Commodities · resolved market
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaf252e7ac957d6636a6916da51892c9f42e59bfbf808bd4d8e16f194694d2b5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Commoditiesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,314,805
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,429,443
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,314,805 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 812 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Commodities is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Commodities | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe734…4f0cbacked Yes | 52c | 174,056$91,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,723.86 | 109 | 30.3%33 W · 76 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b5b…576fbacked No | 0c | 100,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b1…7d2abacked No | 59c | 58,505$34,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,525.68 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d4…afabbacked No | 0c | 42,280$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbe…2cf3backed No | 64c | 18,953$12,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,096.78 | 62 | 33.9%21 W · 41 L | -6.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -40%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 67c | 18,914$12,752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,752.44 | 930 | 40.3%375 W · 555 L | -67.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x993c…6787backed No | 45c | 16,962$7,691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,691 | 119 | 21%25 W · 94 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 0c | 16,744$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.78 | 222 | 1.4%3 W · 219 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 27c | 15,194$4,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,074.54 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb47a…6d60backed Yes | 54c | 15,000$8,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,900 | 8 | 100%8 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +89.9%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 24c | 14,670$3,484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,484.49 | 273 | 22%60 W · 213 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ca…cd59backed No | 47c | 14,565$6,863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,863.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc2f…10c7backed No | 41c | 14,513$5,993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,992.9 | 117 | 34.2%40 W · 77 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b7…60a4backed Yes | 36c | 13,777$5,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,767.77 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x436f…2c7fbacked No | 37c | 12,565$4,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,641.61 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68e2…30acbacked No | 0c | 10,807$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4d77…af31backed No | 43c | 9,281$3,964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,963.76 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49e9…8f85backed No | 66c | 9,276$6,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,115.21 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -67.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8888…0b39backed Yes | 50c | 9,074$4,493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,580.97 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +4.2wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 56c | 8,765$4,927 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,927.01 | 148 | 49.3%73 W · 75 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72a0…c059backed Yes | 47c | 8,511$4,003 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,507.06 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | +7.0wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5226…8554backed No | 45c | 8,237$3,713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,713.03 | 62 | 67.7%42 W · 20 L | +13.6wins | +0.22per pick | 46cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 67+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed Yes | 61c | 7,411$4,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,915.29 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +40.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7187…f08bbacked Yes | 42c | 6,814$2,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,966.23 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 34cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc360…dbb2backed No | 40c | 6,595$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 51cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x740c…d013backed No | 23c | 6,292$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.33 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e92…6929backed No | 46c | 5,867$2,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,674.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe94b…5abebacked No | 28c | 5,838$1,642 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,641.8 | 150 | 20.7%31 W · 119 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 7c | 5,816$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.18 | 206 | 24.8%51 W · 155 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed No | 33c | 5,624$1,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,848.12 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97a6…2190backed No | 37c | 5,576$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.75 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d9a…ac80backed No | 0c | 5,130$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…6beabacked No | 53c | 5,118$2,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,691.9 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +4.9wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb275…28b1backed No | 42c | 5,116$2,145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.33 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57cd…82acbacked No | 36c | 4,856$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,740.33 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa75e…3748backed No | 2c | 4,774$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa98…90bbbacked Yes | 70c | 4,555$3,186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.12 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d4…c3f9backed No | 64c | 4,080$2,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,594.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4047…7293backed No | 49c | 3,909$1,929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,929.18 | 66 | 51.5%34 W · 32 L | +6.8wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff72…cdaabacked No | 57c | 3,881$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,195.34 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…ba12backed No | 26c | 3,696$949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$948.78 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71ab…f015backed Yes | 55c | 3,626$1,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,641.72 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +20.4wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2a…e8a9backed No | 20c | 3,322$674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.08 | 31 | 16.1%5 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f1…c4bdbacked No | 54c | 3,196$1,718 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,717.51 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefe…2d45backed No | 64c | 3,124$2,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.43per pick | 60cpaid | -78.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb688…6862backed Yes | 51c | 3,056$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ff3…8c08backed No | 33c | 3,032$1,012 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,011.87 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x613b…fdffbacked Yes | 36c | 3,031$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,931.29 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc4…6770backed No | 65c | 3,015$1,949 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,949.29 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed No | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 52c | 2,997$1,549 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,447.97 | 308 | 39.6%122 W · 186 L | -17.4wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab8…eb56backed No | 47c | 2,961$1,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,395.56 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -6.6wins | -0.25per pick | 48cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9945…385bbacked No | 40c | 2,921$1,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.83 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.5wins | -0.20per pick | 32cpaid | -75.