TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0d66…79ca

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
135
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 66 out of 100 (+0.15 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 66 out of 100; worst Asian League at 37.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT5780.7%46 W · 11 L+11.9wins+0.21per pick60cpaid+36.8%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 57 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Spain vs. Belgium: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$67
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$18.38
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$15.2
France vs. Morocco: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.6
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)backed Egypt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$48
Portugal vs. Spain: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$76.7
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$32.2
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+68.8%+$53
Paraguay vs. France: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$10
Canada vs. Morocco: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+25%+$6
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$17.6
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$14
Australia vs. Egypt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.4
Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15
Spain vs. Austria: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$11.15
Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.25
Belgium vs. Senegal: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$21
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$56Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$44
England vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$21.6
France vs. Sweden: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
France vs. Sweden: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+41.2%+$29.2
Showing 25 of 57 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick39cpaid+21.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $56 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$39.2
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.7
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,800 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.18
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $4,900 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.6
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+209.4%+$392.09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $75 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.34
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.79
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.6
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$236.99
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+361.6%+$570.44
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.59
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,500 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+72%+$36.05
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$16.5
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$3.38
All 17 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.0wins-0.21per pick43cpaid-66.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$17
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+37%+$8.1
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$108
Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$84Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.2
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$363Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.29
Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$138.13
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.8
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.2
Will Bitcoin dip to $62,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$52
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$59.2
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+80.9%+$31.3
All 14 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 19, 2026, EDT1241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-31.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$22.2
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.01
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.6
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$153
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$44.8
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.5
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$168Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+78.9%+$132.3
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.96
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$184
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+64.2%+$37.95
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
All 12 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-4.2wins-0.38per pick56cpaid-74%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
Asian League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Yunnan Yukun FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.82
Dalian Yingbo FC vs. Liaoning Tieren FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.13
Gimcheon Sangmu FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.1
Avispa Fukuoka vs. Vissel Kōbe: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Qingdao Xihaian FC win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.65
Spread: Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC (-2.5)backed Qingdao Xihaian FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.77
Ulsan HD FC vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.14
Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Gwangju FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.84
Shandong Taishan FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$12.4
Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chengdu Rongcheng FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.9
All 11 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.17per pick33cpaid+19.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.8
Starmer out by July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+203%+$134
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+235%+$301.63
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will the Communist Party of India (Marxist) (CPI(M)) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$8.7
Will the Indian National Congress (INC) win the most seats in the 2026 Kerala Legislative Assembly election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$13.76
All 8 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 29, 2026, EDT560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick66cpaid-18.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-33.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will BK Hacken win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.44
Spread: BK Hacken (-1.5)backed BK Hacken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.12
Mjallby AIF vs. AIK: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+100%+$150
All 3 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 22, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.6T?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Mornar Bar win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Punjab Kings win the 2025 Indian Premier League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2025, EDT-100%-$90
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.7
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.