Tweets · resolved market

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x34f99fffdabf53364455852f91ae6e371208413bd26e3eccdc22dfc2eaaf64dd

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jun 30, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Tweetsevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $318,147
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $214,658

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $318,147 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 378 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tweets is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Tweets
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x74ff…be5bbacked Yes	9c	8,827$829 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$828.61	1,001	10.5%105 W · 896 L	-30.9wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x93fd…7e2fbacked Yes	24c	7,669$1,841 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,841.22	572	22%126 W · 446 L	-3.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-42%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77c8…bc8cbacked Yes	16c	5,750$900 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$900	634	14.8%94 W · 540 L	-1.8wins	0.00per pick	15cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x04a2…e16cbacked Yes	20c	5,535$1,134 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,133.55	638	21.5%137 W · 501 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	21cpaid	-25.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xfa76…897ebacked Yes	2c	4,959$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.8	155	7.7%12 W · 143 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	6cpaid	-31.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x146d…17c7backed Yes	13c	4,606$580 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$580.18	1,196	8.7%104 W · 1,092 L	+31.0wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-1.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3cf…51d2backed Yes	23c	4,507$1,056 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,055.99	320	16.6%53 W · 267 L	-5.1wins	-0.02per pick	18cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x53bd…5d30backed Yes	20c	4,104$813 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$812.82	106	6.6%7 W · 99 L	-4.9wins	-0.05per pick	11cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x524d…4495backed Yes	19c	3,659$707 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$707.02	162	22.2%36 W · 126 L	+8.4wins	+0.05per pick	17cpaid	+1.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2eef…eacabacked Yes	29c	3,313$969 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$968.64	214	29.9%64 W · 150 L	-9.0wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-28%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6864…294bbacked Yes	3c	3,208$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.46	326	15.6%51 W · 275 L	-10.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-62.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef0d…8733backed Yes	14c	3,000$435 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435	571	8.2%47 W · 524 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	8cpaid	-8.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa49b…7054backed Yes	23c	2,872$656 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$655.9	2,552	13.1%335 W · 2,217 L	+4.3wins	0.00per pick	13cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9034…4375backed Yes	21c	2,849$588 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$588.09	254	13.4%34 W · 220 L	-0.6wins	0.00per pick	14cpaid	-5.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5ceb…2bdfbacked Yes	31c	2,752$862 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$861.93	312	17.9%56 W · 256 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-22.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd70…d270backed Yes	7c	2,688$201 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201	751	22.2%167 W · 584 L	+15.0wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x43d7…c453backed No	71c	2,597$1,833 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$764.2	461	37.5%173 W · 288 L	+4.0wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4265…851fbacked Yes	24c	2,587$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608.46	37	29.7%11 W · 26 L	-0.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-13.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…4027backed No	71c	2,450$1,736 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$713.89	197	56.9%112 W · 85 L	+2.0wins	+0.01per pick	56cpaid	+0.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf8b…481ebacked Yes	1c	2,420$31 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.6	185	11.4%21 W · 164 L	+5.8wins	+0.03per pick	8cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x732f…201ebacked Yes	23c	2,313$526 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$525.58	397	23.2%92 W · 305 L	-0.4wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xe130…4006backed Yes	21c	2,305$482 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$482.2	1,045	13.6%142 W · 903 L	+37.8wins	+0.04per pick	10cpaid	-14.5%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6a1b…fbbdbacked Yes	2c	2,278$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.03	553	5.6%31 W · 522 L	+15.5wins	+0.03per pick	3cpaid	+41.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x50a8…98edbacked Yes	19c	2,256$425 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$424.89	334	22.2%74 W · 260 L	+7.5wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+27.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x849c…4009backed Yes	8c	2,213$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166.31	1,782	7.4%132 W · 1,650 L	-23.2wins	-0.01per pick	9cpaid	-66.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xac43…3a33backed Yes	25c	2,042$518 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$517.84	65	44.6%29 W · 36 L	+1.5wins	+0.02per pick	42cpaid	+15%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x97ff…d095backed No	70c	2,009$1,408 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$600.78	546	75.1%410 W · 136 L	+34.8wins	+0.06per pick	69cpaid	+3.2%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x813e…5d51backed Yes	3c	1,962$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62.76	313	4.8%15 W · 298 L	+4.6wins	+0.01per pick	3cpaid	-4.9%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe8bc…ec51backed Yes	5c	1,872$97 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96.53	160	23.1%37 W · 123 L	+11.0wins	+0.07per pick	16cpaid	+25.4%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x859b…d03abacked Yes	21c	1,846$388 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$388.04	32	15.6%5 W · 27 L	-1.2wins	-0.04per pick	19cpaid	-18.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1aed…5925backed Yes	21c	1,796$373 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$372.85	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-1.2wins	-0.01per pick	22cpaid	-5.