TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x548a…e37a

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
203
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
12

Best Category: AI, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category AI at 54 out of 100; worst Weather at 41.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tweetslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT7716.9%13 W · 64 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-32.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 77 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.04
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.51
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from August 14 to August 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.37
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+463.2%+$141.4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$65.91
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.67
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.6
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 11 to August 18, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+754.1%+$252.18
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.51
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 31 to August 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$75.79
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+154.4%+$116.52
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.59
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.05
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.57
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 24 to July 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.07
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.99
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 21 to July 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 3 to July 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.98
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from June 30 to July 7, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$40.03
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.24
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 26 to July 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$38.03
Showing 25 of 77 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT6845.6%31 W · 37 L-7.7wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-21.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
Weather — the 68 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+45.2%+$6.78
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 96-97°F on June 27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.9
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 68-69°F on June 20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 16°C on June 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+174.8%+$26.22
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 94-95°F on June 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 92-93°F on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.48
Will the highest temperature in London be 22°C on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+64.5%+$8.7
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 19°C on June 14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.32
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on May 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.6
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on May 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.37
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 18°C on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.11
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$8.21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 33°C on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 16°C or below on May 12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+43.1%+$6.02
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 19°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.44
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+40.9%+$5.76
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 31°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.99
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.18
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 62-63°F on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$3.42
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 32°C on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+61.5%+$8.53
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$9.45
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 17°C on May 9?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.98
Showing 25 of 68 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT1643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+25.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+642.1%+$256.84
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+80.8%+$12.12
Brazil vs. Norway: Neither team to score first?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will United States win on 2026-07-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.78
Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Norway win on 2026-06-30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+53.1%+$15.92
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Germany vs. Paraguay end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+141.9%+$21.28
Will Algeria win on 2026-06-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Colombia vs. Portugal end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+168.8%+$50.65
Will Panama vs. England end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Switzerland vs. Canada end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Will Panama vs. Croatia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Jordan vs. Algeria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Argentina vs. Austria end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+180.5%+$108.29
All 16 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 6, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+82.3%+$45.25
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$31
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT+60%+$9.01
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 27°C on June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on June 2?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.89
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.08
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+216.5%+$43.3
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 13°C on May 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$9.82
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on May 11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.1
All 9 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukrainelast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick16cpaid-33.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT3100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+56.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+27.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLBlast resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-48.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Atlanta Braves vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Detroit Tigers vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Pittsburgh Pirates · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Miami Marlins vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$7.23
All 3 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+77.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Golf — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-10.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
IPO — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-36.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lollast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs DN SOOPers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Detroit Pistons win the 2026 NBA Finals?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$119Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$119
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jul 14, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $65,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$141.21
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-Inbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.66per pick66cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Stars vs. Wildbacked Wild · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 2, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-05-02?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.