Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77954e0830eafc9539916c591f717fb0635f6483bc9949524cb46483cd9b9d39

Rebuilt 7 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,369,362
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,496,590

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,369,362 — the venue’s figure.

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Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 551 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in World Politics
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x0380…073dbacked No	20c	190,690$38,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38,347.3	343	54.8%188 W · 155 L	-1.5wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4207…b81bbacked No	20c	161,389$32,331 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32,330.6	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.09per pick	38cpaid	+38.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes	75c	76,714$57,321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$19,393.09	86	40.7%35 W · 51 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	38cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe899…0899backed Yes	78c	59,641$46,470 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$13,170.55	8	87.5%7 W · 1 L	+1.8wins	+0.23per pick	65cpaid	+42.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1e05…11d6backed No	24c	56,240$13,775 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13,774.98	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22e4…ef1cbacked Yes	78c	53,092$41,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$11,934.94	16	50%8 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	53cpaid	-5.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	22c	52,751$11,584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11,583.75	352	58%204 W · 148 L	-4.6wins	-0.01per pick	59cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5efb…55a1backed Yes	71c	36,848$26,210 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$10,637.99	12	58.3%7 W · 5 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	49cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x479d…d469backed Yes	76c	29,302$22,208 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$7,093.98	2	50%1 W · 1 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	69cpaid	-34%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d6…7475backed No	20c	29,088$5,941 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,940.82	137	48.2%66 W · 71 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No	22c	26,284$5,703 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,703.45	106	46.2%49 W · 57 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	46cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc6dd…4b9fbacked Yes	77c	21,295$16,396 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,898.08	18	66.7%12 W · 6 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+11.2%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7dc1…0a86backed No	19c	21,274$3,936 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,936.32	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x74f1…16a8backed No	9c	20,954$1,892 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,892.48	65	23.1%15 W · 50 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-43.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	24c	18,303$4,480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,479.8	155	58.7%91 W · 64 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	58cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa2c9…2c23backed Yes	80c	17,500$13,921 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,578.63	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+1.1wins	+0.36per pick	64cpaid	+59.2%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfea8…47aabacked No	25c	17,187$4,297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,296.63	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd24b…ef76backed Yes	70c	16,923$11,916 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$5,007.01	43	48.8%21 W · 22 L	+3.5wins	+0.08per pick	41cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6640…2202backed Yes	75c	16,595$12,463 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$4,131.99	84	56%47 W · 37 L	+9.4wins	+0.11per pick	45cpaid	+24.7%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1543…baafbacked No	12c	15,723$1,913 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,913.1	27	48.1%13 W · 14 L	+4.0wins	+0.15per pick	33cpaid	+25%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xda66…3f38backed Yes	76c	15,223$11,640 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,583.81	33	36.4%12 W · 21 L	-6.6wins	-0.20per pick	56cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Yes	77c	14,906$11,512 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,393.2	549	34.6%190 W · 359 L	-37.0wins	-0.07per pick	41cpaid	-27.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa328…4977backed No	21c	14,784$3,096 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$3,095.9	132	43.9%58 W · 74 L	-2.8wins	-0.02per pick	46cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8dd…ec86backed No	34c	14,050$4,729 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,728.67	44	50%22 W · 22 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	50cpaid	-19.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3988…7a45backed Yes	74c	12,418$9,193 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$3,225.58	3	100%3 W · 0 L	+0.8wins	+0.28per pick	72cpaid	+39.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcd91…32b8backed No	21c	12,341$2,571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,570.8	160	51.9%83 W · 77 L	+3.4wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x85b8…6b6abacked No	11c	12,020$1,347 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,346.61	55	36.4%20 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-19.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes	76c	11,292$8,542 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,749.66	43	34.9%15 W · 28 L	+4.5wins	+0.11per pick	24cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x40cf…d21dbacked Yes	73c	11,000$8,045 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,955	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	+102.