Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfad02c9833b7cf3806a0daa4592a9d47ee0a7b2513332e5738f43cf259cca4d5

Rebuilt 1 day ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $480,965
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $300,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $480,965 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 445 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	4c	39,904$1,640 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,639.64	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4d5…87cfbacked Yes	17c	29,741$5,116 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$5,116.22	564	29.8%168 W · 396 L	+2.2wins	0.00per pick	29cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	19c	7,126$1,332 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,332.31	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	20c	6,864$1,363 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,362.79	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes	13c	6,292$845 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$845.42	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	31c	5,230$1,617 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,617.36	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x696e…1c38backed Yes	39c	4,740$1,848 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,847.68	92	33.7%31 W · 61 L	-4.7wins	-0.05per pick	39cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	6c	4,684$278 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$277.92	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce40…da67backed Yes	33c	4,115$1,338 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,337.95	538	17.3%93 W · 445 L	-2.4wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-34.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x99a6…6558backed Yes	51c	4,052$2,050 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,050.23	73	37%27 W · 46 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	38cpaid	-17.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2924…dcdebacked Yes	17c	3,803$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.13	212	22.2%47 W · 165 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x514b…6931backed No	53c	3,693$1,970 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$1,723.4	104	41.3%43 W · 61 L	+9.5wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	+14.3%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xed41…38afbacked Yes	2c	3,366$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.59	128	25.8%33 W · 95 L	+7.1wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+50.3%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	23c	3,177$747 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$746.65	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	7c	3,086$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$202.42	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x206b…7d6abacked Yes	4c	3,050$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110.35	524	9.9%52 W · 472 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	7cpaid	+64%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	13c	3,000$391 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$390.86	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xac6b…a962backed Yes	26c	2,982$788 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$788.49	159	32.7%52 W · 107 L	+5.4wins	+0.03per pick	29cpaid	-1.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	6c	2,783$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$169.9	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	49c	2,600$1,262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,262.29	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe953…a4f9backed Yes	1c	2,550$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	93	30.1%28 W · 65 L	+4.8wins	+0.05per pick	25cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x45b2…cbc1backed Yes	9c	2,246$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.89	83	20.5%17 W · 66 L	+4.7wins	+0.06per pick	15cpaid	+22.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	26c	2,219$584 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$583.92	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	72c	2,166$1,571 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$595.94	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf46…8c1dbacked Yes	20c	2,100$417 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$417.14	627	13.2%83 W · 544 L	+3.3wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	14c	2,058$285 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$284.88	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3013…2cd8backed Yes	17c	2,016$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.91	261	13.8%36 W · 225 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-1.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xca6e…46f2backed Yes	1c	2,008$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.05	481	6.7%32 W · 449 L	+2.8wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1b0…3f04backed Yes	15c	2,000$302 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$302	60	26.7%16 W · 44 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	23cpaid	+22.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	8c	1,994$167 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$167.19	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	7c	1,973$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$137.88	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	12c	1,962$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.02	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes	9c	1,960$180 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.99	656	23.2%152 W · 504 L	+1.1wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4e63…d208backed Yes	12c	1,940$229 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$228.84	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Yes	1c	1,851$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23	43	20.9%9 W · 34 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-30.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdfca…645abacked Yes	34c	1,828$621 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$621.11	278	20.9%58 W · 220 L	-8.0wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	+9.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	20c	1,827$372 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.03	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x299b…8994backed Yes	31c	1,826$568 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$568.15	66	28.8%19 W · 47 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	27cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b9f…047ebacked Yes	58c	1,818$1,062 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,061.82	68	38.2%26 W · 42 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8b2d…4a62backed Yes	13c	1,750$232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$232.07	56	30.4%17 W · 39 L	+3.1wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked No	78c	1,721$1,337 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$383.48	217	32.3%70 W · 147 L	-1.8wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-21.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3030…86aebacked Yes	7c	1,693$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.18	139	11.5%16 W · 123 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	14cpaid	-25.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed No	59c	1,637$961 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$675.79	90	57.8%52 W · 38 L	+3.4wins	+0.04per pick	54cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	16c	1,600$260 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$260.33	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0b05…8983backed Yes	4c	1,570$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57.24	124	21.8%27 W · 97 L	+11.8wins	+0.10per pick	12cpaid	+49.6%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	5c	1,550$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.83	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	27c	1,516$412 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$411.73	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	27c	1,499$407 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$406.64	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No	79c	1,488$1,179 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$309.41	189	49.2%93 W · 96 L	-2.0wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccd7…1a8dbacked Yes	20c	1,468$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$297.24	20	20%4 W · 16 L	-1.4wins	-0.07per pick	27cpaid	-34%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	39c	1,412$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.07	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03c2…f725backed Yes	19c	1,403$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.09	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d6e…54cfbacked Yes	3c	1,370$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.13	412	20.6%85 W · 327 L	+7.4wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	+3.