TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x250e…77db

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
46
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: NHL, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 53 out of 100; worst Bundesliga at 48.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Will Italy win on 2026-06-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+57.8%+$28.19
Will Luxembourg vs. Italy end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16.43
Will Senegal win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.75
Will United States vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
Will United States win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$21.7
Will Serbia win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.65
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+209.7%+$23.7
Will Japan vs. Iceland end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Will Japan win on 2026-05-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$23.04
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.78
Will North Macedonia win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.42
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina vs. North Macedonia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+255.3%+$87.66
Will Gambia win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.49
Will IR Iran win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+137.2%+$37.02
Will IR Iran vs. Gambia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.57
All 16 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Caracas FC vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.9
Will Caracas FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
Will SE Palmeiras vs. CDP Junior FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.98
Will SE Palmeiras win on 2026-05-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.51
Will Botafogo FR win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+205.8%+$33.65
Will CS Independiente Rivadavia win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+248.6%+$38.51
Will Club Libertad win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Will CS Cienciano vs. CA Juventud end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+109.3%+$11.49
Will Club Bolívar vs. CS Independiente Rivadavia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.85
Will Club Bolívar win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.89
All 10 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick36cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid-44.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+24.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Aalesunds FK vs. Hamarkameratene end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+148.5%+$14.94
Will Hamarkameratene win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.04
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nice vs. Saint-Etienne end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.65
Will Nice win on 2026-05-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+113.3%+$21.25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.82
Will Serena Brancale win Sanremo 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$35.14
All 2 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+156.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$21.35
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+50.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+50.8%+$10.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Wolfsburg win on 2026-05-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.98
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.