Us Midterms · resolved market
Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfec5e4fb10dd82bc4fb945dfed9c126a244f1bc3311a6a28c7a1515580ebc190
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Midtermsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $214,165
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $200,707
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $214,165 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 199 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Midterms is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 23c | 22,671$5,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,542.55 | 115 | 22.6%26 W · 89 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 64c | 21,867$13,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,911.89 | 147 | 29.9%44 W · 103 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b9…b836backed Yes | 42c | 18,490$7,827 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,663.31 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +9.3wins | +0.12per pick | 37cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 78c | 15,426$12,042 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,042.01 | 315 | 34%107 W · 208 L | -11.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefac…c9a1backed Yes | 19c | 12,550$2,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,170.96 | 343 | 33.5%115 W · 228 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4207…b81bbacked No | 17c | 6,991$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.07 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 35c | 6,865$2,430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,434.34 | 30 | 20%6 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x814d…b842backed Yes | 24c | 6,858$1,614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,243.26 | 75 | 34.7%26 W · 49 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 2c | 6,690$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.11 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed No | 71c | 6,500$4,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,593.43 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 64c | 5,969$3,848 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,848.2 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 71c | 5,736$4,071 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,071.2 | 182 | 37.4%68 W · 114 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked No | 56c | 3,495$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.77 | 136 | 25.7%35 W · 101 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e62…b22ebacked No | 46c | 3,185$1,477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.97 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 18cpaid | -72.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…74f5backed Yes | 13c | 3,148$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,748.22 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62bd…185abacked Yes | 10c | 3,048$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,757.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.90per pick | 10cpaid | +947.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f1d…8de2backed No | 71c | 3,040$2,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.32 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d6…7475backed No | 9c | 2,857$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.29 | 63 | 36.5%23 W · 40 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -38%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed Yes | 33c | 2,800$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,875.99 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed Yes | 38c | 2,715$1,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,673.86 | 210 | 33.3%70 W · 140 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked Yes | 53c | 2,221$1,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.74 | 39 | 20.5%8 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 20cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed No | 75c | 1,995$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,492.58 | 211 | 61.1%129 W · 82 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 58c | 1,920$1,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.61 | 107 | 39.3%42 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93a9…0b88backed Yes | 55c | 1,772$974 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$798.79 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -20%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c8…23e1backed No | 73c | 1,666$1,215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,214.51 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | -2.6wins | -0.12per pick | 27cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 60c | 1,603$969 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$968.99 | 103 | 40.8%42 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 50c | 1,469$728 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$728.43 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 30c | 1,376$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412.36 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5d…1614backed No | 67c | 1,299$869 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$868.85 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 55c | 1,237$680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$679.54 | 87 | 40.2%35 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e35…1a6cbacked No | 58c | 1,153$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.38 | 165 | 44.2%73 W · 92 L | +10.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1206…1362backed Yes | 6c | 1,046$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.9 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc01f…cd8ebacked No | 10c | 1,031$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8adb…e4f6backed Yes | 25c | 1,000$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +168.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd62…6a7ebacked Yes | 16c | 936.61$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$785.24 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…01acbacked Yes | 11c | 887.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$788.53 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a98…1b92backed Yes | 17c | 858.62$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.82 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 67c | 822.99$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.68 | 332 | 38.6%128 W · 204 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed Yes | 8c | 741.13$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$683.59 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +3.6wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +86.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yes | 20c | 738.28$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.8 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d5…8935backed No | 76c | 698.68$532 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$532.3 | 55 | 47.3%26 W · 29 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4823…9448backed Yes | 38c | 684$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.08 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.35per pick | 51cpaid | +115.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…8230backed Yes | 29c | 679.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$479.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +239.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x463f…e458backed Yes | 37c | 663.17$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd32c…a4c2backed No | 30c | 659.92$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.71 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x011f…1122backed Yes | 32c | 658.67$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.98 | 51 | 11.8%6 W · 45 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -75.