Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7a2a224b2f46b0ea201be120fcc7f018709654786c3c597d2440dd7654de8a32
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team WEof Top Esports, Team WE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $54,427
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf559…f462backed Top Esports | 43c | 18,671$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,000 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Team WE | 57c | 16,504$9,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,096.55 | 1,224 | 48.3%591 W · 633 L | +26.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x282f…7c4ebacked Top Esports | 40c | 8,025$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,210.18 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3308…f04bbacked Team WE | 62c | 6,028$3,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,297.36 | 341 | 51.6%176 W · 165 L | +11.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Team WE | 58c | 3,250$1,897 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,352.48 | 293 | 47.8%140 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1316…48a4backed Team WE | 59c | 3,000$1,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,229.99 | 474 | 55.3%262 W · 212 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35c8…ce5cbacked Team WE | 60c | 2,475$1,485 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$989.99 | 488 | 44.3%216 W · 272 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c4…1018backed Team WE | 58c | 2,000$1,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840 | 319 | 53%169 W · 150 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Top Esports | 41c | 1,820$746 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$746.13 | 1,295 | 45.1%584 W · 711 L | +49.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda5f…2e9bbacked Top Esports | 41c | 1,494$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$612.43 | 225 | 47.6%107 W · 118 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Top Esports | 42c | 1,278$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.08 | 1,096 | 38.9%426 W · 670 L | -47.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbadb…31a7backed Top Esports | 41c | 999.99$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0160…1224backed Top Esports | 41c | 757$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.37 | 236 | 39.8%94 W · 142 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Team WE | 58c | 720$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.4 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc69b…2076backed Top Esports | 36c | 567.2$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.77 | 697 | 41.5%289 W · 408 L | -17.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Top Esports | 41c | 516$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.56 | 460 | 50.7%233 W · 227 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf19…79bbbacked Top Esports | 41c | 484.77$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.19 | 168 | 58.9%99 W · 69 L | +18.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked Top Esports | 42c | 467.79$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.47 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Team WE | 59c | 438.57$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.12 | 2,923 | 44.5%1,300 W · 1,623 L | -91.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Top Esports | 43c | 373.42$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.57 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…cd9dbacked Team WE | 60c | 335.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.08 | 225 | 62.2%140 W · 85 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5556…2759backed Team WE | 59c | 299.39$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 621 | 51.4%319 W · 302 L | -10.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team WE | 59c | 265.4$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.81 | 1,381 | 45.1%623 W · 758 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…1331backed Team WE | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 185 | 53%98 W · 87 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Top Esports | 40c | 244.48$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.79 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Top Esports | 41c | 224.85$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.19 | 1,587 | 43.8%695 W · 892 L | -73.9wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ad…734fbacked Team WE | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed Team WE | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Team WE | 59c | 177.97$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.97 | 362 | 46.4%168 W · 194 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5181…504bbacked Top Esports | 43c | 173.19$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.47 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed Top Esports | 41c | 122.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.28 | 180 | 51.1%92 W · 88 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Top Esports | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 1,444 | 13.2%191 W · 1,253 L | -110.0wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd2ae…f36bbacked Top Esports | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 617 | 46.5%287 W · 330 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…33dabacked Top Esports | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 145 | 46.9%68 W · 77 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Top Esports | 41c | 99.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 776 | 41.6%323 W · 453 L | -27.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb54c…7f56backed Top Esports | 43c | 86.6$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 70 | 48.6%34 W · 36 L | -6.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Team WE | 59c | 86$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.36 | 488 | 47.3%231 W · 257 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdd…e70ebacked Team WE | 59c | 84$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.44 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6bc1…3f1cbacked Team WE | 59c | 79.63$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.65 | 445 | 44.9%200 W · 245 L | -14.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe1f…c18fbacked Top Esports | 41c | 65$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.65 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2da3…f258backed Top Esports | 20c | 60$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 972 | 54.3%528 W · 444 L | +46.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36de…cf07backed Top Esports | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 153 | 59.5%91 W · 62 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bf8…03b2backed Team WE | 59c | 59.32$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.32 | 367 | 52%191 W · 176 L | -18.0wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked Top Esports | 42c | 57.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 139 | 64%89 W · 50 L | +12.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked Team WE | 59c | 56.92$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.34 | 356 | 42.4%151 W · 205 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59fc…0102backed Team WE | 59c | 52.54$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 94 | 58.5%55 W · 39 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91dc…ca3abacked Team WE | 58c | 52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.84 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…db0dbacked Team WE | 59c | 41.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 281 | 49.8%140 W · 141 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f41…260ebacked Team WE | 59c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Team WE | 55c | 36.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.54 | 1,300 | 49.2%639 W · 661 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6103…3abfbacked Top Esports | 43c | 34.65$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe7b2…9980backed Team WE | 59c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.3 | 118 | 43.2%51 W · 67 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Top Esports | 41c | 29.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.37 | 2,497 | 39.9%996 W · 1,501 L | -75.6wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked Team WE | 59c | 24.39$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 343 | 57.1%196 W · 147 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x077c…5df1backed Team WE | 59c | 22$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.02 | 63 | 60.3%38 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…de8abacked Team WE | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 793 | 45.4%360 W · 433 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ff…a74cbacked Team WE | 57c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.6 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x863f…7b79backed Team WE | 58c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.4 | 576 | 55.9%322 W · 254 L | +8.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf698…a7e7backed Team WE | 73c | 19.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.05 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc36…18d2backed Team WE | 62c | 18.54$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: TES (-1.5) vs Team WE (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?Team WE won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group AscendTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports - Game 1 WinnerTeam WE won
- LoL: Team WE vs Top Esports - Game 2 WinnerTeam WE won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 33.5 in Game 2?Under won
- Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 36.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.