CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe3b764b68b985aee952e23d86de7b8f4fd96a0c0e21018acfbe8710327735c1d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lynn Visionof Lynn Vision, NIP
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $255,533
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $301,011
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $255,533 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 193 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Lynn Vision | 77c | 27,289$21,147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,142.43 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed NIP | 39c | 13,849$5,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,402.43 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Lynn Vision | 40c | 12,500$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,500 | 333 | 43.8%146 W · 187 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed NIP | 26c | 7,099$1,845 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,845.1 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked NIP | 34c | 6,649$2,250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,250 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked Lynn Vision | 72c | 6,365$4,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,807.54 | 364 | 53.8%196 W · 168 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked NIP | 23c | 6,104$1,402 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.78 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a6…2d2dbacked NIP | 45c | 5,191$2,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,359.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebc…a33dbacked NIP | 8c | 5,184$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.13 | 631 | 57.1%360 W · 271 L | +40.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed NIP | 49c | 4,449$2,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,200 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Lynn Vision | 70c | 4,366$3,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,320.05 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…18a4backed Lynn Vision | 68c | 4,347$2,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,398.31 | 204 | 48.5%99 W · 105 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed NIP | 60c | 4,014$2,407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,407.24 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4da…1772backed NIP | 60c | 3,576$2,146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,145.65 | 537 | 46.2%248 W · 289 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed NIP | 24c | 3,490$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$836.8 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd27c…c081backed Lynn Vision | 80c | 2,865$2,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.07 | 77 | 66.2%51 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c32…82ccbacked NIP | 60c | 2,540$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked NIP | 60c | 2,492$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.51 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2761…4d95backed NIP | 47c | 2,312$1,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,080.59 | 529 | 51.4%272 W · 257 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Lynn Vision | 67c | 2,243$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.07 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked NIP | 40c | 1,999$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.75 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…879dbacked Lynn Vision | 74c | 1,883$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.01 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.8wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x91e8…f1abbacked Lynn Vision | 74c | 1,872$1,388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$483.99 | 186 | 54.8%102 W · 84 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…5700backed NIP | 14c | 1,832$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.32 | 870 | 47.9%417 W · 453 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a70…0519backed Lynn Vision | 55c | 1,776$981 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.48 | 388 | 35.6%138 W · 250 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed NIP | 31c | 1,669$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.72 | 339 | 49%166 W · 173 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf32d…bbbbbacked NIP | 36c | 1,541$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559 | 609 | 53.4%325 W · 284 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked NIP | 30c | 1,533$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed NIP | 49c | 1,500$732 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$731.83 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8d…24dfbacked Lynn Vision | 78c | 1,326$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$285.98 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed NIP | 38c | 1,190$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$446.94 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked NIP | 26c | 1,147$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.32 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c5…da68backed Lynn Vision | 66c | 1,080$714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.14 | 99 | 42.4%42 W · 57 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed NIP | 21c | 1,059$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.99 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf344…a54abacked NIP | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NIP | 28c | 856$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.86 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3914…3db9backed NIP | 22c | 810$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.9 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c63…3cbbbacked Lynn Vision | 71c | 707.62$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.62 | 461 | 65.5%302 W · 159 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed NIP | 28c | 706.18$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 187 | 36.4%68 W · 119 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3cf5…8483backed Lynn Vision | 73c | 684.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.93 | 110 | 61.8%68 W · 42 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4759…dc6ebacked Lynn Vision | 76c | 640$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.8 | 48 | 70.8%34 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf3…aa3abacked NIP | 38c | 630.12$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238.1 | 232 | 49.1%114 W · 118 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Lynn Vision | 41c | 620$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.8 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x146c…b807backed NIP | 34c | 616.75$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 400 | 48.8%195 W · 205 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e69…7f76backed NIP | 46c | 600$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 323 | 46.1%149 W · 174 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed NIP | 27c | 594.47$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.26 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdfcd…3b61backed NIP | 34c | 588.24$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.15per pick | 29cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x307d…9163backed Lynn Vision | 80c | 581.69$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 223 | 65%145 W · 78 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4031…92c8backed Lynn Vision | 68c | 572.41$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.41 | 508 | 46.3%235 W · 273 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed NIP | 40c | 548.17$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.95 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b5…f95bbacked NIP | 59c | 500$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295 | 81 | 49.4%40 W · 41 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2067…7350backed NIP | 29c | 449.3$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.3 | 276 | 57.6%159 W · 117 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a42…6338backed NIP | 23c | 430.