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes	44c	1,342$596 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$595.59	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcc13…c991backed Yes	24c	1,309$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$319.9	161	24.2%39 W · 122 L	+1.9wins	+0.01per pick	23cpaid	-14.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe1f0…25d2backed Yes	4c	1,287$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56.64	384	4.7%18 W · 366 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	4cpaid	-18.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	8c	1,210$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.26	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x28bf…4a4ebacked No	59c	1,198$708 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$489.99	309	55%170 W · 139 L	+3.6wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	+2.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	3c	1,170$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.53	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1f05…ba7bbacked Yes	48c	1,154$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.01	26	42.3%11 W · 15 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	47cpaid	-29.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	8c	1,147$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.28	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes	20c	1,088$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.38	123	8.1%10 W · 113 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	37c	1,072$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$398.92	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b24…f36abacked Yes	19c	1,027$192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$192.13	192	29.2%56 W · 136 L	-1.5wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12e0…d6f8backed Yes	12c	1,011$118 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$117.59	250	12.8%32 W · 218 L	+3.7wins	+0.01per pick	11cpaid	-16%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd519…932cbacked Yes	7c	1,000$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	+1.2wins	+0.08per pick	11cpaid	-38.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x874c…f55fbacked Yes	15c	1,000$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.9wins	+0.09per pick	31cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes	6c	999.99$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	36	5.6%2 W · 34 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	36c	999.76$356 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$356.34	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50f3…c137backed Yes	22c	997.36$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220.64	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	45c	953.95$428 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$428.26	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x16c7…22cdbacked Yes	36c	945.94$344 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$343.66	101	46.5%47 W · 54 L	+3.4wins	+0.03per pick	43cpaid	-0.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdd1f…cc26backed Yes	14c	917.63$128 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$127.68	499	19%95 W · 404 L	-1.7wins	0.00per pick	19cpaid	-11.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	6c	906.41$52 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$52.37	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x689a…779ebacked Yes	16c	901.33$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.52	225	9.8%22 W · 203 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	12cpaid	-79.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x510f…a43cbacked Yes	27c	898.92$246 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.53	276	47.8%132 W · 144 L	+10.1wins	+0.04per pick	44cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked Yes	34c	892.8$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	84	36.9%31 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd317…025abacked Yes	53c	875$465 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$465.45	220	23.6%52 W · 168 L	+1.0wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-22.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3335…fbd6backed No	30c	866$260 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$606.2	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+2.7wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+10.3%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a97…4800backed Yes	16c	846.05$138 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$138.04	686	15.7%108 W · 578 L	-18.0wins	-0.03per pick	18cpaid	-40%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb627…d968backed Yes	12c	828.24$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.39	199	33.2%66 W · 133 L	+1.4wins	+0.01per pick	32cpaid	-13.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6599…efebbacked Yes	59c	821.68$488 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$488.48	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.41per pick	41cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb2b…cadfbacked Yes	27c	799.99$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.14	207	23.7%49 W · 158 L	-2.2wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-8.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x713b…f43cbacked Yes	68c	799.15$545 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$545.32	105	36.2%38 W · 67 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3cd4…4c88backed Yes	42c	767.33$320 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$320	20	40%8 W · 12 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	41cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x699b…0296backed Yes	7c	762.51$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$51.23	193	14%27 W · 166 L	+5.9wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	+17.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f85…7b02backed Yes	35c	748.88$259 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$259.32	104	38.5%40 W · 64 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	39cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x828e…c21bbacked Yes	25c	748.2$186 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$186.24	274	17.5%48 W · 226 L	+11.0wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3653…ef74backed Yes	34c	744.07$254 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$253.61	116	33.6%39 W · 77 L	-7.4wins	-0.06per pick	40cpaid	-34.2%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfd66…fb6dbacked Yes	45c	734.42$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$329.64	95	3.2%3 W · 92 L	-1.6wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-86.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	13c	718.85$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$94.8	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x8b8b…2512backed Yes	41c	707.54$292 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$292.4	126	42.9%54 W · 72 L	-2.0wins	-0.02per pick	44cpaid	-21.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc518…2594backed No	58c	706.73$408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$299.01	167	50.3%84 W · 83 L	+3.5wins	+0.02per pick	48cpaid	-7.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f4f…c2f1backed No	42c	701.43$297 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$404.16	147	51%75 W · 72 L	+18.0wins	+0.12per pick	39cpaid	+29.4%equal weight	62+0.10 edge/pick
0x0130…fb49backed No	53c	685.94$361 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$324.76	292	25%73 W · 219 L	-1.9wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-37.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x633f…0e01backed Yes	17c	673.46$114 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.25	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfec7…ae1cbacked Yes	22c	668.3$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.23	132	15.9%21 W · 111 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	16cpaid	+15.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xbb9c…072bbacked Yes	62c	653.01$402 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$401.65	134	30.6%41 W · 93 L	-4.5wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	+0.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes	33c	647.45$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.1	437	19.7%86 W · 351 L	-10.8wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-44.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd8f…6131backed Yes	43c	639.28$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.15	43	37.2%16 W · 27 L	-1.0wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event