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.44560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick51cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f8b…a0cabacked Yes28c36$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.084124.4%10 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick26cpaid+4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7790…f271backed No72c36$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.081650%8 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+33%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed No63c32$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.8439746.3%184 W · 213 L-28.9wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-17.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.