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeda6…2095backed Yes	20c	1,780$348 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$347.9	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-3.1wins	-0.13per pick	38cpaid	-34.6%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7db5…cf18backed Yes	20c	1,743$345 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$344.87	886	10.3%91 W · 795 L	-4.2wins	0.00per pick	11cpaid	-49.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x4f57…27e4backed Yes	33c	1,719$571 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$571.33	71	21.1%15 W · 56 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	23cpaid	-49.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12ed…c9b4backed Yes	45c	1,712$769 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$768.55	535	22.6%121 W · 414 L	-19.4wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-36.9%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbb86…dc7bbacked Yes	24c	1,440$351 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$351.14	36	22.2%8 W · 28 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	20cpaid	+111.1%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe842…27d6backed Yes	2c	1,360$32 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$32	532	5.3%28 W · 504 L	+1.6wins	0.00per pick	5cpaid	-68.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x36e7…0b6bbacked No	68c	1,300$878 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$421.99	248	73%181 W · 67 L	+15.9wins	+0.06per pick	67cpaid	+6.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1fe8…6e25backed No	68c	1,236$846 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$390.33	6	50%3 W · 3 L	-1.2wins	-0.20per pick	70cpaid	-23.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x633f…0e01backed Yes	23c	1,171$273 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$273.24	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-1.4wins	-0.01per pick	28cpaid	-10.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09b4…e56dbacked Yes	16c	1,141$182 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$182.49	40	17.5%7 W · 33 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	16cpaid	-51.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…0861backed Yes	9c	1,135$107 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$107.29	880	18.6%164 W · 716 L	+10.1wins	+0.01per pick	17cpaid	-24.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9720…9aebbacked Yes	2c	1,074$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.99	241	14.1%34 W · 207 L	+11.1wins	+0.05per pick	9cpaid	+17.8%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9372…b267backed Yes	16c	1,050$168 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$168	71	8.5%6 W · 65 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	7cpaid	+19.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd8c4…848dbacked Yes	48c	1,000$480 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$479.75	609	7.7%47 W · 562 L	+3.8wins	+0.01per pick	7cpaid	-35.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7f00…487fbacked Yes	2c	1,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	280	16.4%46 W · 234 L	+8.8wins	+0.03per pick	13cpaid	+21.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9514…9017backed Yes	27c	999.99$270 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$270	30	26.7%8 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes	17c	999.99$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	36	5.6%2 W · 34 L	-0.7wins	-0.02per pick	8cpaid	-65.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01b8…82c1backed Yes	11c	970.95$103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103	79	17.7%14 W · 65 L	-0.3wins	0.00per pick	18cpaid	-1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0337…a38ebacked Yes	16c	967.64$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153.1	10	10%1 W · 9 L	-0.7wins	-0.07per pick	17cpaid	-47.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7354…430fbacked No	79c	946.15$751 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$194.94	188	77.1%145 W · 43 L	+12.3wins	+0.07per pick	71cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdc36…8542backed Yes	20c	912.84$179 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$179.02	232	22.4%52 W · 180 L	+2.3wins	+0.01per pick	21cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ca8…ed52backed Yes	36c	911.29$326 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$326	16	18.8%3 W · 13 L	-0.6wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6be9…3493backed Yes	2c	892.53$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17	1,067	8.3%89 W · 978 L	+28.9wins	+0.03per pick	6cpaid	-28.7%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3ab3…a9c2backed Yes	33c	888.75$297 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$296.82	33	33.3%11 W · 22 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	+2.8%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbcb…bb5dbacked Yes	5c	872$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.51	223	25.1%56 W · 167 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	24cpaid	-45.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee7…6fa6backed Yes	6c	843.2$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.09	292	27.7%81 W · 211 L	+7.3wins	+0.03per pick	25cpaid	-12%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xac4a…bf1ebacked Yes	8c	843.07$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.14	407	19.7%80 W · 327 L	-18.4wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-51.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa135…6085backed Yes	30c	840.96$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	47	12.8%6 W · 41 L	+0.2wins	0.00per pick	12cpaid	-47%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3423…fe57backed Yes	26c	831.47$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$214.16	508	28.3%144 W · 364 L	+1.2wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0800…ceb0backed Yes	16c	830.58$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.63	114	30.7%35 W · 79 L	-3.2wins	-0.03per pick	34cpaid	-24.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b30…068abacked Yes	22c	811.22$177 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$177.11	329	17%56 W · 273 L	+13.7wins	+0.04per pick	13cpaid	+5.9%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x213c…ab63backed Yes	17c	798.2$139 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$139.36	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	+0.8wins	+0.04per pick	25cpaid	-13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x548a…e37abacked Yes	15c	769.27$113 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$113.19	77	16.9%13 W · 64 L	-2.4wins	-0.03per pick	20cpaid	-32.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe396…dce1backed No	63c	766.82$481 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$285.69	23	60.9%14 W · 9 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	66cpaid	-7.2%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d73…75a0backed Yes	35c	749.99$263 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262.6	65	29.2%19 W · 46 L	-2.0wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-23.7%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe7c0…d656backed Yes	14c	746.5$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.51	880	17.3%152 W · 728 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	17cpaid	-32.