Tweets · resolved market
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x27c70f5c7b69bd7bf1b3c80b36ebe4bbae3d1a67a7a1771379a042210f9856e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $478,129
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $442,720
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $478,129 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 554 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tweets | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x30cf…704abacked No | 65c | 9,148$5,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,932.96 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4d5…87cfbacked No | 56c | 8,220$4,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,564.65 | 564 | 29.8%168 W · 396 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes | 31c | 6,289$1,921 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,368.25 | 572 | 22%126 W · 446 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -42%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Yes | 50c | 5,443$2,736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,706.99 | 541 | 22.7%123 W · 418 L | +16.6wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x524d…4495backed Yes | 31c | 4,863$1,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,378.91 | 162 | 22.2%36 W · 126 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes | 44c | 4,519$1,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,539.2 | 535 | 22.6%121 W · 414 L | -19.4wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ca…450abacked No | 49c | 4,250$2,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,084.48 | 312 | 17.3%54 W · 258 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes | 34c | 4,209$1,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,788.09 | 638 | 21.5%137 W · 501 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6964…ef53backed Yes | 31c | 3,967$1,217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,750.02 | 662 | 22.2%147 W · 515 L | -34.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -58.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2127…37f2backed No | 69c | 3,700$2,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,551.94 | 108 | 66.7%72 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa43e…ec90backed No | 64c | 3,660$2,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,344.37 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2eef…eacabacked Yes | 50c | 3,627$1,828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,798.89 | 214 | 29.9%64 W · 150 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9034…4375backed Yes | 29c | 3,248$944 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,303.66 | 254 | 13.4%34 W · 220 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x74ff…be5bbacked No | 16c | 3,147$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.29 | 1,001 | 10.5%105 W · 896 L | -30.9wins | -0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…8733backed Yes | 12c | 3,000$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,640 | 571 | 8.2%47 W · 524 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f66…b986backed Yes | 37c | 2,972$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.79 | 568 | 17.4%99 W · 469 L | +18.3wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 77c | 2,918$2,252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,252.08 | 197 | 56.9%112 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x732f…201ebacked Yes | 25c | 2,701$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,026.59 | 397 | 23.2%92 W · 305 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42b8…1305backed No | 59c | 2,588$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,525.19 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | +4.1wins | +0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes | 19c | 2,550$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,067.5 | 40 | 17.5%7 W · 33 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 16cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes | 21c | 2,537$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,002.82 | 320 | 16.6%53 W · 267 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45b2…cbc1backed No | 4c | 2,500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 83 | 20.5%17 W · 66 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6864…294bbacked No | 55c | 2,500$1,372 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.98 | 326 | 15.6%51 W · 275 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35f3…cfd0backed Yes | 43c | 2,482$1,064 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,417.9 | 437 | 19.7%86 W · 351 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -44.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes | 39c | 2,382$924 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,457.19 | 312 | 17.9%56 W · 256 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146d…17c7backed Yes | 22c | 2,359$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,843.88 | 1,196 | 8.7%104 W · 1,092 L | +31.0wins | +0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7f…6450backed Yes | 26c | 2,267$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,666.51 | 232 | 17.7%41 W · 191 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7505…2978backed No | 60c | 2,183$1,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,316.58 | 169 | 41.4%70 W · 99 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4265…851fbacked Yes | 30c | 2,171$647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.66 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97ff…d095backed No | 70c | 2,134$1,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490.88 | 546 | 75.1%410 W · 136 L | +34.8wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes | 38c | 2,092$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,302.3 | 223 | 25.1%56 W · 167 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes | 29c | 2,068$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,472.45 | 33 | 33.3%11 W · 22 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…2095backed No | 52c | 2,066$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,067.07 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…0b6bbacked No | 74c | 2,040$1,514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,513.75 | 248 | 73%181 W · 67 L | +15.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7db5…cf18backed Yes | 21c | 1,922$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,526.01 | 886 | 10.3%91 W · 795 L | -4.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed41…38afbacked Yes | 10c | 1,882$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,693.98 | 128 | 25.8%33 W · 95 L | +7.1wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +50.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1a…639dbacked Yes | 27c | 1,751$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,280.79 | 40 | 25%10 W · 30 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f57…27e4backed Yes | 26c | 1,733$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.99 | 71 | 21.1%15 W · 56 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…4006backed Yes | 25c | 1,726$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,287.91 | 1,045 | 13.6%142 W · 903 L | +37.8wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x299b…8994backed Yes | 43c | 1,723$746 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$977.08 | 66 | 28.8%19 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 54c | 1,665$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770.19 | 768 | 21.7%167 W · 601 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50a8…98edbacked Yes | 25c | 1,572$393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178.78 | 334 | 22.2%74 W · 260 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x859b…d03abacked Yes | 19c | 1,519$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,225.53 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf83e…4663backed No | 45c | 1,519$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$681.75 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes | 40c | 1,516$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$909.48 | 609 | 7.7%47 W · 562 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3423…fe57backed Yes | 48c | 1,516$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$795.63 | 508 | 28.3%144 W · 364 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes | 28c | 1,500$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,080 | 634 | 14.8%94 W · 540 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 20c | 1,488$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.09 | 189 | 49.2%93 W · 96 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6b…a962backed Yes | 39c | 1,455$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.99 | 159 | 32.7%52 W · 107 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 47c | 1,373$649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$649.07 | 388 | 48.5%188 W · 200 L | +16.