CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-In
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7b38e84a2db88fdc8e1b4107e0943a4f1d2c0f35da42f17600cc9f19e91e4929
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Raccoonsof Raccoons, Fire Flux Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,894
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,894 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 105 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Fire Flux Esports | 27c | 28,196$7,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,612.9 | 123 | 48.8%60 W · 63 L | +6.5wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed Raccoons | 73c | 27,000$19,709 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,291.16 | 229 | 43.7%100 W · 129 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30c7…ac3bbacked Raccoons | 71c | 14,392$10,218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,173.63 | 756 | 52.6%398 W · 358 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 10,460$3,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,033.39 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 4,696$1,362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,361.8 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed Raccoons | 71c | 2,748$1,951 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$796.56 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9c…a518backed Raccoons | 72c | 1,500$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 165 | 44.8%74 W · 91 L | -8.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Fire Flux Esports | 28c | 1,404$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.99 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 1,397$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$403.64 | 465 | 55.1%256 W · 209 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 984.61$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.93 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Raccoons | 75c | 955.3$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.54 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 15c | 900.32$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Raccoons | 70c | 855.92$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.55 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Raccoons | 75c | 811.95$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Raccoons | 68c | 800.01$548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.44 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Raccoons | 72c | 709.35$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.62 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b1…b851backed Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 648.09$215 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.8 | 36 | 13.9%5 W · 31 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 26cpaid | -50.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c70…9a6cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 614.97$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.79 | 51 | 37.3%19 W · 32 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Raccoons | 74c | 578.78$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.61 | 694 | 45%312 W · 382 L | -24.7wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x074c…771cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 37c | 533.07$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.3 | 169 | 63.3%107 W · 62 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Raccoons | 71c | 485.91$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.55 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Fire Flux Esports | 20c | 449.65$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.37 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x666e…9c69backed Raccoons | 73c | 420$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Raccoons | 67c | 419.99$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.6 | 1,043 | 57.3%598 W · 445 L | +17.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Raccoons | 77c | 415.3$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.73 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Raccoons | 76c | 406.33$308 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.47 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Raccoons | 71c | 400$283 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 165 | 50.3%83 W · 82 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e48…6158backed Fire Flux Esports | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 380 | 52.6%200 W · 180 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Fire Flux Esports | 20c | 376.27$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.13 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Fire Flux Esports | 25c | 373.42$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.85 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…3c32backed Raccoons | 73c | 349.68$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.68 | 190 | 61.6%117 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c4…3212backed Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 317 | 61.2%194 W · 123 L | +22.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x65e6…42dcbacked Fire Flux Esports | 33c | 335.83$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 308.86$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.38 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Raccoons | 71c | 283.5$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.5 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x63ef…7d38backed Raccoons | 73c | 273$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.71 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Fire Flux Esports | 24c | 272.12$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.18 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…caf8backed Raccoons | 72c | 268.49$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.13 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 27c | 266.02$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.05 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb21b…88f9backed Raccoons | 72c | 262.03$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.37 | 470 | 54%254 W · 216 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 255.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.63 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…2ed6backed Raccoons | 76c | 230.79$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.79 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…fc9bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 218.55$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.38 | 94 | 43.6%41 W · 53 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8a1…ceb5backed Fire Flux Esports | 27c | 203.7$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Fire Flux Esports | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 495 | 36.4%180 W · 315 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…ab76backed Fire Flux Esports | 28c | 182.29$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.97 | 338 | 49.7%168 W · 170 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x08e0…f4a0backed Fire Flux Esports | 32c | 175.76$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 838 | 56.1%470 W · 368 L | +31.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69ae…b263backed Raccoons | 73c | 172.88$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.88 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked Raccoons | 68c | 163.55$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.34 | 174 | 48.3%84 W · 90 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Raccoons | 68c | 161.2$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Raccoons | 72c | 160$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 224 | 55.8%125 W · 99 L | +6.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Fire Flux Esports | 23c | 159$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.96 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbaa…a47fbacked Raccoons | 63c | 157.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.5 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -2.6wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Fire Flux Esports | 26c | 149.56$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.16 | 272 | 48.9%133 W · 139 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Raccoons | 76c | 149.21$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.43 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58db…6901backed Fire Flux Esports | 22c | 136.69$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47ca…e92bbacked Raccoons | 66c | 135$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.95 | 146 | 58.2%85 W · 61 L | +5.9wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c55…8dedbacked Raccoons | 73c | 131.8$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.12 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b0…b4d1backed Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 117.24$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 266 | 50.8%135 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Fire Flux Esports | 23c | 116.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.84 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc95e…102abacked Fire Flux Esports | 34c | 110.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.46 | 87 | 55.2%48 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed Fire Flux Esports | 28c | 110$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.7 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1612…9dedbacked Raccoons | 71c | 103$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.87 | 255 | 51.8%132 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7699…2ef6backed Fire Flux Esports | 10c | 102$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 8.3%1 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 20cpaid | -70%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e0…d8b8backed Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 100.52$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 87 | 58.6%51 W · 36 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Fire Flux Esports | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | +13.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5cb…6303backed Fire Flux Esports | 20c | 99.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Fire Flux Esports | 28c | 99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.37 | 758 | 33.4%253 W · 505 L | -48.9wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ef…f7a1backed Raccoons | 72c | 97.32$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.09 | 133 | 58.6%78 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 24c | 90.17$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.97 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Fire Flux Esports | 31c | 90$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.8 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11f6…d13ebacked Raccoons | 70c | 84.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.5 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.5wins | -0.25per pick | 55cpaid | -54.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9688…fd45backed Raccoons | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa005…abb1backed Raccoons | 71c | 79.65$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09da…50bcbacked Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 71.32$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 422 | 55.7%235 W · 187 L | +13.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 18c | 70$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.6 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1230…c70bbacked Raccoons | 76c | 65.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.79 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Raccoons | 70c | 65.68$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x548a…e37abacked Fire Flux Esports | 23c | 64.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe6…2faebacked Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 64.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.13 | 72 | 45.8%33 W · 39 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed Fire Flux Esports | 17c | 58.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 235 | 26.4%62 W · 173 L | -15.2wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1f…1e14backed Fire Flux Esports | 28c | 56.07$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.94 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x399d…bf83backed Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | +8.2wins | +0.19per pick | 39cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd678…4492backed Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Raccoons | 73c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.75 | 325 | 54.8%178 W · 147 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Raccoons | 73c | 48.64$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.13 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee6…b119backed Raccoons | 73c | 47$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Raccoons | 71c | 45.44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.18 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb323…e253backed Fire Flux Esports | 23c | 44.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.36 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7655…f0b2backed Raccoons | 70c | 43.14$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Fire Flux Esports | 29c | 42.03$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.99 | 112 | 50%56 W · 56 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1273…8eddbacked Raccoons | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 209 | 57.4%120 W · 89 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 37.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.06 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6083…aa55backed Fire Flux Esports | 30c | 36.38$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb595…5922backed Raccoons | 70c | 35.13$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.47 | 199 | 53.8%107 W · 92 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Fire Flux Esports | 31c | 35$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…3d33backed Raccoons | 76c | 32.89$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.89 | 422 | 74.2%313 W · 109 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f98…cb91backed Raccoons | 64c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9266…a9d3backed Raccoons | 63c | 23.76$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.7 | 76 | 57.9%44 W · 32 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Raccoons | 73c | 21.25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.74 | 609 | 54%329 W · 280 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-Inthis page
- Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 WinnerRaccoons won
- Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 2 WinnerRaccoons won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.