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes	16c	726.09$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.34	123	8.1%10 W · 113 L	-5.6wins	-0.05per pick	13cpaid	-79.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9da…aa1cbacked Yes	35c	708.99$247 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$246.91	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	+0.3wins	+0.04per pick	33cpaid	+19.3%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x87a9…4bdfbacked Yes	14c	698.16$98 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$97.53	131	19.8%26 W · 105 L	+2.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-2.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe559…1300backed Yes	35c	665.14$235 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$235	92	26.1%24 W · 68 L	-5.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4ff6…4e36backed Yes	18c	659.61$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120.66	117	21.4%25 W · 92 L	-5.1wins	-0.04per pick	26cpaid	-18.2%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0df4…c7cbbacked No	76c	657$499 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$157.68	55	67.3%37 W · 18 L	+1.8wins	+0.03per pick	64cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xad0c…df3cbacked No	74c	649.99$478 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$171.73	280	34.3%96 W · 184 L	+3.1wins	+0.01per pick	33cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a0…dea8backed Yes	9c	644.23$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.91	576	21.2%122 W · 454 L	+9.9wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-27.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3de6…e560backed Yes	6c	630.62$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.18	152	21.1%32 W · 120 L	+3.6wins	+0.02per pick	19cpaid	-15.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9068…e0d2backed Yes	26c	625.74$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165.45	160	24.4%39 W · 121 L	-1.1wins	-0.01per pick	25cpaid	-7.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0d1…4b1cbacked Yes	33c	603.92$198 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.38	72	15.3%11 W · 61 L	-3.6wins	-0.05per pick	20cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xeabe…d6edbacked Yes	19c	600$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111	132	24.2%32 W · 100 L	+5.4wins	+0.04per pick	20cpaid	+26.4%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc13…5578backed Yes	8c	590.43$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47	289	12.8%37 W · 252 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	11cpaid	-10.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x159f…4043backed Yes	37c	576.97$216 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$216.11	87	21.8%19 W · 68 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	+7.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03c2…f725backed Yes	38c	559.55$213 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$212.93	38	28.9%11 W · 27 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	28cpaid	-19.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1abc…45e7backed Yes	11c	544.88$61 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.5	116	43.1%50 W · 66 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	45cpaid	-22.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9df3…ddfcbacked No	73c	544.29$400 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$144.29	348	33.3%116 W · 232 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	34cpaid	-11.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked Yes	38c	521.46$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	84	36.9%31 W · 53 L	+2.2wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe089…ad3abacked Yes	2c	515$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.3	183	4.4%8 W · 175 L	+3.8wins	+0.02per pick	2cpaid	+235.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e3babacked Yes	25c	510.81$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130.08	325	29.2%95 W · 230 L	-3.3wins	-0.01per pick	30cpaid	-10.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f57…9424backed Yes	6c	507.56$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	+3.0wins	+0.17per pick	22cpaid	+36%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0xf142…2f8abacked No	73c	507.15$369 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$138.42	70	42.9%30 W · 40 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	44cpaid	+5.2%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xdfc3…7d0abacked Yes	39c	500$195 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$195	50	26%13 W · 37 L	-1.5wins	-0.03per pick	29cpaid	+2.2%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9255…6e3bbacked Yes	32c	500$158 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$158.14	509	13.8%70 W · 439 L	+5.6wins	+0.01per pick	13cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Yes	2c	500$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.91	101	5%5 W · 96 L	-3.0wins	-0.03per pick	8cpaid	-67.6%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc7e4…d1f7backed Yes	17c	488.83$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.55	267	22.8%61 W · 206 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50f3…c137backed Yes	18c	460$81 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.2	23	34.8%8 W · 15 L	+2.0wins	+0.09per pick	26cpaid	+40.3%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbf8e…2f94backed Yes	5c	453.22$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24.52	113	20.4%23 W · 90 L	+1.2wins	+0.01per pick	19cpaid	-19.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes	23c	453.03$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.96	768	21.7%167 W · 601 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	22cpaid	-49.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x98d6…51dcbacked Yes	23c	451.56$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.48	215	21.9%47 W · 168 L	-2.7wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c19…b2f5backed Yes	17c	445.34$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$76.88	124	16.1%20 W · 104 L	-4.1wins	-0.03per pick	19cpaid	-17%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbf14…5d95backed Yes	3c	442.28$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.06	122	16.4%20 W · 102 L	+9.3wins	+0.08per pick	9cpaid	+40.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x431e…7c0ebacked Yes	16c	436.67$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	26	30.8%8 W · 18 L	+1.5wins	+0.06per pick	25cpaid	+10.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tweets and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 24 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event