TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xc2f7…aef9

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
160
Categories scored
15
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Middle East, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Middle East at 62 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT5424.1%13 W · 41 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 54 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.31
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+629.9%+$431.49
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.6
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.28
Will Africa (CAF) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.06
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will United States win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.8
Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 1 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.4
Brazil vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$24.5
Will Paraguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Paraguay 0 - 2 France?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Paraguay vs. France: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Exact Score: Colombia 2 - 1 Ghana?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 0 Cabo Verde?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.9
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$152Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$151.9
Exact Score: France 3 - 1 Sweden?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Exact Score: Netherlands 1 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+525%+$84
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$192Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$192
Will Germany be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+183.8%+$211.73
Germany vs. Paraguay: Team to Advancebacked Paraguay · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+262.3%+$225.88
Showing 25 of 54 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT3751.4%19 W · 18 L+6.6wins+0.18per pick34cpaid+27.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Middle East — the 37 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$177Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$176.74
Iran successfully targets shipping on June 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$5.06
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.92
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.84
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$1,698Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+53%+$900.19
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$401Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$172.89
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$429Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$429
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,800Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,800
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$3,746Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+165.5%+$6,200.39
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+176%+$321.36
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$878Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+483.1%+$4,240.7
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$496Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$495.72
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+312.6%+$126.23
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+243.5%+$267.1
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$330Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+393.9%+$1,298.27
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$1,649Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+62.1%+$1,024.32
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$372
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$1,317Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+51.9%+$683
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$121Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+103.7%+$125.26
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 9?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$73.43
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$456.99
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$107Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$106.7
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.75
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$4,918Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,918.46
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.08
Showing 25 of 37 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick30cpaid+73%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$301Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$301
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$267Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$267.2
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will the Cleveland Cavaliers win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$132.64
Spurs vs. Thunderbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+151%+$72.2
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$32
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT+175.2%+$38.2
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.45
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$81.9
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$288Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$287.85
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$657Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$657.39
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Rockets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$336Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$336.35
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$419.69
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$727Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+371.8%+$2,702.29
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$711Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+223.7%+$1,590.14
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+614.3%+$462.34
All 17 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick16cpaid-17.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$5,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,499.65
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.71
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$487.21
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.17
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$671Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+511.2%+$3,427.97
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$199.91
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+167.1%+$53.46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$1,035Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+99.8%+$1,032.36
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$1,408Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,407.92
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.89
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$123Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.28
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$142Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.69
All 13 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT1136.4%4 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.18per pick54cpaid-46.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Crystal Palace FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.74
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-05-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.77
Will Chelsea FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$105.49
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-05-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$42
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-05-03?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$143Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT+39.9%+$57
Will Manchester United FC vs. Liverpool FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will AFC Bournemouth vs. Leeds United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$2,758Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,757.86
Will Leeds United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$159Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$71.5
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-04-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$741.57
All 11 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+63.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-70.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-34.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.32per pick35cpaid+314.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+30.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick73cpaid-29.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Nantes vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 5, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44.29
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Trump visit China by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$91Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.