Ligue 1 · resolved market
Will Nice vs. Saint-Etienne end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8612682ac4cb92179d7be4e5889ea8c4be6a5dde5d84c81080ec2237ad194312
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,785
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 29c | 1,669$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.12 | 525 | 50.1%263 W · 262 L | +8.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc66b…89f1backed Yes | 30c | 1,117$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed No | 70c | 851.64$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.88 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +81%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed No | 69c | 768.33$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.5 | 304 | 48%146 W · 158 L | -10.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23e4…e501backed Yes | 30c | 670.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f28…ff9abacked No | 72c | 550$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 67c | 529.06$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174.88 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88c5…2909backed Yes | 31c | 510.8$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.35 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…df7fbacked Yes | 30c | 495.3$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.59 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…adaabacked Yes | 30c | 487.5$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 72c | 466$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.64 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked No | 70c | 400$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96ce…9c25backed Yes | 33c | 362.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071c…bab9backed Yes | 31c | 311.42$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.44 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x676d…46b3backed No | 71c | 301.3$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8dd…ec86backed No | 72c | 280.72$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.91 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +32.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…4284backed No | 71c | 264.2$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed No | 70c | 260$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked Yes | 27c | 255.94$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.95 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes | 28c | 252.3$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.43 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 33cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 70c | 245.29$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.59 | 227 | 45.8%104 W · 123 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec1…ec82backed No | 71c | 223.5$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.82 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e69…d7fcbacked No | 71c | 194.2$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 28c | 178$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.29 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 28c | 173.31$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.78 | 873 | 44.3%387 W · 486 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 70c | 168.34$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.04 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed No | 72c | 159.72$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f2c…9d16backed Yes | 33c | 152.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes | 23c | 138.59$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.88 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x962e…d1c1backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 75c | 130$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 72c | 129.17$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.23 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 73c | 124.09$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.75 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16c7…22cdbacked No | 71c | 122.02$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…6b14backed Yes | 29c | 120.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -5.4wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yes | 33c | 119.06$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.99 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x62ff…6b66backed Yes | 30c | 105.26$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 30c | 100.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.08 | 106 | 40.6%43 W · 63 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 77c | 96$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 28c | 95.58$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.76 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 73c | 90$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.35 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 71cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd717…3b85backed No | 72c | 89$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.92 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00d2…fe64backed Yes | 32c | 66$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.97 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe80f…1f52backed Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd5d…fbb3backed No | 71c | 54.44$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 127 | 38.6%49 W · 78 L | -7.8wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed No | 72c | 48$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b20…de61backed Yes | 29c | 47.13$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -4.4wins | -0.44per pick | 54cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf72a…5d8ebacked Yes | 30c | 46.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x346c…7e4dbacked Yes | 33c | 45.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe46e…c07dbacked Yes | 29c | 44.14$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 27cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked Yes | 28c | 42.48$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69f0…fb27backed No | 72c | 41.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x250e…77dbbacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 67c | 40$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 39 | 53.8%21 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 30c | 38.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 93 | 46.2%43 W · 50 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed37…5849backed Yes | 30c | 38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 70c | 31$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked No | 70c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed No | 72c | 24$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed No | 77c | 19$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 75c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked No | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 72c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Nice vs. Saint-Etienne end in a draw?this page
- Will Nice win on 2026-05-29?Yes won
- Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.