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf96…9942backed No	14c	10,278$1,417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,416.7	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.0wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x17a7…470ebacked No	17c	10,000$1,688 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,688.02	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ef…8cd6backed Yes	75c	10,000$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	7	85.7%6 W · 1 L	+1.5wins	+0.21per pick	65cpaid	+48.6%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x993f…3ee3backed Yes	75c	10,000$7,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,500	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	59cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x27ab…e521backed No	25c	9,878$2,502 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,501.59	70	58.6%41 W · 29 L	-1.4wins	-0.02per pick	61cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7879…822abacked Yes	73c	9,587$6,974 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,613.32	28	42.9%12 W · 16 L	-1.6wins	-0.06per pick	49cpaid	-20%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0845…6b6fbacked Yes	76c	9,377$7,144 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$2,232.93	53	35.8%19 W · 34 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfc04…4f75backed Yes	79c	9,045$7,157 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,888.01	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.9wins	+0.19per pick	61cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3cd…816cbacked No	19c	8,687$1,693 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,693.19	186	28.5%53 W · 133 L	+3.9wins	+0.02per pick	26cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	22c	8,675$1,906 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,906.17	183	48.6%89 W · 94 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-7.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…3c2fbacked No	7c	8,212$575 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$574.85	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-42.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd32c…a4c2backed No	19c	7,598$1,457 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457.39	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df1…ea12backed Yes	74c	7,500$5,550 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,950	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+2.1wins	+0.16per pick	45cpaid	+39.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x7e35…1a6cbacked No	17c	7,400$1,251 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,250.97	261	39.8%104 W · 157 L	+16.3wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+32.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4df3…788fbacked No	19c	7,095$1,317 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,317.44	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	35cpaid	-32.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc2e5…b3a5backed Yes	79c	6,888$5,429 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,458.7	8	75%6 W · 2 L	+2.0wins	+0.25per pick	50cpaid	+81%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x73f7…6099backed No	27c	6,296$1,700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,700	2	50%1 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.01per pick	51cpaid	-33.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd2…9ab1backed No	22c	6,293$1,356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,356.04	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	40cpaid	-11.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd352…4ad6backed No	25c	6,243$1,561 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,560.81	52	30.8%16 W · 36 L	+1.3wins	+0.03per pick	28cpaid	-27.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x21ff…0d71backed Yes	77c	6,224$4,764 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,460.13	884	48.5%429 W · 455 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-6.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x16cb…2704backed No	17c	5,961$1,006 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,006.18	27	44.4%12 W · 15 L	+1.8wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	-18.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd49b…bdf9backed No	36c	5,720$2,034 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,033.67	59	32.2%19 W · 40 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x006c…16eabacked No	35c	5,647$1,969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,969.1	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.06per pick	34cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked No	7c	5,481$362 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$362.27	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa4f8…0361backed Yes	79c	5,436$4,317 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,119.12	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	46cpaid	-21%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Yes	76c	5,334$4,051 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,283.31	148	34.5%51 W · 97 L	-3.8wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-21.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4be5…c1b3backed Yes	74c	5,020$3,705 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,315	78	28.2%22 W · 56 L	-3.7wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xce71…83bcbacked Yes	74c	5,000$3,700 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,300	25	28%7 W · 18 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	31cpaid	-45.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9b5…9db1backed No	18c	4,906$877 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$877.49	122	49.2%60 W · 62 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	49cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd8d5…8935backed Yes	67c	4,900$3,283 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,616.99	101	51.5%52 W · 49 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	50cpaid	-16.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc01f…cd8ebacked Yes	74c	4,707$3,500 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,207.18	70	27.1%19 W · 51 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-36.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc624…ee24backed Yes	76c	4,680$3,544 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,136.37	60	43.3%26 W · 34 L	-3.7wins	-0.06per pick	50cpaid	-28.4%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x944e…8c94backed Yes	74c	4,444$3,289 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,155.43	142	40.8%58 W · 84 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8c2…3048backed No	31c	4,120$1,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,262	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.8wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8532…738bbacked Yes	79c	4,107$3,245 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$862.54	9	66.7%6 W · 3 L	+1.5wins	+0.17per pick	50cpaid	+66.7%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4b2d…f0d4backed Yes	74c	4,036$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,036.04	6	83.3%5 W · 1 L	+0.8wins	+0.13per pick	70cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b11…2976backed Yes	75c	4,001$3,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,000.58	11	54.5%6 W · 5 L	+0.9wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c12…79d9backed No	19c	3,625$689 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$688.75	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-2.