Will Japan vs. Iceland end in a draw?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2953abc205e1f954c2462ecea227a518b6dfd2251384a6043cc96a8ded245692

Rebuilt 13 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: May 31, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $73,520
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $73,643

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $73,520 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4f29…7a7ebacked No	53c	19,371$10,319 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9,051.61	1,224	43.4%531 W · 693 L	-7.1wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Yes	62c	6,378$3,977 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,977.43	2,407	37.7%908 W · 1,499 L	-48.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes	28c	4,665$1,314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,314.03	4,595	40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L	-91.3wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No	43c	2,895$1,233 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,661.98	3,696	36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L	-44.0wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-23.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x34b8…81afbacked Yes	65c	1,538$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	109	45%49 W · 60 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	45cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6f73…8d13backed Yes	22c	1,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	36	27.8%10 W · 26 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	32cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x06d7…08f4backed Yes	40c	913.35$365 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$365.24	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cbe…c4b7backed Yes	13c	877.71$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.05	888	38.2%339 W · 549 L	+37.2wins	+0.04per pick	34cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xab72…0888backed Yes	50c	830.36$415 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$415.18	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-1.3wins	-0.12per pick	39cpaid	-47.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x315d…b420backed Yes	29c	706.8$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.65	33	45.5%15 W · 18 L	+1.6wins	+0.05per pick	40cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ede…4284backed Yes	29c	591.25$173 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$173.25	187	38%71 W · 116 L	+0.6wins	0.00per pick	38cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b5…a2a7backed Yes	35c	571.43$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	42cpaid	-10.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc367…a0b4backed Yes	18c	555.56$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	71	36.6%26 W · 45 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	+2.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe85d…ad4bbacked Yes	54c	546.3$295 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295	146	12.3%18 W · 128 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	15cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x39f7…60d5backed Yes	53c	532.13$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.03	21	76.2%16 W · 5 L	+2.5wins	+0.12per pick	64cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6832…831fbacked Yes	5c	529.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.74	120	36.7%44 W · 76 L	+5.6wins	+0.05per pick	32cpaid	-15.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x03ba…bebabacked No	72c	447.01$321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$126.42	239	40.6%97 W · 142 L	-9.1wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-21%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc630…fbe4backed Yes	24c	416.67$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.0wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	+16.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18d7…2968backed Yes	12c	416.67$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	99	23.2%23 W · 76 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	28cpaid	-26.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xddb6…b9b3backed No	63c	410.26$259 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$151.63	1,563	39.8%622 W · 941 L	-51.9wins	-0.03per pick	43cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb458…abc4backed Yes	29c	344.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	31	12.9%4 W · 27 L	-1.7wins	-0.05per pick	18cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes	11c	314.58$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.6	1,560	43.8%684 W · 876 L	-4.4wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked No	28c	301.28$85 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$216.77	301	17.9%54 W · 247 L	-11.2wins	-0.04per pick	22cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7d7f…86d2backed No	50c	268.38$135 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$133.29	64	35.9%23 W · 41 L	-3.2wins	-0.05per pick	41cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2db3…667abacked Yes	53c	264.64$140 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes	13c	249.63$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.34	4,457	37.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L	+31.0wins	+0.01per pick	36cpaid	-8.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed No	64c	241.66$155 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87	631	51.5%325 W · 306 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	53cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Yes	12c	213$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.56	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked No	58c	202.69$118 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$84.65	233	45.1%105 W · 128 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	48cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb7…3644backed Yes	49c	200.3$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.8	138	47.1%65 W · 73 L	+5.8wins	+0.04per pick	43cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked No	52c	181.78$95 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$87.09	233	63.5%148 W · 85 L	+19.8wins	+0.09per pick	55cpaid	+18.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2f7c…7a19backed Yes	10c	160.6$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.06	189	43.4%82 W · 107 L	-5.6wins	-0.03per pick	46cpaid	-23.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes	11c	155.3$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.08	427	10.3%44 W · 383 L	-12.6wins	-0.03per pick	13cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe9cd…9a4cbacked Yes	65c	154.83$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	75.9%22 W · 7 L	+3.2wins	+0.11per pick	65cpaid	+23.3%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x39b2…9460backed Yes	13c	153.84$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	356	19.4%69 W · 287 L	-21.4wins	-0.06per pick	25cpaid	-27.7%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf08f…d167backed Yes	42c	152.81$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.18	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	38cpaid	+32.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c6f…ddf5backed Yes	69c	144.93$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-2.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No	64c	142.38$91 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$51.4	277	45.1%125 W · 152 L	-19.7wins	-0.07per pick	52cpaid	-25.6%equal weight	43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9bc8…a613backed Yes	29c	132.93$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.55	82	61%50 W · 32 L	+3.0wins	+0.04per pick	57cpaid	+7.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xecab…e8d4backed Yes	12c	131.49$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.31	30	23.3%7 W · 23 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-52.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No	68c	131.08$89 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.85	935	42.2%395 W · 540 L	-27.8wins	-0.03per pick	45cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e59…2a66backed Yes	10c	117.02$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.8	1,063	31.7%337 W · 726 L	-33.7wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c6c…998fbacked Yes	11c	115.9$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	250	31.6%79 W · 171 L	-9.2wins	-0.04per pick	35cpaid	-14.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee5f…5468backed Yes	63c	112.89$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.99	88	53.4%47 W · 41 L	+4.5wins	+0.05per pick	48cpaid	+12.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2779…239abacked Yes	35c	111.74$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.34	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc7a9…87e2backed Yes	13c	111$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.43	413	44.1%182 W · 231 L	-16.2wins	-0.04per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa681…8b89backed Yes	12c	110$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.2	270	28.9%78 W · 192 L	-12.2wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x83f6…62f8backed Yes	39c	102.56$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	69	53.6%37 W · 32 L	-1.1wins	-0.02per pick	55cpaid	-6.