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked No | 38c | 2,780$1,051 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.55 | 110 | 32.7%36 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb971…e7aebacked No | 46c | 2,642$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.33 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +14%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…46e6backed No | 49c | 2,624$1,297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,296.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f6…8fcfbacked No | 61c | 2,560$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.75 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.7wins | -0.38per pick | 53cpaid | -81.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2779…239abacked Yes | 56c | 2,474$1,397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.69 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +78.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 31c | 2,360$724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$723.85 | 241 | 26.1%63 W · 178 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1024…9651backed Yes | 53c | 2,329$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100.52 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked No | 12c | 2,322$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$273.07 | 94 | 8.5%8 W · 86 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed No | 61c | 2,247$1,374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,373.58 | 87 | 34.5%30 W · 57 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fb…db5cbacked No | 31c | 2,209$692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$691.81 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e8…9fbdbacked No | 3c | 2,200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.9 | 91 | 1.1%1 W · 90 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d66…79cabacked No | 6c | 2,200$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7873…c7e1backed No | 4c | 2,173$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.20per pick | 20cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93a4…a537backed Yes | 48c | 2,125$1,023 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,101.8 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc2f7…aef9backed Yes | 50c | 2,067$1,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032.36 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45b0…ceebbacked No | 28c | 2,065$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$583.76 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | +9.3wins | +0.32per pick | 33cpaid | +90.1%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd4…c680backed No | 51c | 2,051$1,044 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,043.99 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…27b4backed No | 45c | 2,049$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.96 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.21per pick | 68cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2d…f8aebacked No | 49c | 2,027$996 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$995.8 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x126e…c360backed No | 1c | 2,000$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.53 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -11%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf579…9989backed Yes | 54c | 2,000$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.98 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -39%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…4a37backed Yes | 70c | 1,998$1,399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$599.44 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacea…eeecbacked No | 24c | 1,992$469 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$468.95 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc326…1db1backed Yes | 59c | 1,984$1,177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$806.42 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd226…35acbacked Yes | 76c | 1,961$1,491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.44 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 3c | 1,959$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.52 | 1,024 | 9.1%93 W · 931 L | -25.7wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f63…f247backed No | 45c | 1,945$885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.87 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x052a…b945backed No | 74c | 1,914$1,423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,422.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc08…6be7backed Yes | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$893 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.7wins | +0.30per pick | 25cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x730a…51a0backed No | 17c | 1,895$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.27 | 77 | 11.7%9 W · 68 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbfd…0029backed Yes | 56c | 1,881$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$835.53 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50b2…c94abacked No | 49c | 1,861$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920.74 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7447…a16dbacked No | 53c | 1,850$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980.42 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -46.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed No | 45c | 1,849$841 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$840.84 | 58 | 10.3%6 W · 52 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x07ab…7c23backed No | 29c | 1,791$526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4bf…e97bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,781$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$739.06 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63f1…6272backed No | 43c | 1,683$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$732.18 | 116 | 28.4%33 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf8cc…028abacked No | 2c | 1,683$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.86 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79a8…bb66backed No | 48c | 1,663$801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800.58 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a3…e60abacked No | 16c | 1,662$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.01 | 28 | 17.9%5 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaab…24ddbacked Yes | 64c | 1,658$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$595.4 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +321.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…397dbacked No | 61c | 1,641$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 100 | 51%51 W · 49 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x434d…a1d5backed No | 39c | 1,614$626 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.34 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa61b…9d74backed No | 18c | 1,604$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.19 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…aa53backed Yes | 69c | 1,593$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.86 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x510f…a43cbacked No | 53c | 1,574$827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.48 | 184 | 40.2%74 W · 110 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe738…df65backed No | 50c | 1,532$762 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$762.23 | 86 | 37.2%32 W · 54 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Commodities and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 36 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?this page
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $130 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $140 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $175 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $65 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $85 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $35 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $45 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $47 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $50 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $52 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $55 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June?No won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $90 by end of June?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.