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed31…d9c8backed NIP | 40c | 421.78$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.64 | 374 | 40.4%151 W · 223 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0b…4e72backed NIP | 49c | 408.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 200 | 59%118 W · 82 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lynn Vision | 60c | 407.85$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.15 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeff…42fbbacked Lynn Vision | 74c | 403.46$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.9 | 57 | 54.4%31 W · 26 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf91c…baa7backed Lynn Vision | 78c | 400$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79df…31d6backed NIP | 26c | 385.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 278 | 31.7%88 W · 190 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked NIP | 28c | 385.71$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NIP | 39c | 358$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.84 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Lynn Vision | 65c | 352.77$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124 | 2,622 | 47.6%1,249 W · 1,373 L | -33.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed NIP | 20c | 345$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 120 | 27.5%33 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3601…cd3fbacked Lynn Vision | 61c | 342.87$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ddc…e874backed NIP | 24c | 340.89$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.04 | 95 | 33.7%32 W · 63 L | -9.3wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Lynn Vision | 39c | 332.99$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.13 | 386 | 50.8%196 W · 190 L | +11.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca4…db18backed NIP | 41c | 320.9$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.8wins | -0.28per pick | 58cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Lynn Vision | 56c | 314.52$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.29 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x847e…3c43backed Lynn Vision | 55c | 305.51$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.48 | 290 | 52.4%152 W · 138 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked NIP | 31c | 301.77$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.81 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked NIP | 28c | 280.45$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a8…bf60backed Lynn Vision | 55c | 273.89$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.33 | 988 | 56.1%554 W · 434 L | +21.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed Lynn Vision | 70c | 271.69$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.47 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9a…a9c7backed Lynn Vision | 56c | 263.61$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.99 | 92 | 41.3%38 W · 54 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NIP | 30c | 258.07$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Lynn Vision | 38c | 256.45$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…026fbacked NIP | 47c | 250$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.77 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -7.1wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd43f…0bb0backed NIP | 22c | 250$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.5 | 381 | 31%118 W · 263 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ce…7a7dbacked Lynn Vision | 67c | 243.94$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.21 | 1,256 | 46.7%587 W · 669 L | +17.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed NIP | 62c | 241.94$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 166 | 50.6%84 W · 82 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0b5…a0d7backed NIP | 24c | 230.19$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b4a…3b84backed NIP | 23c | 220$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.2 | 140 | 42.1%59 W · 81 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ccf…0c6ebacked Lynn Vision | 46c | 217.45$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.45 | 54 | 35.2%19 W · 35 L | -6.2wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd1…041bbacked NIP | 46c | 213.94$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.49 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Lynn Vision | 54c | 204.43$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.04 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddbd…bcb5backed NIP | 20c | 198.94$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 167 | 20.4%34 W · 133 L | -13.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x041b…d3ebbacked NIP | 61c | 196.72$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 314 | 51.6%162 W · 152 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa83a…34d6backed NIP | 20c | 196.45$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.29 | 203 | 32.5%66 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbc9…6d89backed NIP | 37c | 196.31$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…b805backed Lynn Vision | 66c | 193.21$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.21 | 219 | 47.5%104 W · 115 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked NIP | 32c | 187.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef15…74dabacked NIP | 37c | 186.05$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.84 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0a…a70bbacked NIP | 37c | 180$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed Lynn Vision | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.49 | 372 | 32.5%121 W · 251 L | -14.2wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64d4…f056backed Lynn Vision | 65c | 179.46$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.52 | 664 | 36.6%243 W · 421 L | -35.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed NIP | 32c | 179.27$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.06 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf7ec…c264backed Lynn Vision | 77c | 170$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.8 | 76 | 69.7%53 W · 23 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 70cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…aefdbacked NIP | 36c | 168.95$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.73 | 840 | 37.9%318 W · 522 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab1…9b4fbacked Lynn Vision | 61c | 163.93$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…d801backed NIP | 24c | 159.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.94 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP (BO3) - CS Asia Championships Group BLynn Vision won
- Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs NIP - Map 2 WinnerNIP won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs Lynn Vision (+1.5)Lynn Vision won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.