Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x631bdcb964cade99f17d55aced7cb995f7bd401476a1c1e65238cb45e0507713

Rebuilt 6 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $502,018
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $303,954

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $502,018 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 164 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x4e63…d208backed Yes	2c	37,607$849 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$848.65	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	6c	24,755$1,519 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,519.27	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	1c	17,087$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.06	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd519…932cbacked Yes	8c	13,000$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	11cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	5c	12,858$637 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637.23	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	5c	12,158$659 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$659.07	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	1c	8,984$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.89	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	5c	8,031$370 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$370.2	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	1c	6,000$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	5c	5,758$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.29	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	7c	5,490$389 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$389.5	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	3c	5,451$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$178.64	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7413…4b09backed Yes	1c	5,000$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.8	798	11.3%90 W · 708 L	+30.0wins	+0.04per pick	8cpaid	+33.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe243…af59backed Yes	3c	5,000$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127	364	11%40 W · 324 L	+10.0wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+6.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	5c	4,969$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.54	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	2c	4,479$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.06	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	7c	4,276$314 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.48	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	6c	4,252$248 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$247.6	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	4c	3,992$145 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.44	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4595…6dddbacked Yes	1c	3,935$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.22	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	2c	3,934$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.08	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	6c	3,641$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221.36	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	3c	3,301$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109.05	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	1c	3,168$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.28	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	9c	3,041$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.98	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	7c	3,000$210 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$210	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f66…b986backed Yes	3c	3,000$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.9	568	17.4%99 W · 469 L	+18.3wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-17.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa2d7…e3b7backed Yes	7c	2,979$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.33	316	24.7%78 W · 238 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-19.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	3c	2,660$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.36	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x765a…efb4backed Yes	1c	2,500$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.5	387	6.5%25 W · 362 L	+6.8wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-6.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes	3c	2,313$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80.42	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	2c	2,200$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	5c	2,100$108 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.53	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	9c	2,011$189 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$188.9	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea8…ffcfbacked Yes	4c	1,937$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.14	200	9%18 W · 182 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	8cpaid	+173%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	13c	1,936$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x623f…53bcbacked Yes	2c	1,660$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27.02	188	8%15 W · 173 L	+5.7wins	+0.03per pick	5cpaid	+86%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	8c	1,612$127 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$126.8	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8288…5519backed Yes	3c	1,600$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.9	159	29.6%47 W · 112 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-11.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdc6b…0368backed Yes	5c	1,590$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.18	10	20%2 W · 8 L	+1.3wins	+0.13per pick	7cpaid	+287.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	6c	1,524$94 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.34	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	4c	1,500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.86	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	10c	1,500$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.84	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe559…1300backed Yes	10c	1,471$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ee1…ef67backed Yes	5c	1,454$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.34	13	30.8%4 W · 9 L	+1.4wins	+0.11per pick	20cpaid	+23.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x832d…6ec5backed Yes	2c	1,419$33 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$33.1	117	7.7%9 W · 108 L	-0.7wins	-0.01per pick	8cpaid	-66.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	3c	1,327$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.6	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	4c	1,287$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.16	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	4c	1,230$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.87	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xec82…6eaabacked Yes	5c	1,204$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.21	491	6.7%33 W · 458 L	+11.5wins	+0.02per pick	4cpaid	+5.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x18d4…307cbacked Yes	3c	1,200$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	75	18.7%14 W · 61 L	-3.3wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-37.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes	6c	1,200$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.4	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6964…ef53backed Yes	3c	1,189$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.76	662	22.2%147 W · 515 L	-34.7wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-58.