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e03…0733backed Yes	18c	100$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+1.8wins	+0.17per pick	38cpaid	+40.2%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb724…577dbacked Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	+20.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8e8…2c0ebacked Yes	12c	100$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12	141	19.9%28 W · 113 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	21cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x949e…f94dbacked Yes	49c	97.59$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.82	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-85.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Yes	27c	92.59$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	514	29.4%151 W · 363 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	+2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd510…ddf6backed Yes	35c	89.15$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.43	4	50%2 W · 2 L	0.0wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x62ff…6b66backed Yes	42c	83.09$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	220	26.4%58 W · 162 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	26cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3c92…c646backed Yes	67c	74.63$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	60	50%30 W · 30 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	49cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x089c…4dc4backed No	52c	73.06$38 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$35.1	275	38.5%106 W · 169 L	-3.2wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd770…9bdebacked Yes	36c	70.24$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	31	48.4%15 W · 16 L	-4.1wins	-0.13per pick	61cpaid	-28%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No	38c	67.45$25 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$41.98	740	34.1%252 W · 488 L	-36.1wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-33.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x8f91…57dcbacked Yes	16c	62.5$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-63.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae4…a074backed Yes	52c	61.11$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.54	58	58.6%34 W · 24 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	60cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc845…d188backed Yes	35c	57.14$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	16	25%4 W · 12 L	-2.2wins	-0.14per pick	39cpaid	-54.1%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No	46c	55.79$26 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$30.2	459	47.7%219 W · 240 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	-13.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb035…b728backed Yes	50c	55.12$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.56	5	60%3 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	64cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5993…470dbacked Yes	47c	54.85$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.78	5	40%2 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.13per pick	53cpaid	-27.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed No	36c	52.78$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$33.78	165	44.8%74 W · 91 L	-3.4wins	-0.02per pick	47cpaid	-4.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa9d5…2b9cbacked Yes	30c	50$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	42	35.7%15 W · 27 L	+0.3wins	+0.01per pick	35cpaid	+31.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes	35c	50$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.5	1,144	39.2%448 W · 696 L	-8.4wins	-0.01per pick	40cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ce4…da39backed No	36c	50$18 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$32	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	-3.3wins	-0.09per pick	40cpaid	-28.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2ab8…bb2bbacked Yes	72c	50$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	27	55.6%15 W · 12 L	-2.5wins	-0.09per pick	65cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x667f…e765backed Yes	69c	43.63$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	40	50%20 W · 20 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e92…d3d6backed Yes	48c	41.26$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	109	63.3%69 W · 40 L	+5.2wins	+0.05per pick	59cpaid	+8.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x79e1…982dbacked Yes	27c	39.99$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.8	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	60cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed No	76c	36.06$27 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.67	876	51.1%448 W · 428 L	+25.3wins	+0.03per pick	48cpaid	+2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x250e…77dbbacked Yes	34c	36$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.18	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x545d…c895backed Yes	31c	34.77$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.78	20	50%10 W · 10 L	+1.1wins	+0.05per pick	45cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1b44…6e8dbacked Yes	72c	34.72$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	135	57.8%78 W · 57 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	58cpaid	-0.1%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x0009…5497backed No	46c	33.48$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$18.08	697	44.9%313 W · 384 L	+18.6wins	+0.03per pick	42cpaid	+7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2614…4442backed No	72c	31.78$23 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.9	420	48.8%205 W · 215 L	+18.5wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8ea9…5b98backed No	63c	31.25$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11.49	187	64.2%120 W · 67 L	+11.1wins	+0.06per pick	58cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5210…bd53backed No	74c	30$22 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.93	2,796	56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L	-9.2wins	0.00per pick	57cpaid	-1.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea58…b635backed Yes	53c	30$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.8	36	72.2%26 W · 10 L	+3.2wins	+0.09per pick	63cpaid	+9.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a5a…3427backed No	80c	30$24 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6	315	53%167 W · 148 L	+9.5wins	+0.03per pick	50cpaid	+34.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xee02…ce88backed No	67c	29.86$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.95	106	67%71 W · 35 L	+5.7wins	+0.05per pick	62cpaid	+9.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x90c8…4573backed Yes	69c	28.89$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	115	63.5%73 W · 42 L	-4.4wins	-0.04per pick	67cpaid	-8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9422…f273backed No	71c	28.16$20 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$8.17	180	53.3%96 W · 84 L	-10.9wins	-0.06per pick	59cpaid	-16%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1851…2ee8backed Yes	59c	27.12$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.06per pick	38cpaid	+36.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x71a2…e17dbacked No	61c	24.59$15 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$9.59	62	71%44 W · 18 L	+2.7wins	+0.04per pick	67cpaid	+10.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8987…02f3backed No	78c	24.14$19 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5.31	143	42.7%61 W · 82 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	+24.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No	61c	20.22$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7.86	864	55.3%478 W · 386 L	+8.5wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9522…7af0backed Yes	65c	20$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-2.8wins	-0.16per pick	49cpaid	-32.5%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed No	62c	16.67$10 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$6.3	1,459	53.9%787 W · 672 L	-6.3wins	0.00per pick	54cpaid	-6.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No	73c	16.37$12 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4.42	1,141	46.2%527 W · 614 L	+25.3wins	+0.02per pick	44cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Japan vs. Iceland end in a draw?this page
Will Iceland win on 2026-05-31?No won
Will Japan win on 2026-05-31?Yes won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Japan vs. Iceland end in a draw?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event