South American Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Juárez win on 2026-04-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2502e9c7434d947626b6eb1783037423784222a35e212c3f1704ae76de4ede9f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,396
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,694
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,396 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 73 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6368…6dc8backed Yes | 77c | 3,986$3,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$920.11 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 3,363$1,036 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,036.1 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8230…5121backed Yes | 50c | 1,839$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$921.82 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | +4.1wins | +0.17per pick | 21cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,706$1,348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 28c | 1,540$430 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.02 | 1,296 | 43%557 W · 739 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0ff…9953backed Yes | 72c | 1,514$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.84 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…44a6backed No | 54c | 1,491$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805.03 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked No | 28c | 1,456$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.78 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdcea…8d00backed No | 2c | 1,308$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 10c | 1,052$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.2 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 49c | 1,008$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$514.65 | 1,945 | 51.3%998 W · 947 L | +40.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 51c | 970.57$495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.05 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 32c | 621.69$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Yes | 54c | 489.14$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.48 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked Yes | 77c | 479.45$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed No | 13c | 435.33$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 112 | 30.4%34 W · 78 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -41%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde19…3c92backed Yes | 72c | 432.36$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.06 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b43…fae9backed No | 53c | 419.89$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$222.54 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked Yes | 49c | 327.43$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.68 | 184 | 52.2%96 W · 88 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed No | 30c | 319.01$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.58 | 489 | 22.9%112 W · 377 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Yes | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 1,282 | 53.7%689 W · 593 L | +5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x840d…3708backed No | 74c | 287.64$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$214.05 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf16d…b7f9backed Yes | 47c | 282.17$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.55 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd421…7155backed Yes | 76c | 259.37$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 30c | 248.61$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.08 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Yes | 60c | 246.54$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.56 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 24c | 238.36$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.46 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed No | 21c | 228$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.28 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Yes | 11c | 219.43$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.29 | 92 | 7.6%7 W · 85 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 63c | 203.03$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.38 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf472…fd6ebacked No | 12c | 202.35$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.68 | 159 | 45.9%73 W · 86 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 33c | 201.6$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5f…7b99backed Yes | 49c | 199.97$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.98 | 47 | 48.9%23 W · 24 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 49c | 196.03$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.21 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked No | 8c | 195.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 448 | 43.8%196 W · 252 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed No | 8c | 193.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb7…9241backed Yes | 49c | 192.31$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.56 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +70.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 68c | 183.46$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.81 | 2,519 | 39%982 W · 1,537 L | -32.2wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 18c | 180.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.55 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked Yes | 77c | 172.37$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.79 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -3.3wins | -0.13per pick | 49cpaid | -42.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 29c | 164.55$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.41 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 30c | 163.42$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 40c | 132.57$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.51 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cca…08a9backed Yes | 75c | 130.9$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.38 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 38c | 126.45$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.53 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed No | 18c | 114.04$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.12 | 363 | 39.9%145 W · 218 L | -16.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d55…f50cbacked Yes | 72c | 89.68$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.11 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 48c | 88.49$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.01 | 1,231 | 53.9%663 W · 568 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 51c | 85.64$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.96 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed No | 33c | 81.84$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 26c | 80.86$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.33 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xeca6…08ffbacked Yes | 48c | 80.53$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.67 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -4.8wins | -0.12per pick | 38cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e4a…f43dbacked No | 40c | 76.58$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.72 | 86 | 45.3%39 W · 47 L | -5.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca1b…c69cbacked No | 24c | 72.27$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 51c | 70.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.92 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4c9…a454backed Yes | 49c | 69.62$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.7 | 67 | 56.7%38 W · 29 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 72c | 68.51$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.36 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 73c | 67.38$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed Yes | 78c | 63.26$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.92 | 28 | 82.1%23 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0afd…b9c9backed Yes | 70c | 63.23$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.97 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Yes | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 700 | 55.7%390 W · 310 L | +13.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked No | 50c | 49.27$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f23…4761backed No | 28c | 48.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.4 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06c3…196abacked Yes | 48c | 40.33$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.96 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 51c | 38.27$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 197 | 61.9%122 W · 75 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe32a…efabbacked Yes | 73c | 33.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.01 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf986…6833backed Yes | 49c | 25.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.03 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d74…4944backed Yes | 79c | 25.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 72cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 24.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 50c | 20.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 290 | 53.8%156 W · 134 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 73c | 20.32$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7479…e171backed Yes | 70c | 18.8$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66e8…c0e2backed Yes | 57c | 18.78$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 62cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-04-25?this page
- Will Atlético San Luis win on 2026-04-25?No won
- Will FC Juárez vs. Atlético San Luis end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.