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No	23c	3,606$819 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$818.78	223	55.6%124 W · 99 L	+4.2wins	+0.02per pick	54cpaid	+0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb54…d452backed No	6c	3,589$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.84	108	64.8%70 W · 38 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	66cpaid	+4.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf6aa…178ebacked Yes	74c	3,363$2,475 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$887.99	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+1.1wins	+0.16per pick	41cpaid	+80.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd8d…1d32backed No	15c	3,344$514 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$513.72	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	8cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaab9…a08dbacked Yes	74c	3,222$2,393 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$828.83	21	52.4%11 W · 10 L	+1.9wins	+0.09per pick	43cpaid	+6.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf5a3…391cbacked No	27c	3,101$847 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$847.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9826…e7febacked Yes	75c	3,081$2,321 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$760.22	17	23.5%4 W · 13 L	-1.6wins	-0.09per pick	33cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x784f…5df9backed No	36c	3,000$1,080 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,080	74	36.5%27 W · 47 L	-2.3wins	-0.03per pick	40cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc60…af79backed No	34c	3,000$1,020 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,020	34	44.1%15 W · 19 L	-0.3wins	-0.01per pick	45cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe613…540ebacked No	30c	3,000$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.35per pick	15cpaid	+415.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x72a2…7b65backed Yes	78c	2,941$2,281 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$659.71	21	57.1%12 W · 9 L	-0.4wins	-0.02per pick	59cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfb51…742dbacked Yes	76c	2,919$2,221 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$697.84	74	51.4%38 W · 36 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	51cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ccf…79d7backed No	35c	2,854$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$998.79	25	64%16 W · 9 L	+4.1wins	+0.17per pick	47cpaid	+32.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0xb22a…a80dbacked Yes	72c	2,824$2,039 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$784.93	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+1.7wins	+0.11per pick	58cpaid	+16.1%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3244…f094backed Yes	74c	2,803$2,074 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$728.85	1	100%1 W · 0 L	+0.3wins	+0.26per pick	74cpaid	+35.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0752…a933backed No	28c	2,783$792 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$792.08	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.3wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4478…02a4backed Yes	80c	2,716$2,173 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$543.19	30	43.3%13 W · 17 L	+0.9wins	+0.03per pick	40cpaid	-15.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	21c	2,679$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$552.9	399	52.4%209 W · 190 L	-3.6wins	-0.01per pick	53cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6743…4ccbbacked No	33c	2,672$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$884.48	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.05per pick	22cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c58…13b9backed Yes	77c	2,613$2,000 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$612.5	15	46.7%7 W · 8 L	-0.5wins	-0.04per pick	50cpaid	-28.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b91…edd9backed Yes	76c	2,600$1,976 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$624	2	100%2 W · 0 L	+0.6wins	+0.30per pick	70cpaid	+44.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa189…a2d5backed Yes	78c	2,402$1,869 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$533.4	10	80%8 W · 2 L	+1.8wins	+0.18per pick	62cpaid	+42.5%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xfd55…f905backed No	24c	2,375$573 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$572.93	360	55.3%199 W · 161 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	55cpaid	-3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5a8b…92c9backed Yes	73c	2,367$1,731 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$635.67	8	62.5%5 W · 3 L	+2.1wins	+0.27per pick	36cpaid	+141.7%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1104…002abacked Yes	78c	2,340$1,823 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$516.8	31	35.5%11 W · 20 L	+0.1wins	0.00per pick	35cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf0e…c02bbacked No	5c	2,330$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$112.91	50	36%18 W · 32 L	-0.8wins	-0.02per pick	38cpaid	-4.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b36…a393backed No	8c	2,328$184 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$184.41	6	33.3%2 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-56.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a4c…532bbacked Yes	68c	2,238$1,530 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$707.59	55	21.8%12 W · 43 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	+27.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1aee…c139backed Yes	76c	2,229$1,698 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$531.02	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-56.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x629b…995abacked Yes	63c	2,222$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$822.14	432	43.1%186 W · 246 L	+29.2wins	+0.07per pick	36cpaid	-7.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x85ee…f4dfbacked No	28c	2,154$611 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$611.25	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.3wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d41…6acabacked Yes	65c	2,154$1,400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$753.85	12	25%3 W · 9 L	-1.8wins	-0.15per pick	40cpaid	-33.8%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde8f…8fd8backed Yes	72c	2,140$1,541 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$599.2	7	57.1%4 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	54cpaid	-20.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?this page
Will John Skipworth win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No won
Will Maria Deery win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No won
Will Rebecca Shepherd win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No won
Will Robert Kenyon win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No won
Will Simon Finkelstein win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event