Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2642a31ed0bb975da8686bcd316106c3b399595200cae36ce022e91ed855c28

Rebuilt 15 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 29, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $473,786
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $246,068

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $473,786 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 305 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x2061…8ec9backed Yes	0c	55,555$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55.55	138	15.9%22 W · 116 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	-60.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	32c	34,338$10,919 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10,918.58	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0262…d7b6backed Yes	7c	18,885$1,229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,228.62	21	4.8%1 W · 20 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	9cpaid	-69.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x937f…8362backed Yes	0c	14,330$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.66	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+2.8wins	+0.31per pick	13cpaid	+387.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	10c	9,117$937 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$937.13	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	13c	8,687$1,131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,131.44	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	8,331$176 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$176.35	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	10c	5,454$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$526.41	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	33c	4,495$1,506 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,505.89	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked No	78c	4,421$3,434 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$987.01	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	13c	4,367$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.23	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	11c	4,008$446 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$445.87	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	20c	3,993$806 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$806	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	13c	3,745$489 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.56	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8eab…a56dbacked Yes	1c	3,732$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.73	278	5%14 W · 264 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	-89.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb29c…d8b9backed Yes	1c	3,400$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40.8	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	12cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	8c	3,183$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.73	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x07cf…a9fabacked Yes	1c	3,000$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	327	16.8%55 W · 272 L	+7.3wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	2c	2,941$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$66.25	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	12c	2,904$353 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$352.56	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2f69…cf59backed Yes	3c	2,902$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.28	107	10.3%11 W · 96 L	+3.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+74.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	7c	2,844$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210.03	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	8c	2,796$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235.49	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	2c	2,781$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.57	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5cc1…480abacked Yes	10c	2,632$265 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$264.67	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	1c	2,500$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.77	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa002…e840backed Yes	0c	2,500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.7	186	3.8%7 W · 179 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	4cpaid	-14.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	12c	2,500$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$306.19	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	24c	2,450$595 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$594.9	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	64c	2,370$1,526 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$843.49	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeda6…2095backed Yes	20c	2,299$455 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$455.37	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	4c	2,274$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.52	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	12c	2,230$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.1	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	4c	2,187$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.94	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	15c	2,176$318 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$317.56	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	75c	2,156$1,621 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$534.39	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	6c	2,121$136 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.29	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes	27c	2,003$534 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$534.2	245	24.9%61 W · 184 L	-13.8wins	-0.06per pick	31cpaid	-45%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	12c	1,920$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.18	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x59a1…a8d1backed Yes	6c	1,763$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.87	416	10.6%44 W · 372 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	+11.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes	9c	1,721$160 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$160.42	827	14.9%123 W · 704 L	+1.9wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-38.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	19c	1,689$329 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$328.96	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	22c	1,600$355 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$354.74	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes	20c	1,578$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320.33	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	8c	1,571$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$128.09	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	25c	1,528$379 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$379.46	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	20c	1,450$289 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$288.74	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x633f…0e01backed Yes	10c	1,426$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.5	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9ffa…c8fcbacked Yes	5c	1,418$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.99	559	8.2%46 W · 513 L	+12.5wins	+0.02per pick	6cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2673…5ac9backed Yes	9c	1,406$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.09	178	24.7%44 W · 134 L	+5.5wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	+10.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x180f…0c07backed Yes	2c	1,401$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.01	76	26.3%20 W · 56 L	-3.2wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-34.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes	9c	1,383$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$123.54	123	8.1%10 W · 113 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	10c	1,336$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.13	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	1,332$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.55	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8966…3476backed Yes	1c	1,300$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.3	22	0%0 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes	11c	1,281$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.08	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	9c	1,279$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$118.84	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1e5a…935fbacked Yes	20c	1,273$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250.1	48	35.4%17 W · 31 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	32cpaid	-12.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf142…2f8abacked No	79c	1,265$1,004 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$260.82	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes	17c	1,250$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.5	125	28%35 W · 90 L	+10.0wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+55.1%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xccd7…1a8dbacked Yes	24c	1,233$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8965…00b7backed Yes	4c	1,200$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.6	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-71.2%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xca20…ae4ebacked Yes	20c	1,199$238 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$238.38	44	31.8%14 W · 30 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	24cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	16c	1,060$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.6	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	29c	1,021$296 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$295.62	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa6fe…7e71backed Yes	24c	1,011$242 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.54	210	34.8%73 W · 137 L	+1.3wins	+0.01per pick	34cpaid	-3.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa7e…0332backed Yes	3c	1,000$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28	151	5.3%8 W · 143 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	6cpaid	+227.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a7a…df1bbacked Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	50	30%15 W · 35 L	+1.8wins	+0.04per pick	26cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes	20c	1,000$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	36	5.6%2 W · 34 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked No	79c	999.98$792 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$208.1	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45a6…69f3backed Yes	8c	994.9$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.74	56	14.3%8 W · 48 L	-1.9wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8c8e…5610backed Yes	7c	950.2$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	38	34.2%13 W · 25 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-30.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ca8…ed52backed Yes	16c	928.42$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	9c	873.57$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.38	152	21.1%32 W · 120 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2e1f…8fdebacked Yes	24c	853.63$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.08	125	43.2%54 W · 71 L	-2.7wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-12%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	28c	849.98$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.79	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4480…1ff8backed Yes	12c	844.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	18.2%2 W · 9 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe661…e2eebacked Yes	18c	791.69$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$142.07	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.08per pick	47cpaid	+11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf021…df56backed Yes	17c	774.83$134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.82	412	30.8%127 W · 285 L	+7.9wins	+0.02per pick	29cpaid	+0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1740…d7c0backed No	66c	749.99$494 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$256	54	48.1%26 W · 28 L	+1.7wins	+0.03per pick	45cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	16c	744.51$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.63	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	19c	715.52$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.05	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a2c…b7f7backed Yes	20c	714.61$143 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$143.17	20	25%5 W · 15 L	-1.0wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46a0…77a9backed Yes	17c	700$117 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$116.82	26	26.9%7 W · 19 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	26cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	5c	689.36$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.71	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	8c	683.81$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.71	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	9c	620.39$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.38	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe4de…c949backed Yes	14c	620.23$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.83	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f4f…c2f1backed No	55c	617.33$340 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$277.11	147	51%75 W · 72 L	+18.0wins	+0.12per pick	39cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	19c	612.55$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.61	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff6…4e36backed Yes	23c	601.31$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.21	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafef…a8b1backed Yes	3c	600$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.2	96	28.1%27 W · 69 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	29cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5312…9e9bbacked Yes	2c	600$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.2	53	22.6%12 W · 41 L	+1.6wins	+0.03per pick	20cpaid	+40.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	13c	596.87$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.41	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x25f2…0822backed Yes	12c	572.43$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.05	74	13.5%10 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-3.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x58a5…ec93backed No	80c	562.7$450 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$112.65	32	84.4%27 W · 5 L	+1.5wins	+0.05per pick	80cpaid	+5.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50f3…c137backed Yes	17c	549.98$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.5	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	4c	537.48$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf61f…1cf3backed Yes	8c	532.43$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.1	129	19.4%25 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9842…132bbacked Yes	4c	527.78$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	+1.3wins	+0.11per pick	6cpaid	+607%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event