Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9118beb9f9d8462c85b24f3cfb39ccbd244f723e6b381aaf622c66fdc3dcf178
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $429,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $470,119
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $429,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 131 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 4c | 141,577$6,083 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,083.4 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked Yes | 1c | 31,778$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.62 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…a1bbbacked Yes | 6c | 11,022$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704.46 | 302 | 38.1%115 W · 187 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…aef9backed Yes | 8c | 6,380$487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$487.21 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3764…c5ebbacked Yes | 3c | 6,322$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.97 | 294 | 36.1%106 W · 188 L | +16.1wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0d8…f5e2backed Yes | 1c | 4,774$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.1 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 5c | 2,980$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.6 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 7c | 2,380$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.6 | 56 | 17.9%10 W · 46 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 13cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 2,268$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 1,030 | 9.2%95 W · 935 L | -25.0wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc045…92f1backed Yes | 1c | 2,268$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e5c…3036backed Yes | 6c | 2,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 2c | 2,189$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes | 11c | 2,071$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.33 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | +526.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…1cb2backed Yes | 5c | 2,053$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.65 | 70 | 7.1%5 W · 65 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed Yes | 1c | 1,969$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked Yes | 7c | 1,879$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.54 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf040…3a86backed Yes | 1c | 1,787$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.3 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked Yes | 1c | 1,707$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5415…2159backed Yes | 6c | 1,528$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ee…ca0fbacked Yes | 20c | 1,430$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 17c | 1,412$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -69.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ddf…5c37backed Yes | 2c | 1,384$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.83 | 124 | 6.5%8 W · 116 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2cd…c187backed No | 80c | 1,300$1,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb0a8…62eebacked Yes | 16c | 1,289$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 7c | 1,256$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.84 | 86 | 17.4%15 W · 71 L | -4.2wins | -0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff7c…b233backed Yes | 11c | 1,199$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.3 | 320 | 23.4%75 W · 245 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 25cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30aa…2bddbacked Yes | 17c | 1,122$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190.77 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Yes | 8c | 1,119$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.85 | 188 | 4.3%8 W · 180 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 7c | 1,070$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8d4…7a70backed Yes | 7c | 1,057$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeabe…5910backed Yes | 7c | 1,054$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0330…eb8fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,015$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.1 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +4.2wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1c22…76fabacked Yes | 13c | 1,009$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.22 | 17 | 0%0 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb3…2d0ebacked Yes | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cf3…ae6fbacked Yes | 3c | 999.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe43…c5b1backed Yes | 6c | 981.42$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.11 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd85b…d467backed Yes | 4c | 928.92$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x866e…2d1ebacked Yes | 1c | 877$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.68 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 64cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x79dc…ca77backed Yes | 12c | 870.59$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.49 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Yes | 2c | 834.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 121 | 26.4%32 W · 89 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c77…1b6bbacked Yes | 20c | 804.71$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.89 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d1…8ffabacked Yes | 2c | 787.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 199 | 23.1%46 W · 153 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 17cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfed3…c43fbacked Yes | 17c | 705.88$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 37cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6483…3f18backed Yes | 21c | 668.65$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6376…8ce9backed No | 77c | 626.28$482 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.04 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.36per pick | 52cpaid | +79.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9da9…e9c7backed Yes | 21c | 618.71$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2eec…c999backed No | 76c | 614.61$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.51 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -17%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 12c | 601.23$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.83 | 79 | 21.5%17 W · 62 L | -4.5wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x568f…fe75backed Yes | 19c | 538.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fa…a7c1backed Yes | 30c | 490.81$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.39 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x48d6…1556backed Yes | 15c | 470.99$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.49 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.14per pick | 24cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf13a…a600backed Yes | 17c | 464.39$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.7 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3085…7568backed Yes | 7c | 402.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.16 | 121 | 2.5%3 W · 118 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81e0…2c3bbacked Yes | 16c | 400$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 70 | 11.4%8 W · 62 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 17cpaid | -61.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…248abacked Yes | 8c | 389.44$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58f5…be7bbacked Yes | 17c | 387.95$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.95 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.18per pick | 26cpaid | +82.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4412…f131backed Yes | 6c | 332.64$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +50%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 4c | 317.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.71 | 130 | 6.2%8 W · 122 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d77…fdbebacked No | 80c | 300$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc54…680fbacked Yes | 5c | 300$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -59.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6aae…1cb0backed Yes | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 17c | 297.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.41 | 264 | 13.3%35 W · 229 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2534…f596backed Yes | 7c | 285.71$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 13cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa56f…b885backed Yes | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x404c…74dcbacked Yes | 13c | 269.48$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.66 | 24 | 83.3%20 W · 4 L | +5.7wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 4c | 261.97$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda14…a40cbacked No | 75c | 259.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.2 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -6.0wins | -0.20per pick | 57cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…c229backed Yes | 8c | 256.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f65…484fbacked Yes | 20c | 250.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x270f…5e39backed Yes | 8c | 241.7$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa323…2778backed Yes | 14c | 219.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d12…4a9ebacked Yes | 7c | 214.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa540…0b43backed Yes | 16c | 210$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 1,277 | 24.3%310 W · 967 L | -58.2wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b0…a817backed No | 77c | 209.63$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.21 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21d0…ce91backed Yes | 17c | 209.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.11 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793e…8f5fbacked Yes | 20c | 200.65$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf5…b17fbacked Yes | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87bf…3111backed No | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x692e…ec1ebacked Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x476c…ce52backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +13.7wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked Yes | 15c | 188.72$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.22 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3eb…376cbacked No | 75c | 165$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.45 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 71cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26b7…68a2backed No | 79c | 161.99$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.55 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +12.3wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xb839…6f4fbacked Yes | 16c | 150$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d5…e993backed Yes | 8c | 144.96$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 15c | 137.7$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.54 | 238 | 46.6%111 W · 127 L | +13.3wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdbb…6984backed No | 76c | 131.05$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe453…b05dbacked Yes | 17c | 129.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.9 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ee…ce87backed Yes | 13c | 125.89$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.56 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 14cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8deb…d435backed Yes | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68c…c8b1backed Yes | 16c | 117.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 16c | 115.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.66 | 307 | 18.6%57 W · 250 L | -17.8wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -34%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94b0…9d34backed No | 66c | 112.7$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.15 | 40 | 65%26 W · 14 L | +5.5wins | +0.14per pick | 51cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d9e…e0e6backed Yes | 13c | 103.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -72.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x554b…8216backed Yes | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9feb…ac7abacked Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc965…e751backed No | 72c | 100$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fa…ed3ebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4834…0c43backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -76.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed3…6f56backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.