TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x62c1…cfaf

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
80
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 56 out of 100; worst NBA at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT1533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick49cpaid-45.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: LYON vs JD Gaming (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Dbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$307Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$307.3
LoL: Team Secret vs Sentinels (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Team Secret · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$122
LoL: G2 Esports vs LYON - Game 2 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$21.2
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$86.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.95
LoL: G2 Esports vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.4
LoL: LYON vs Team Secret Whales (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Team Secret Whales · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs G2 Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.8
LoL: G2 Esports vs Top Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+36%+$206.33
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.42
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.39
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winnerbacked BNK FEARX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.98
LoL: T1 vs BNK FEARX - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+36.7%+$5.76
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Weibo Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.19
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1520%3 W · 12 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-69.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will LeBron James play for the Cleveland Cavaliers in 2026-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.96
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Cavaliers vs. Raptorsbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$5.68
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Magic vs. Pistons: O/U 221.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$2,500Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,500
Spread: Spurs (-12.5)backed Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
76ers vs. Celtics: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+35.4%+$37.15
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.03
Spread: Thunder (-11.5)backed Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+96.7%+$25.37
Pistons vs. Magicbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.44
Celtics vs. 76ersbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
All 15 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1450%7 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.16per pick34cpaid+82.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+861.5%+$179.2
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$291Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$291.16
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$41.3
Exact Score: Norway 1 - 2 England?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.75
Kylian Mbappé: 1+ assistsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$54.6
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-09?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Switzerland vs. Colombia: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will Switzerland win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.1
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$13
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Spread: Morocco (-1.5)backed Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$36
Will Belgium win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.8
All 14 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$263.01
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - Esports World Cup Survivalbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Xtreme Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.3
Dota 2: OG vs Virtus.pro - Game 2 Winnerbacked Virtus.pro · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+54.6%+$53
Vici Gaming to win 2-0?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$19.3
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Vici Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$6.8
Dota 2: Aurora vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$9.6
Dota 2: Zero Tenacity vs summer bear (BO3) - European Pro League Playoffsbacked summer bear · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
All 9 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Jul 10, 2026, EDT837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$39
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$16
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$57Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$56.7
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$360Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$359.8
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 12 to June 19, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$210Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$90
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from June 11 to June 13, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+219.4%+$396.04
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$123.8
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT728.6%2 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.28per pick57cpaid-59%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
CS2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: eSuba vs Misa Esports (BO3) - United21 Playoffsbacked Misa Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.5
Counter-Strike: The Last Resort vs QUAZAR (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Bbacked QUAZAR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$21
Counter-Strike: Bushido Wildcats vs MOUZ NXT (BO3) - ESL Challenger League Europe Cup #1 Group Dbacked MOUZ NXT · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.5
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$322Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$322
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.9
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$26
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$271Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$270.6
All 7 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+44.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick41cpaid+157.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Aug 5, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+133.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+52.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GPT-5.6 released by July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+33.4%+$75.14
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$641Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+71.5%+$458.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$350Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$350
All 1 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Colorado Rockies vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.