TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3601…cd3f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
207
Categories scored
20
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Dota2 at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lollast resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT12451.6%64 W · 60 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 124 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$972.56
Game Handicap: JDG (-1.5) vs LGD Gaming (+1.5)backed JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$1,456Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,455.78
LoL: LGD Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,275Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$2,275.45
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$2,996Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+100%+$2,996.08
LoL: ThunderTalk Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked ThunderTalk Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$973Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$973.17
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs ThunderTalk Gaming (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$623Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$623.23
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked LNG Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$471Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$470.94
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs LNG Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$292Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$194.58
Game Handicap: AL (-1.5) vs JD Gaming (+1.5)backed Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$482Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$482.06
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$196Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.47
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$987Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$986.67
LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
LoL: EDward Gaming vs LGD Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$567Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$347.76
LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Anyone's Legend · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$969Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$1,050.18
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)backed Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$486Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$671.02
LoL: LGD Gaming vs EDward Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked EDward Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$193Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.16
LoL: Karmine Corp vs Sentinels - Game 2 Winnerbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$665Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+32.7%+$217.33
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.95
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$17.74
LoL: LYON vs FURIA Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked LYON · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$6.77
Game Handicap: BLG (-1.5) vs Top Esports (+1.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$1,306Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+95.1%+$1,241.35
Game Handicap: BLG (-2.5) vs Team WE (+2.5)backed Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$235Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$234.99
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$207.18
LoL: Team WE vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$153.14
LoL: Gen.G vs KT Rolster - Game 1 Winnerbacked Gen.G · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$152.73
Showing 25 of 124 picks, newest first.
Dota2last resolved Aug 16, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.18per pick65cpaid-27.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Resilience - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$296.83
Dota 2: Aurora vs BoomBoys (BO3) - The International Elimination Roundbacked Aurora · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$488.37
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime - Game 2 Winnerbacked PlayTime · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$366Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$573.07
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$687Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$687
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$295Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$294.98
Dota 2: Miposhka Team vs SoloTeam - Game 2 Winnerbacked SoloTeam · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$74.46
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Vici Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.87
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.24
Dota 2: Team Lynx vs Nemiga Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Team Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,358Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,357.81
Dota 2: South America Rejects vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked South America Rejects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$1,002Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$356.3
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Nemiga Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Division 2 Group Abacked Rune Eaters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$114Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$37.98
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs South America Rejects (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$86Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$27.18
Dota 2: Nigma Galaxy vs Team Lynx - Game 2 Winnerbacked Nigma Galaxy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$24.27
Dota 2: Virtus.pro vs MOUZ (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+37.5%+$55.99
All 15 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 2, 2025, EST1361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick68cpaid-10.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Colts (-3.5)backed Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$7,306Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$7,306.2
Colts vs. Steelersbacked Colts · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$2,582Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$2,582.17
Ravens vs. Dolphinsbacked Ravens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$400Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 31, 2025, EDT+25%+$100
Packers vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$513Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 27, 2025, EDT-100%-$513.09
Jets vs. Bengalsbacked Bengals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$300
Giants vs. Eaglesbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$2,498Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+29.5%+$736.25
Spread: Eagles (-7.5)backed Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$385Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT+100%+$385
Dolphins vs. Falconsbacked Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$553Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$552.88
Vikings vs. Chargersbacked Chargers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$2,506Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 24, 2025, EDT+62.9%+$1,575.27
Texans vs. Seahawksbacked Seahawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 21, 2025, EDT+61.3%+$61.29
Giants vs. Broncosbacked Broncos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+28.2%+$28.21
Packers vs. Cardinalsbacked Packers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 19, 2025, EDT+31.6%+$31.58
Vikings vs. Steelersbacked Steelers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$700Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 28, 2025, EDT+26%+$181.76
All 13 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 21, 2026, EDT1233.3%4 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick32cpaid+21.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Japan (-1.5)backed Japan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$222Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$319.35
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+594.4%+$193.85
Exact Score: France 1 - 2 Senegal?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$143Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$142.99
Netherlands vs. Japan: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$489.8
Will Germany win on 2026-06-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$402.96
Will Germany vs. Curaçao end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$133.73
Spread: Scotland (-1.5)backed Scotland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$289.87
Spread: Switzerland (-2.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)backed Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$250
United States leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$196Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+200.8%+$393.55
Spread: United States (-2.5)backed United States · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$574Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$701.59
Will Canada win on 2026-06-12?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$304Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$303.88
All 12 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 17, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+9.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports (BO3) - Exort Fiesta Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-Inbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$139.32
Counter-Strike: Raccoons vs Fire Flux Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked Fire Flux Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$252.01
Counter-Strike: Noir Verse vs ex-RUSTEC (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #7 Play-Inbacked Noir Verse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$132.5
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerbacked Lynn Vision · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$209Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$133.72
Counter-Strike: 3DMAX vs Liquid (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group Bbacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+81.6%+$104.43
Counter-Strike: MIBR vs PARIVISION - Map 2 Winnerbacked MIBR · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$12.39
Counter-Strike: G2 vs GamerLegion - Map 2 Winnerbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$489Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+57.2%+$279.54
All 8 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-13.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 13, 2025, EST650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-23.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Nov 16, 2025, EST366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+20.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
AI — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Oct 24, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Oct 18, 2025, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
College Football — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Louisville vs. Miamibacked Louisville · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 18, 2025, EDT+53.8%+$107.69
Delaware Blue Hens vs. Jacksonville Statebacked Jacksonville State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 16, 2025, EDT+45.2%+$145.41
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Dec 10, 2025, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.58
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$5,232Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$5,232.28
All 2 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz before July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2025, EDT+81.8%+$32.72
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Seattle Sounders FC (-1.5)backed FC Dallas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$215Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+72.1%+$154.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'A Minecraft Movie' have the best domestic opening weekend in 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST+61.8%+$105.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-04-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$368Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+30.1%+$110.97
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Oct 5, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ankalaev vs. Pereirabacked Ankalaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$802Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 5, 2025, EDT-100%-$801.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Nov 14, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
2025 September third hottest on record?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$1,070Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$1,069.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Oct 23, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kings vs. Sunsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$774Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 23, 2025, EDT-100%-$774.16
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.