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f6…0e74backed No | 33c | 1,347$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$437.98 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 43cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes | 28c | 1,335$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.61 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | +111.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb68…e362backed Yes | 50c | 1,314$656 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.13 | 126 | 46%58 W · 68 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x633f…0e01backed Yes | 38c | 1,307$491 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$816.27 | 92 | 26.1%24 W · 68 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5f5…e714backed No | 26c | 1,306$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.44 | 83 | 24.1%20 W · 63 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689a…779ebacked Yes | 45c | 1,303$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720.86 | 225 | 9.8%22 W · 203 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -79.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 28c | 1,288$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$926.33 | 2,552 | 13.1%335 W · 2,217 L | +4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 64c | 1,281$824 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$823.86 | 309 | 55%170 W · 139 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,266$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.92 | 407 | 19.7%80 W · 327 L | -18.4wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3030…86aebacked Yes | 13c | 1,266$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,103.21 | 139 | 11.5%16 W · 123 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes | 25c | 1,247$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930.46 | 160 | 23.1%37 W · 123 L | +11.0wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…0861backed Yes | 29c | 1,243$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.94 | 880 | 18.6%164 W · 716 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed No | 54c | 1,222$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664.42 | 123 | 8.1%10 W · 113 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 13cpaid | -79.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe35d…f5d5backed Yes | 12c | 1,219$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.23 | 656 | 23.2%152 W · 504 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc518…2594backed No | 45c | 1,159$522 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$522.24 | 167 | 50.3%84 W · 83 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x215a…254cbacked Yes | 21c | 1,141$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$899.99 | 272 | 24.3%66 W · 206 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +30.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x952b…c92fbacked No | 72c | 1,140$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.83 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b73…c441backed No | 24c | 1,125$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.72 | 62 | 54.8%34 W · 28 L | +4.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9da…aa1cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,114$333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$781 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849c…4009backed Yes | 31c | 1,109$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$764.71 | 1,782 | 7.4%132 W · 1,650 L | -23.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc248…d31abacked No | 7c | 1,087$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd70…d270backed Yes | 43c | 1,069$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.3 | 751 | 22.2%167 W · 584 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9372…b267backed Yes | 12c | 1,050$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$923.99 | 71 | 8.5%6 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x696e…1c38backed Yes | 31c | 1,010$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$698.49 | 92 | 33.7%31 W · 61 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb29c…d8b9backed Yes | 12c | 1,004$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$883.19 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes | 12c | 999.99$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.99 | 36 | 5.6%2 W · 34 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -65.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7354…430fbacked No | 71c | 999.93$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$707.95 | 188 | 77.1%145 W · 43 L | +12.3wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 75c | 971.3$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246.3 | 245 | 24.9%61 W · 184 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -45%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x851d…4781backed No | 40c | 949.97$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.48 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f05…ba7bbacked Yes | 43c | 927.35$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.07 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -29.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecb…26e8backed Yes | 39c | 894.78$353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.62 | 45 | 26.7%12 W · 33 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17da…7e6cbacked No | 3c | 889.65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf021…df56backed Yes | 46c | 879.01$406 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.76 | 412 | 30.8%127 W · 285 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3335…fbd6backed No | 30c | 865.98$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.79 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc36…8542backed Yes | 41c | 855.37$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$507.37 | 232 | 22.4%52 W · 180 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7141…8345backed Yes | 49c | 852.94$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.09 | 151 | 36.4%55 W · 96 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…b7f1backed Yes | 61c | 849.26$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.75 | 107 | 46.7%50 W · 57 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c4…8129backed No | 54c | 837.43$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451.33 | 94 | 23.4%22 W · 72 L | -16.1wins | -0.17per pick | 41cpaid | -55.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…2cd8backed Yes | 18c | 814.9$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$668.62 | 261 | 13.8%36 W · 225 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c29…8c43backed Yes | 18c | 814.22$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$664.22 | 465 | 21.3%99 W · 366 L | -11.5wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -24%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4d5…66e1backed Yes | 27c | 806.01$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.04 | 827 | 14.9%123 W · 704 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 15cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x713b…f43cbacked Yes | 24c | 800$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.33 | 105 | 36.2%38 W · 67 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd160…5ffebacked Yes | 32c | 797.54$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.67 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x627f…f83abacked No | 59c | 791.93$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.62 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x881a…ccccbacked No | 29c | 778.56$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.08 | 132 | 35.6%47 W · 85 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…9df0backed Yes | 64c | 776.25$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b12…c2d5backed Yes | 60c | 771.74$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.25 | 118 | 47.5%56 W · 62 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x005e…6d8ebacked Yes | 52c | 754.83$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.69 | 125 | 42.4%53 W · 72 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2df8…7c79backed No | 77c | 749.99$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0df4…c7cbbacked No | 68c | 745.28$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.81 | 55 | 67.3%37 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?this page
- Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
- Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.