Fifa International · resolved market
Will Iceland win on 2026-05-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd27bf777504d017698ecd8ff08d7225299aa98936dcc6dc0bee94b335d3ee2cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,962
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $88,810
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,962 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa4dd…cfc6backed Yes | 7c | 11,934$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc92…8d1dbacked Yes | 7c | 4,969$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.24 | 77 | 54.5%42 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 6c | 3,642$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.97 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 7c | 2,898$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.84 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfba3…4e15backed Yes | 8c | 2,438$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed Yes | 8c | 2,057$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.54 | 292 | 32.9%96 W · 196 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Yes | 5c | 1,737$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.83 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28e2…d3abbacked Yes | 8c | 1,262$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 172 | 18.6%32 W · 140 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0886…b3a6backed Yes | 9c | 1,111$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 329 | 22.5%74 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 7c | 895.28$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.65 | 740 | 34.1%252 W · 488 L | -36.1wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x949e…f94dbacked Yes | 6c | 833.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57c3…44b8backed Yes | 7c | 714.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed Yes | 8c | 645.63$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 98 | 15.3%15 W · 83 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…ae13backed Yes | 8c | 629.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 92 | 35.9%33 W · 59 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8876…34c9backed Yes | 7c | 623.14$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287d…38febacked Yes | 10c | 576.9$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.69 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35cc…6c88backed Yes | 7c | 568.45$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf92f…1a35backed Yes | 6c | 466.67$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9165…e7e7backed Yes | 7c | 456.2$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 226 | 50.9%115 W · 111 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…9460backed Yes | 6c | 396.9$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 356 | 19.4%69 W · 287 L | -21.4wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9b…156cbacked Yes | 6c | 383.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 8c | 350$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 165 | 9.7%16 W · 149 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe803…0416backed Yes | 6c | 333.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb465…0d8dbacked Yes | 5c | 262.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 49 | 8.2%4 W · 45 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 11cpaid | -60.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc846…c413backed Yes | 5c | 209$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 266 | 31.2%83 W · 183 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…3a98backed Yes | 7c | 206$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.42 | 164 | 25.6%42 W · 122 L | -10.6wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked Yes | 10c | 199$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.9 | 106 | 50%53 W · 53 L | +6.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x067e…625bbacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 50 | 28%14 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf82…a88ebacked Yes | 9c | 166.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 7c | 162.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 103 | 11.7%12 W · 91 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 13cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2897…0004backed Yes | 8c | 125$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed Yes | 18c | 56.69$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 484 | 38.2%185 W · 299 L | -6.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Iceland win on 2026-05-31?this page
- Will Japan vs. Iceland end in a draw?No won
- Will Japan win on 2026-05-31?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.