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 72c | 657$472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.49 | 125 | 45.6%57 W · 68 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 15c | 634.51$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.9 | 495 | 11.5%57 W · 438 L | -17.6wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed Yes | 30c | 622$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.33 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.23per pick | 34cpaid | +70%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 77c | 619.5$479 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.69 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf055…ccddbacked No | 74c | 600$446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9b5…9db1backed No | 78c | 561.06$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.18 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5529…e5b9backed Yes | 28c | 543.31$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.16 | 229 | 48.9%112 W · 117 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0781…c4ffbacked Yes | 78c | 500.84$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.76 | 196 | 31.1%61 W · 135 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…14e8backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b2…4cebbacked Yes | 21c | 484.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.57 | 50 | 18%9 W · 41 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7842…4d91backed Yes | 21c | 471.76$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.1 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb924…0803backed No | 76c | 445$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.21 | 48 | 33.3%16 W · 32 L | -7.4wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xabb9…2b63backed Yes | 43c | 435.26$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.94 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.17per pick | 53cpaid | +53.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 421.1$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.76 | 171 | 40.4%69 W · 102 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…9411backed Yes | 80c | 419.33$335 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.87 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +56.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x13a9…e573backed Yes | 14c | 400$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.8 | 41 | 19.5%8 W · 33 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cd…816cbacked No | 75c | 399.99$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.79 | 82 | 34.1%28 W · 54 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 38c | 367$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.98 | 91 | 47.3%43 W · 48 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked Yes | 48c | 365$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.78 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb2…7f19backed Yes | 37c | 350$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6071…e933backed Yes | 19c | 343.69$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.98 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.20per pick | 39cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36dd…bfccbacked Yes | 72c | 341.46$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.45 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.24per pick | 47cpaid | +80.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7ee4…d6c3backed No | 76c | 341$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c9e…bdb6backed No | 76c | 341$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9f20…12c3backed No | 65c | 335$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.64 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…cfafbacked Yes | 46c | 329.99$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.54 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +133.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x796d…9551backed Yes | 17c | 318.31$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.75 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +127.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf2…a5aebacked Yes | 27c | 313.72$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.05 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82da…ae5fbacked Yes | 16c | 312.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.48 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +192.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 7c | 312$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.71 | 182 | 3.8%7 W · 175 L | -4.7wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -50%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 22c | 309.91$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.95 | 160 | 20.6%33 W · 127 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…91d5backed Yes | 17c | 306.61$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.73 | 63 | 11.1%7 W · 56 L | -8.4wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec47…0c22backed Yes | 45c | 301.55$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.69 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +115%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed No | 55c | 292.85$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.56 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2955…0738backed Yes | 42c | 291.01$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.63 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a72…a2abbacked Yes | 23c | 287.97$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.03 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa667…ceb3backed Yes | 46c | 278.37$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.21 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +9.9wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 65c | 259.58$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.73 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38a4…4ef2backed Yes | 5c | 259.48$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.61 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 17cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed Yes | 22c | 253.14$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.45 | 73 | 26%19 W · 54 L | -10.6wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -39%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfb…26a7backed No | 68c | 250$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.1 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.1wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfc…9cf9backed Yes | 23c | 224.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ad…28cbbacked Yes | 23c | 224.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed70…04cebacked Yes | 23c | 224.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +182.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x319e…1068backed Yes | 23c | 224.21$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c0a…a2c3backed Yes | 39c | 212.91$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.88 | 123 | 30.9%38 W · 85 L | -10.0wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x299c…7e23backed Yes | 34c | 211.16$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 29c | 211.02$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.6 | 61 | 32.8%20 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac8…77cdbacked Yes | 11c | 210.94$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.4 | 196 | 43.4%85 W · 111 L | +15.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8b…2512backed No | 80c | 202.05$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.49 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked No | 15c | 200$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce4d…d0e2backed Yes | 38c | 199.52$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.52 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -18%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 60c | 172.8$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.91 | 450 | 35.1%158 W · 292 L | -37.8wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7dcf…a7bdbacked No | 75c | 170$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.62 | 100 | 48%48 W · 52 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Midterms and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Alan Wilson win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?this page
- Will Josh Kimbrell win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Nancy Mace win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Pamela Evette win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Ralph Norman win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?No won
- Will Rom Reddy win the 2026 South Carolina Governor Republican primary election?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.