TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ligue 1 · resolved market

Will Saint-Etienne win on 2026-05-29?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ligue 1every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$73,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$74,737

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 123 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ligue 1 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x6d3c…d294backed No77c21,544$16,669 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,874.7852550.1%263 W · 262 L+8.4wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+10%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Yes22c6,666$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,466.5230%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc92…8d1dbacked Yes23c4,993$1,148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,148.23425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-47.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xab4e…c4a0backed Yes22c4,545$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c6c…4f80backed Yes22c4,545$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+24.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No77c4,448$3,444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,003.921,91645.5%872 W · 1,044 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7e…6d00backed Yes24c4,146$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-46.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1572…7991backed No78c4,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$879.992445.8%11 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No77c3,174$2,448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$725.9887344.3%387 W · 486 L+1.6wins0.00per pick44cpaid+7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Yes22c3,150$693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69310521.9%23 W · 82 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick21cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed No78c2,814$2,195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$618.9922745.8%104 W · 123 L+5.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Yes23c2,571$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$585.532138.1%8 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+52.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed No78c1,655$1,288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.841258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+81%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe720…2bb3backed Yes31c1,475$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$454.7720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc16a…d1e4backed No79c1,400$1,106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$294742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick57cpaid-40.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x97d6…69e1backed Yes22c1,364$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-53.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50a2…5152backed Yes45c1,349$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-56.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac1f…772bbacked Yes23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x23e4…e501backed Yes24c1,261$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-20.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc66b…89f1backed Yes22c1,135$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.6720%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No78c1,128$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252.624742.6%20 W · 27 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+39%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7bec…07a8backed Yes23c1,000$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230140%0 W · 14 L-4.6wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x5b62…d87fbacked No76c999.99$758 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$242.078250%41 W · 41 L-5.7wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-13.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yes26c961.14$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick34cpaid-49.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed No78c948$743 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$205.022259.1%13 W · 9 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Yes22c800$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1727949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed No78c745.76$579 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$166.6730448%146 W · 158 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-5.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x26cb…9fe7backed No79c701.27$554 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.274100%4 W · 0 L+2.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+123.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Yes22c680.99$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.681241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+86.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked No78c659.83$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.164100%4 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.29per pick71cpaid+42%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed No77c651.91$502 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.9420150.2%101 W · 100 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8bd…d868backed Yes24c628.3$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150450%2 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked No57c599.69$344 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.094365.1%28 W · 15 L+4.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+24.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No75c595$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.7527049.6%134 W · 136 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No75c590$442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$148.2527748.7%135 W · 142 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No78c512$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6433145%149 W · 182 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-12.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x071c…bab9backed Yes22c463.64$102 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1023225%8 W · 24 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4924…8fc6backed Yes22c454.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001030%3 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.16per pick46cpaid-44.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes37c446.98$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$164.85238.5%20 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c7…9179backed Yes22c445.45$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9830%0 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No78c432.98$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.773268.8%22 W · 10 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick68cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0392…3883backed Yes22c428.39$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.6710%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No74c336.98$249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.6233148.6%161 W · 170 L+10.6wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x910d…e11dbacked Yes23c328.39$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No74c277.45$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.08475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+32.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa85b…eb0ebacked No78c277.33$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.185251.9%27 W · 25 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xebf6…c629backed No56c257.98$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.512100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+124.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc20…2d0dbacked Yes22c250$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8929…733ebacked Yes22c247$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.341936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-14.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1c66…e371backed No78c230.72$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.65580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+28%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb3c2…4074backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-68.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xccfa…6be3backed Yes22c227.27$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Yes21c225.21$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.712738.6%49 W · 78 L-7.8wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-16.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No65c221.15$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.82475%3 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked No78c200.49$156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.512250%11 W · 11 L-1.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-19.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5a3b…bd3bbacked Yes23c175.89$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8205…5067backed Yes23c173.91$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+29.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed No78c173.77$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.235763.2%36 W · 21 L+5.5wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+7.7%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No78c173.77$136 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.2312963.6%82 W · 47 L+12.6wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+14.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdf6e…c865backed No76c173.17$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.29475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed No77c168.69$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.558957.3%51 W · 38 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Yes22c157.33$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.22933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-49.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe040…824fbacked No61c153.76$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.92475%3 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick56cpaid+32.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc9f…2ca3backed No79c150.9$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.69333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-57.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2e4…b7f1backed No75c150$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.52100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No72c143.23$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.141250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Yes22c136.36$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30825%2 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0f60…026abacked No71c135.15$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.123953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc96d…1a5bbacked Yes22c127.27$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x9079…b19bbacked No69c124.98$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.653154.8%17 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8191…8a35backed No56c117.33$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.081947.4%9 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick41cpaid+23.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8adc…6b14backed Yes22c113.64$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254443.2%19 W · 25 L-5.4wins-0.12per pick55cpaid-23.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xd840…1ec6backed Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f21…3bcebacked Yes23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-51%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3c7f…4c60backed No74c100$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261464.3%9 W · 5 L+1.9wins+0.14per pick51cpaid+24.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed No78c100$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$221573.3%11 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick63cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No59c96$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.72683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.25per pick58cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xede5…5300backed No78c96$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.12450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-31.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa202…9b12backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x765c…2c71backed Yes22c90.91$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No72c90$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.2475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick70cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd12f…0926backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8d4…0d9dbacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2020%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203040%12 W · 18 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-20.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb269…6adebacked Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206142.6%26 W · 35 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cf9…dbb9backed Yes23c86.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x160c…185cbacked Yes22c80.27$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6420%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yes23c79.66$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.321566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+18.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No60c69.38$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.83250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-16.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked No73c66.58$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.76366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7172…25cdbacked Yes23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…1f52backed Yes22c60$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.220%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8328…e5ebbacked No78c59.83$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.092100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+39.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf0…fdbebacked Yes22c54.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.0wins-0.44per pick58cpaid-70.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xfe48…55c9backed Yes22c54.55$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bb8…c74dbacked Yes22c52.53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5610%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0339…1394backed Yes24c50$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.30per pick41cpaid-72.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked No74c48$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.481100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf508…30a5backed No79c47.85$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.21650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ligue 1 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.