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes	6c	1,179$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71.19	123	8.1%10 W · 113 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc13…c991backed Yes	9c	1,148$101 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.58	161	24.2%39 W · 122 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x03c2…f725backed Yes	6c	1,118$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$67.9	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	8c	1,115$93 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$92.62	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	6c	1,108$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.15	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5533…51babacked Yes	1c	1,063$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.54	50	2%1 W · 49 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	1cpaid	+62.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes	9c	1,062$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.19	45	26.7%12 W · 33 L	+0.6wins	+0.01per pick	25cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	6c	1,060$66 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.88	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	3c	1,050$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.5	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x90f1…72c6backed Yes	5c	1,006$45 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.38	624	12.3%77 W · 547 L	+16.2wins	+0.03per pick	10cpaid	+8.7%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6845…c125backed Yes	8c	1,000$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.6	846	16.4%139 W · 707 L	+24.6wins	+0.03per pick	14cpaid	-1.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x874c…f55fbacked Yes	7c	1,000$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$71	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc1dc…09c2backed Yes	1c	999.99$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	129	14%18 W · 111 L	+3.1wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+6.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x482f…53f7backed Yes	2c	973.11$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	81	2.5%2 W · 79 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-60.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xa6b8…4bdfbacked Yes	5c	965.86$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.41	121	14%17 W · 104 L	+4.9wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe583…2d98backed Yes	3c	950$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.01	114	21.1%24 W · 90 L	+4.1wins	+0.04per pick	17cpaid	+4.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	7c	900.81$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	6c	900$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.3	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	7c	899.73$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.58	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaa50…3ed5backed Yes	5c	885.64$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.99	653	11%72 W · 581 L	+10.8wins	+0.02per pick	9cpaid	-11%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbf8e…2f94backed Yes	3c	862.9$28 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$28.42	113	20.4%23 W · 90 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	2c	853.4$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18.9	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x9263…1999backed Yes	2c	844.61$16 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.12	98	1%1 W · 97 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	1cpaid	-24.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe178…0c26backed Yes	7c	831$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.17	32	6.3%2 W · 30 L	-2.4wins	-0.08per pick	14cpaid	+21.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe6e6…ebf2backed Yes	3c	757.02$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	41	26.8%11 W · 30 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	24cpaid	-20.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	4c	750.76$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.95	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd717…3b85backed Yes	2c	742.44$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.19	107	38.3%41 W · 66 L	-4.3wins	-0.04per pick	42cpaid	-30.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	2c	728.98$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.51	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8565…0c43backed Yes	10c	686.67$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69.93	706	16.4%116 W · 590 L	-13.6wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-29%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Yes	6c	680.02$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$38.14	388	48.5%188 W · 200 L	+16.2wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-6.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x17f1…0528backed Yes	8c	677.83$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.19	514	10.5%54 W · 460 L	+17.3wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+22.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa661…4c55backed Yes	8c	645.9$53 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.63	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-45.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6e29…eba9backed Yes	8c	637.79$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$48.53	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.8wins	+0.09per pick	25cpaid	+80.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	7c	633.88$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.2	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	2c	626.3$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.56	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8cf…819ebacked Yes	6c	625.7$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.14	326	13.8%45 W · 281 L	-2.4wins	-0.01per pick	15cpaid	-60.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x306d…7a38backed Yes	4c	621.99$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22.54	580	11.4%66 W · 514 L	+19.7wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	5c	609.84$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.12	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x071d…07efbacked Yes	4c	584.34$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.73	1,038	11.1%115 W · 923 L	+4.7wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes	4c	543.34$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.57	125	42.4%53 W · 72 L	-2.1wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	5c	527.91$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.59	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd26a…732cbacked Yes	5c	522.02$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.7	124	35.5%44 W · 80 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf61f…1cf3backed Yes	6c	516.88$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$31.01	129	19.4%25 W · 104 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	18cpaid	-25.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	8c	514.01$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.5	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3256…830cbacked Yes	2c	509.99$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.3	782	8.7%68 W · 714 L	-1.0wins	0.00per pick	9cpaid	-36.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5cc1…480abacked Yes	5c	507.3$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.82	35	2.9%1 W · 34 L	-1.0wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7500…567fbacked Yes	6c	500$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	361	13.3%48 W · 313 L	+12.7wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	+9.8%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event