TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xd32c…a4c2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
196
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: NBA, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT8253.7%44 W · 38 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 82 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.56
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+28.7%+$34.57
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.75
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$35.96
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$163.12
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+88.3%+$101.73
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$43.4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$164Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$164.24
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 1 to August 3, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+195.6%+$158.8
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$270Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.36
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$174Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+151.9%+$264.76
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.04
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 25 to July 27, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$23.24
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$81.55
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$109Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$42.09
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 23 to July 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+135.4%+$32.64
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$85.08
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT+29.6%+$57.6
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.51
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$48.67
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 20 to July 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.72
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$90.44
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT+145.7%+$83.02
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.38
Showing 25 of 82 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT7352.1%38 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+14.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 73 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$6,887Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+37.3%+$2,567.83
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$332Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$332.47
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$3,868Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,867.57
Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+1,211.5%+$2,821.82
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$4,080Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$4,080.18
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$7,253Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$3,790.3
Will England finish 3rd place in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.79
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.7
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$2,311Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+25.7%+$592.97
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,817Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$667.37
Will Spain be eliminated in the Semifinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+65.9%+$34.92
Will Spain be eliminated in the Quarterfinals of the World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$18.88
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Will Argentina vs. Egypt end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$7.59
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+49.4%+$14.54
Will Norway win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.53
Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+35.7%+$37.62
Will Brazil win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+110.8%+$80.96
Will France win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.54
Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$55.13
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+779.1%+$77.99
Will Belgium vs. Senegal end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$86Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.32
Will Senegal win on 2026-07-01?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+236.2%+$85.01
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.53
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$111Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+30.8%+$34.12
Showing 25 of 73 picks, newest first.
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nigel Farage win the Clacton by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.43
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14,515Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+44.7%+$6,490.27
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$6,783Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$6,783.06
Will Andy Burnham win the 2026 Makerfield by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$1,457Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,457.39
Will Civil Contract win the most seats in the 2026 Armenian National Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.15
Will Abelardo de la Espriella win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,554Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,554.05
Will Iván Cepeda Castro win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,107Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT+140.9%+$1,559.68
Will the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$139Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+62%+$86.1
Will Tamilaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the most seats in the 2026 Tamil Nadu Legislative Assembly election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.36
All 9 picks, newest first.
Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-48.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lisa Demuth win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.56
Will Mike Lindell win the 2026 Minnesota Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$24.32
Will Donavan McKinney be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.52
Will Abdul El-Sayed win the 2026 Michigan Democratic Primary?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$582Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$581.72
Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$463Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+41.7%+$193.06
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$198.71
Will Ed Gallrein be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.3
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$874Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+26.4%+$230.46
All 8 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.19per pick61cpaid+35.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-68.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-35.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+26.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hanwha Life Esports win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.33
Will Bilibili Gaming win MSI 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+152.6%+$52.53
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+46.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will EC Bahia vs. Botafogo FR end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+46.3%+$4.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$149.53
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$935Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$934.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on June 4?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.59
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.