Fifa International · resolved market
Will Japan win on 2026-05-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd09be6a9266984cc9a80386c1c33f1a6ef939746a1b52c833ea6946b25707de8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $163,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $195,992
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $163,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 166 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 45c | 11,495$5,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,352.28 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x479e…91c3backed Yes | 77c | 6,494$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.51 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 29c | 4,954$1,435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,434.57 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 39c | 4,912$1,901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,901.3 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed No | 19c | 4,848$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899.96 | 472 | 35%165 W · 307 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 25c | 3,772$927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$926.91 | 3,992 | 24.9%994 W · 2,998 L | -47.0wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeaac…d71dbacked No | 16c | 3,695$583 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583 | 436 | 35.8%156 W · 280 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 30c | 3,462$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.23 | 168 | 33.9%57 W · 111 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked Yes | 66c | 3,026$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,026.13 | 202 | 62.4%126 W · 76 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 36c | 2,899$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 51c | 2,514$1,285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,285.08 | 2,819 | 44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L | -36.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 10c | 2,383$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230.1 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbe…c4b7backed No | 19c | 2,017$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.68 | 888 | 38.2%339 W · 549 L | +37.2wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d91…a5fdbacked No | 16c | 1,895$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.18 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked No | 4c | 1,850$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.54 | 301 | 17.9%54 W · 247 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 19c | 1,580$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.88 | 4,457 | 37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L | +31.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed No | 24c | 1,458$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 65 | 47.7%31 W · 34 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7865…4af9backed No | 16c | 1,419$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.98 | 125 | 25.6%32 W · 93 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,390$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.12 | 85 | 61.2%52 W · 33 L | +4.6wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed Yes | 71c | 992.21$701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.6 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9047…7663backed Yes | 80c | 875.16$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.16 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 17c | 822.7$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.81 | 656 | 51.7%339 W · 317 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb77…ef9ebacked Yes | 63c | 793.65$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.65 | 304 | 65.1%198 W · 106 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 19c | 791.15$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.35 | 450 | 39.6%178 W · 272 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 16c | 781.39$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.02 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 64c | 775.37$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.37 | 138 | 47.1%65 W · 73 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f38…b090backed Yes | 74c | 751.67$553 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.77 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked No | 5c | 741.7$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.08 | 46 | 23.9%11 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 70c | 741.69$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.5 | 134 | 61.9%83 W · 51 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06d7…08f4backed Yes | 63c | 699.03$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d8c…99f6backed Yes | 64c | 625$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 77c | 504$387 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.08 | 3,731 | 51.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L | +55.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb627…68b5backed Yes | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 858 | 51.2%439 W · 419 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…8d1dbacked Yes | 71c | 474.38$337 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.57 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked No | 21c | 469.76$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Yes | 78c | 450.34$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.24 | 418 | 57.9%242 W · 176 L | +14.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 12c | 444.06$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.5 | 459 | 47.7%219 W · 240 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked Yes | 75c | 417.36$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.81 | 233 | 63.5%148 W · 85 L | +19.8wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 74c | 405.4$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.4 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 32c | 404.31$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.96 | 1,941 | 35.5%690 W · 1,251 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed No | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 284 | 35.9%102 W · 182 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 64c | 400$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b35…51b3backed Yes | 75c | 400$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d74…0324backed Yes | 64c | 371.19$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.63 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3089…92f6backed Yes | 80c | 370$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 178 | 28.1%50 W · 128 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -25%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 50c | 368.89$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.96 | 935 | 42.2%395 W · 540 L | -27.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6684…95d1backed No | 32c | 359.99$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.8 | 113 | 46%52 W · 61 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed Yes | 49c | 356.75$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.72 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc5f…cf7cbacked No | 16c | 347$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 62c | 306.34$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.53 | 631 | 51.5%325 W · 306 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked No | 16c | 300$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.4 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d85…5c50backed Yes | 47c | 299.11$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.11 | 106 | 46.2%49 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2614…4442backed Yes | 64c | 295.91$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.07 | 420 | 48.8%205 W · 215 L | +18.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72bd…d37abacked No | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98bd…8a55backed Yes | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 156 | 50%78 W · 78 L | +9.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +17%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bab…6832backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.41 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed No | 49c | 242.89$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 135 | 44.4%60 W · 75 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 15c | 242$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 848 | 44.3%376 W · 472 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed No | 46c | 199.99$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 125 | 44%55 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab30…88dbbacked Yes | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde3d…6b1fbacked Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 92 | 19.6%18 W · 74 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 31c | 167.18$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.82 | 259 | 54.8%142 W · 117 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde35…4bc8backed Yes | 79c | 163.76$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.95 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2546…5155backed Yes | 62c | 160$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.8 | 224 | 49.6%111 W · 113 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d6…b2a6backed Yes | 64c | 155.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.68 | 76 | 68.4%52 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 78c | 155.2$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.35 | 2,380 | 53.3%1,269 W · 1,111 L | +76.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 19c | 154$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.26 | 609 | 8.4%51 W · 558 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 69c | 141.64$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 239 | 40.6%97 W · 142 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83e0…8f21backed No | 20c | 136.83$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.63 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +5.6wins | +0.12per pick | 36cpaid | +13%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x98af…b216backed No | 27c | 132.51$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 88 | 17%15 W · 73 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2b…2cd8backed Yes | 77c | 130.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed No | 17c | 129.41$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea87…1ad7backed Yes | 64c | 125$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x628e…b3debacked Yes | 78c | 124.54$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 61c | 123.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.66 | 277 | 45.1%125 W · 152 L | -19.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 16c | 119.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 550 | 45.1%248 W · 302 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecab…e8d4backed Yes | 60c | 114$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.73 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e74…ec81backed Yes | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 286 | 26.9%77 W · 209 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked Yes | 64c | 105.11$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.3 | 389 | 60.7%236 W · 153 L | +24.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +10%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6134…c8ccbacked No | 17c | 100$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 272 | 54.4%148 W · 124 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…f7dfbacked Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 399 | 32.6%130 W · 269 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked No | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1c…5a9cbacked Yes | 64c | 100$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 49 | 22.4%11 W · 38 L | -4.3wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda16…6da2backed No | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…c453backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.65 | 156 | 55.1%86 W · 70 L | -10.5wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc630…fbe4backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee5f…5468backed Yes | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Yes | 36c | 97.22$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.22 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 58c | 94.11$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.18 | 1,563 | 39.8%622 W · 941 L | -51.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d91…f592backed No | 17c | 93.18$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 141 | 30.5%43 W · 98 L | -8.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x106f…b8eebacked No | 17c | 88.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.02 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7c…7a19backed No | 31c | 88.09$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.09 | 189 | 43.4%82 W · 107 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 17c | 88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd875…19cfbacked Yes | 66c | 87.79$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 228 | 24.6%56 W · 172 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…31f9backed Yes | 65c | 83.08$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.08 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…3d55backed No | 33c | 81.74$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +5.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…aef9backed Yes | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.9 | 54 | 24.1%13 W · 41 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…eee6backed Yes | 61c | 80$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Japan win on 2026-05-31?this page
- Will Iceland win on 2026-05-31?No won
- Will Japan vs. Iceland end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.